NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda24f7bfa7a9d741f09c46389dd20a7c439756dcc78b50563fc3bb3a6f737929
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $611,597
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $611,597 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 396 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a57…2afabacked Over | 51c | 108,652$55,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,580.22 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 50c | 61,118$30,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,559.09 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Over | 52c | 48,494$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 50c | 47,054$23,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,690.6 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Under | 49c | 41,144$20,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,784.06 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23b6…3eeebacked Over | 52c | 39,300$20,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,436 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 49c | 37,377$18,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,051.57 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999.99 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 48c | 16,437$7,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,547.37 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 49c | 16,209$7,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,267.51 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 49c | 13,016$6,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,581.09 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 12,813$6,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,581.95 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 50c | 10,225$5,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,111.91 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fda…b798backed Under | 50c | 10,000$4,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85c…f65bbacked Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 49c | 9,104$4,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,643.94 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38ed…4ed7backed Over | 50c | 9,100$4,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,549.64 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.25per pick | 49cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb93d…f0c4backed Under | 51c | 9,000$4,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,410.3 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +8.8wins | +0.29per pick | 47cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 49c | 8,354$4,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,262.63 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 48c | 7,500$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 46c | 6,331$2,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,389.16 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Over | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 50c | 4,806$2,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,403.43 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 50c | 4,713$2,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,357.03 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 4,361$2,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,167.31 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 48c | 4,024$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,930.45 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 51c | 3,929$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.82 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7d…97d3backed Under | 48c | 3,331$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,732.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1002…ce06backed Under | 50c | 3,180$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e57…97c0backed Under | 48c | 3,123$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,623.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4453…dd3bbacked Under | 66c | 3,038$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.73 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0aa…9b99backed Under | 50c | 3,007$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,503.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x934e…e7c0backed Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47da…8022backed Over | 50c | 2,991$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedad…6725backed Over | 50c | 2,989$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc533…6ae2backed Over | 50c | 2,973$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0f…1d65backed Under | 50c | 2,957$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ac…014dbacked Under | 50c | 2,922$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5043…c197backed Under | 50c | 2,912$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6797…1a80backed Over | 52c | 2,884$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a3…aab2backed Over | 50c | 2,853$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b60…2244backed Under | 50c | 2,845$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x625d…150ebacked Under | 50c | 2,838$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7a…235bbacked Over | 50c | 2,834$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd03a…59c2backed Over | 50c | 2,775$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b48…bb6ebacked Over | 50c | 2,738$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x310e…2455backed Over | 50c | 2,729$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc5…330abacked Over | 50c | 2,715$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…d903backed Over | 50c | 2,708$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef2…8bd7backed Under | 50c | 2,704$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Over | 50c | 2,700$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4d…919bbacked Over | 50c | 2,694$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65b9…cdbdbacked Over | 50c | 2,683$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd32…2914backed Under | 50c | 2,651$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad39…df11backed Under | 50c | 2,639$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c9…974fbacked Under | 50c | 2,526$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8302…8c25backed Under | 50c | 2,501$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea3…344fbacked Under | 48c | 2,493$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe05c…db82backed Under | 48c | 2,492$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…4639backed Under | 48c | 2,481$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0f…9e41backed Under | 48c | 2,480$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ef…3b22backed Under | 48c | 2,479$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x903d…b6b4backed Over | 50c | 2,479$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…c417backed Under | 48c | 2,445$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0951…90b9backed Under | 48c | 2,433$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b0…2144backed Under | 48c | 2,429$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7a…a3d7backed Under | 48c | 2,428$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa570…21e5backed Under | 48c | 2,428$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dab…4c61backed Under | 48c | 2,418$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a89…09c6backed Under | 48c | 2,417$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…41d7backed Under | 48c | 2,405$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f73…4692backed Under | 48c | 2,403$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb6…0eaabacked Under | 48c | 2,401$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4a…659cbacked Under | 48c | 2,396$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f3…3aecbacked Under | 48c | 2,396$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…545abacked Under | 48c | 2,392$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…40e5backed Under | 48c | 2,392$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb14a…0abfbacked Under | 48c | 2,389$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.28 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…bf8dbacked Under | 50c | 2,387$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…9b28backed Under | 48c | 2,384$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…bc12backed Under | 48c | 2,382$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.64 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +107.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb19…50dcbacked Under | 48c | 2,377$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1647…680abacked Under | 48c | 2,377$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda1b…c4cdbacked Under | 48c | 2,366$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x546d…5ca3backed Under | 48c | 2,361$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe042…386abacked Under | 48c | 2,336$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f98…aa2bbacked Under | 50c | 2,331$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b00…17cbbacked Under | 48c | 2,326$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7db…7b38backed Under | 48c | 2,320$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x797c…e99dbacked Under | 48c | 2,318$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…4857backed Over | 50c | 2,300$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94ee…2ef1backed Over | 52c | 2,298$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4a…8ba6backed Over | 52c | 2,291$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeac3…ef00backed Over | 52c | 2,279$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…df31backed Under | 48c | 2,274$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b49…4d86backed Under | 48c | 2,271$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee9b…68c5backed Under | 48c | 2,265$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…c650backed Over | 52c | 2,261$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1613…c43dbacked Under | 48c | 2,250$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Celtics won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Celtics won
- Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Cason Wallace: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Cason Wallace: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Celtics vs. ThunderThunder won
- Celtics vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5Under won
- Derrick White: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Derrick White: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Luguentz Dort: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Payton Pritchard: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Sam Hauser: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 31.5Yes won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.