NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd249fb47fa8408956377558a99211ecfcdcd5bc3fe7d244383fd70b1e9b72f6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Thunder, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $480,937
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $480,937 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Celtics | 49c | 84,894$41,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,489.26 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Thunder | 51c | 46,552$23,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,833.98 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Thunder | 51c | 34,545$17,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,763.31 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Thunder | 53c | 20,637$10,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,867.62 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…aaf9backed Thunder | 56c | 16,374$9,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,169.34 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Celtics | 49c | 14,066$6,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,202.87 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Thunder | 52c | 13,496$6,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,964.73 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Celtics | 49c | 13,258$6,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,744.23 | 265 | 44.9%119 W · 146 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Thunder | 52c | 12,671$6,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,535.36 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Thunder | 52c | 10,953$5,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,695.55 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Thunder | 52c | 9,028$4,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,652.17 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5aec…b4cebacked Thunder | 51c | 8,854$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Celtics | 48c | 8,802$4,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,577.25 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Celtics | 46c | 8,097$3,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,372.38 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b11…0918backed Celtics | 48c | 5,775$2,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,003 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Thunder | 54c | 5,542$2,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,987.29 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Celtics | 48c | 5,000$2,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,592.74 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Thunder | 54c | 4,139$2,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,237.06 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Thunder | 51c | 3,923$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d5…ed84backed Thunder | 50c | 3,921$1,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,977.39 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Celtics | 49c | 3,712$1,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,903.72 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Thunder | 56c | 3,599$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.56 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Celtics | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625.03 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Celtics | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Thunder | 51c | 2,730$1,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.54 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Celtics | 50c | 2,478$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.03 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Celtics | 47c | 2,435$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.83 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc920…7914backed Thunder | 50c | 2,195$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.73 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Thunder | 50c | 1,998$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.98 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14cc…7c02backed Thunder | 53c | 1,941$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.68 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e0…245cbacked Celtics | 50c | 1,866$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd42b…be98backed Celtics | 50c | 1,746$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc9…dc9cbacked Thunder | 50c | 1,694$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Thunder | 52c | 1,652$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.48 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…e786backed Celtics | 43c | 1,628$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.42 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2d…f97fbacked Thunder | 50c | 1,620$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Thunder | 53c | 1,506$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.92 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked Thunder | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.7 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Thunder | 51c | 1,423$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.73 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…d2f5backed Thunder | 55c | 1,360$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.98 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…3858backed Celtics | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.96 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…c48fbacked Celtics | 48c | 1,110$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.42 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Celtics | 48c | 1,094$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.88 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Celtics | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Celtics | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Celtics | 50c | 999.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.75 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Celtics | 44c | 766.08$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.08 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Celtics | 46c | 725.43$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.38 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Celtics | 47c | 703.7$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.39 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Celtics | 48c | 672.02$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.2 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Thunder | 54c | 648$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.41 | 235 | 53.6%126 W · 109 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Celtics | 47c | 641.51$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…8b30backed Celtics | 48c | 625.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.23 | 502 | 39%196 W · 306 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Thunder | 54c | 614.12$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.63 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a8…7ffbbacked Celtics | 58c | 600$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Celtics | 47c | 532$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.2 | 210 | 45.2%95 W · 115 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Celtics | 48c | 521.18$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.18 | 358 | 49.7%178 W · 180 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Thunder | 57c | 519.62$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 324 | 50.6%164 W · 160 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Thunder | 52c | 499.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Celtics | 48c | 464.75$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.97 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Celtics | 48c | 440.11$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.86 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Celtics | 47c | 423.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.88 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc54d…eb71backed Thunder | 51c | 421$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Thunder | 52c | 405.79$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.95 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a0…88acbacked Celtics | 50c | 403.91$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffe…c446backed Thunder | 51c | 403.12$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecf9…9372backed Celtics | 43c | 400.93$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.93 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Celtics | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece2…f453backed Celtics | 63c | 400$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.78 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b08…c326backed Celtics | 50c | 399.42$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f6…65e7backed Thunder | 51c | 398.84$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Celtics | 44c | 392.06$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.85 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f50…8341backed Thunder | 48c | 379.39$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.41 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca8…ddddbacked Celtics | 50c | 358.7$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.48 | 278 | 46.8%130 W · 148 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…c640backed Thunder | 57c | 349.99$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.49 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Celtics | 44c | 340.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.96 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Thunder | 45c | 336.65$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.97 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Thunder | 57c | 336$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.26 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe170…afacbacked Celtics | 48c | 322.92$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.92 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0707…310abacked Celtics | 45c | 322.19$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.23 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Celtics | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Celtics | 44c | 299.99$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Thunder | 52c | 299.11$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.19 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fdc…954cbacked Thunder | 50c | 298$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Thunder | 50c | 296.39$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.9 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Celtics | 48c | 292$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.84 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6064…26fdbacked Celtics | 50c | 266$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Thunder | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Celtics | 48c | 243.56$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.91 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e87…4891backed Thunder | 53c | 236.03$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +5.6wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +29%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…764bbacked Celtics | 43c | 230.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.82 | 440 | 52.5%231 W · 209 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Celtics | 46c | 228.15$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.69 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Thunder | 52c | 214.25$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.45 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…a8b1backed Thunder | 47c | 209.62$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.45 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6450…9547backed Celtics | 47c | 208.96$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Celtics | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…3becbacked Celtics | 58c | 207.84$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x641a…e1a5backed Celtics | 48c | 207$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.64 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Celtics | 48c | 204.17$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.17 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99a5…328ebacked Celtics | 48c | 202.65$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.91 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Celtics won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Celtics won
- Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Cason Wallace: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Cason Wallace: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Celtics vs. ThunderThunder won
- Celtics vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5Under won
- Derrick White: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Derrick White: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Luguentz Dort: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Payton Pritchard: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Sam Hauser: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 31.5Yes won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.