NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b6e2f6298a3a0ed72f0c6122488b274d1a44bd892a957fa0ef20d0897d94bbe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Thunder, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,718
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,718 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Celtics | 47c | 14,897$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,896.59 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Thunder | 53c | 11,000$5,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,829.99 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Celtics | 53c | 9,804$5,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,648.05 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Thunder | 52c | 6,548$3,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,382.09 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Celtics | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…aaf9backed Thunder | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.65 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Thunder | 50c | 5,000$2,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,496.39 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Thunder | 49c | 4,149$2,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,045.34 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Celtics | 46c | 3,510$1,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,895.4 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Celtics | 47c | 3,232$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.47 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Thunder | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.7 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Thunder | 49c | 2,541$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.52 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Celtics | 51c | 2,448$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.89 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Thunder | 48c | 2,444$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.42 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Celtics | 45c | 2,187$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.63 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Celtics | 49c | 2,051$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.69 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Thunder | 54c | 1,960$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.23 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Thunder | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.7 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Celtics | 51c | 1,765$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.85 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Thunder | 54c | 1,740$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.6 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Celtics | 48c | 1,653$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.39 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Thunder | 48c | 1,525$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.86 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Celtics | 51c | 1,373$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.33 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Thunder | 51c | 1,212$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.92 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0707…310abacked Thunder | 45c | 1,169$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.41 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…3becbacked Celtics | 73c | 1,038$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.04 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Celtics | 47c | 927.27$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.38 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Thunder | 49c | 907$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.43 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Celtics | 49c | 885.34$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.02 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder | 48c | 879.79$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.21 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…d2f5backed Thunder | 50c | 861.74$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.51 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 48c | 847.43$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.39 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Celtics | 47c | 820$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.6 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Celtics | 47c | 812.88$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.88 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Celtics | 51c | 711$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.99 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Celtics | 45c | 701.07$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.59 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0020…4610backed Thunder | 55c | 701.07$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.59 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Thunder | 52c | 654.61$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.03 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf1…8277backed Celtics | 62c | 621.31$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233 | 172 | 36%62 W · 110 L | -19.3wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…697abacked Celtics | 51c | 599.99$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 206 | 50%103 W · 103 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Thunder | 52c | 590.06$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.89 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Celtics | 47c | 509.29$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.93 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Thunder | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…8b30backed Celtics | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 502 | 39%196 W · 306 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Celtics | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Celtics | 50c | 330$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Celtics | 71c | 290$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.28 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Celtics | 47c | 285$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.33 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Thunder | 53c | 251$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.03 | 239 | 46.4%111 W · 128 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Thunder | 34c | 232.78$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.59 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Celtics | 47c | 227.34$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.99 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Celtics | 48c | 209.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.45 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Thunder | 40c | 201.62$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.08 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Celtics | 47c | 195.2$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.65 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Thunder | 54c | 185.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Thunder | 39c | 174.81$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabc4…d966backed Thunder | 56c | 172.99$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.55 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Celtics | 59c | 159.58$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.67 | 335 | 54.6%183 W · 152 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked Thunder | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Celtics | 71c | 139.28$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.76 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Thunder | 47c | 129.52$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.89 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Thunder | 48c | 126.12$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.54 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Thunder | 38c | 115.78$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Thunder | 50c | 115$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Thunder | 35c | 111.65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.08 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Celtics | 41c | 109.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.26 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…0a5cbacked Celtics | 47c | 106.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.62 | 368 | 42.4%156 W · 212 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Thunder | 51c | 105.2$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Celtics | 52c | 103.49$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.78 | 535 | 39.6%212 W · 323 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Thunder | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Celtics | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…0ff2backed Celtics | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 99 | 39.4%39 W · 60 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…648fbacked Thunder | 54c | 90.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…1f45backed Thunder | 44c | 89.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Celtics | 72c | 85.34$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Thunder | 32c | 85.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Thunder | 34c | 84.34$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Thunder | 27c | 78.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Thunder | 37c | 65.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Celtics | 45c | 65.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.77 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4d…884bbacked Celtics | 68c | 55.88$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…99bebacked Thunder | 54c | 55.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Celtics | 47c | 54.56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.02 | 301 | 51.8%156 W · 145 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…3c9cbacked Thunder | 31c | 51.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Celtics | 50c | 48.74$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 296 | 45.6%135 W · 161 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9021…0c62backed Celtics | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…e738backed Thunder | 48c | 48.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…1444backed Thunder | 34c | 47.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -6.8wins | -0.36per pick | 41cpaid | -89.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbb…727fbacked Celtics | 47c | 45.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.21 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Celtics | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 256 | 55.5%142 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1736…32f1backed Celtics | 52c | 38.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Thunder | 49c | 38.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Celtics | 80c | 36.41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed Thunder | 53c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 234 | 53%124 W · 110 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Thunder | 35c | 31.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Celtics | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Thunder | 48c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Thunder | 54c | 27.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5983…30e4backed Celtics | 46c | 26.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…cf14backed Thunder | 49c | 25.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Celtics won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Celtics won
- Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Cason Wallace: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Cason Wallace: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Celtics vs. ThunderThunder won
- Celtics vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5Under won
- Derrick White: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Derrick White: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Luguentz Dort: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Payton Pritchard: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Sam Hauser: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 31.5Yes won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.