TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Thunder (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Celticsof Thunder, Celtics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$96,718

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,718 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbb15…0f02backed Celtics47c14,897$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,896.5916640.4%67 W · 99 L-14.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Thunder53c11,000$5,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,829.9958449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Celtics53c9,804$5,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,648.0534851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Thunder52c6,548$3,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,382.091,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Celtics52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb75…aaf9backed Thunder54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.657759.7%46 W · 31 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Thunder50c5,000$2,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,496.3969149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Thunder49c4,149$2,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,045.349,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Celtics46c3,510$1,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,895.423047%108 W · 122 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Celtics47c3,232$1,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,723.471,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Thunder53c3,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,589.71,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Thunder49c2,541$1,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,244.522,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Celtics51c2,448$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.8919445.4%88 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Thunder48c2,444$1,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,163.422,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Celtics45c2,187$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,203.6339842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Celtics49c2,051$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.698,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Thunder54c1,960$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.2314245.8%65 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed Thunder54c1,852$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.710847.2%51 W · 57 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Celtics51c1,765$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.852,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Thunder54c1,740$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.664651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4112…5d9dbacked Celtics48c1,653$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.3923348.9%114 W · 119 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Thunder48c1,525$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.8659347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78a2…d0a5backed Celtics51c1,373$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.3318343.7%80 W · 103 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Thunder51c1,212$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.9213642.6%58 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0707…310abacked Thunder45c1,169$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.416746.3%31 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…3becbacked Celtics73c1,038$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.04955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Celtics47c927.27$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.3836143.5%157 W · 204 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Thunder49c907$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.431,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Celtics49c885.34$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.0226839.2%105 W · 163 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder48c879.79$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.216,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb51…d2f5backed Thunder50c861.74$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.514156.1%23 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+39.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder48c847.43$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.394,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Celtics47c820$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.623850%119 W · 119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Celtics47c812.88$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.8843453.2%231 W · 203 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Celtics51c711$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.991,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Celtics45c701.07$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.5938251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0020…4610backed Thunder55c701.07$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.594854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Thunder52c654.61$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.032,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cf1…8277backed Celtics62c621.31$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23317236%62 W · 110 L-19.3wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-31.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc3e5…697abacked Celtics51c599.99$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29420650%103 W · 103 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Thunder52c590.06$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.894,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Celtics47c509.29$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.932,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Thunder48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19245146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a10…8b30backed Celtics52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19250239%196 W · 306 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Celtics51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19652240%209 W · 313 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd947…9b61backed Celtics50c330$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16528751.9%149 W · 138 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Celtics71c290$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.281,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Celtics47c285$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.3362744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Thunder53c251$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.0323946.4%111 W · 128 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Thunder34c232.78$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.591,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Celtics47c227.34$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.9951438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Celtics48c209.45$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.4566046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Thunder40c201.62$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.083,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Celtics47c195.2$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.6551146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Thunder54c185.88$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017051.8%88 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Thunder39c174.81$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.62,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xabc4…d966backed Thunder56c172.99$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.551435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-31.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Celtics59c159.58$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.6733554.6%183 W · 152 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83ea…c2efbacked Thunder50c140$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708942.7%38 W · 51 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Celtics71c139.28$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.761,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Thunder47c129.52$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.891,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Thunder48c126.12$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.543,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Thunder38c115.78$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4491846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Thunder50c115$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.562351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Thunder35c111.65$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.081,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3100…9bc9backed Celtics41c109.33$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.2618043.3%78 W · 102 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8328…0a5cbacked Celtics47c106.83$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6236842.4%156 W · 212 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Thunder51c105.2$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.281,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Celtics52c103.49$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7853539.6%212 W · 323 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Thunder49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae94…7efbbacked Celtics63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3758754.7%321 W · 266 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f8…0ff2backed Celtics51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499939.4%39 W · 60 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+12.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x81e4…648fbacked Thunder54c90.93$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-34.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd1c…1f45backed Thunder44c89.61$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.65743.9%25 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Celtics72c85.34$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.232,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Thunder32c85.25$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.023,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Thunder34c84.34$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.381,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Thunder27c78.31$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9711826.3%31 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Thunder37c65.17$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.962,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Celtics45c65.04$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.772,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c4d…884bbacked Celtics68c55.88$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.882669.2%18 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c54…99bebacked Thunder54c55.66$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-27.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Celtics47c54.56$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.0230151.8%156 W · 145 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb732…3c9cbacked Thunder31c51.61$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+24.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Celtics50c48.74$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5129645.6%135 W · 161 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9021…0c62backed Celtics52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0812546.4%58 W · 67 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddbd…e738backed Thunder48c48.08$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.087443.2%32 W · 42 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6330…1444backed Thunder34c47.66$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.14195.3%1 W · 18 L-6.8wins-0.36per pick41cpaid-89.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x0fbb…727fbacked Celtics47c45.6$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2114448.6%70 W · 74 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Celtics47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5525655.5%142 W · 114 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1736…32f1backed Celtics52c38.54$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.541747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Thunder49c38.1$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.671,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Celtics80c36.41$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.281,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe748…bc49backed Thunder53c35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5423453%124 W · 110 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Thunder35c31.57$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0165542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Celtics50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Thunder48c29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9254246.7%253 W · 289 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Thunder54c27.03$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.581,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5983…30e4backed Celtics46c26.58$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.383100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+87.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ff2…cf14backed Thunder49c25.51$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.54459.1%26 W · 18 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.