TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1736…32f1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
87
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Tennis, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 50 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT4438.6%17 W · 27 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New Mexico Lobos vs. San Diego State Aztecsbacked San Diego State Aztecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.36
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked Oklahoma Sooners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.88
Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-7.5)backed Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.87
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Utah State Aggiesbacked Nevada Wolf Pack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.86
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.85
Clemson Tigers vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Clemson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.84
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-10.5)backed Clemson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
UCLA Bruins vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.85
Delaware State Hornets vs. North Carolina Central Eaglesbacked North Carolina Central Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.01
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Akron Zipsbacked Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.86
Davidson Wildcats vs. Saint Joseph's Hawksbacked Davidson Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-11.5)backed Ole Miss Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.83
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-3.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Iowa State Cyclones vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.01
Miami Hurricanes vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.22
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+59.5%+$11.81
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-8.5)backed Seton Hall Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
Duquesne Dukes vs. VCU Ramsbacked Duquesne Dukes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.88
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Sam Houston Bearkatsbacked Sam Houston Bearkats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Toledo Rocketsbacked Massachusetts Minutemen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$66.54
North Texas Mean Green vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricanebacked North Texas Mean Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.88
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Vanderbilt Commodoresbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.36
Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-5.5)backed Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
Spread: Texas A&M Aggies (-2.5)backed Texas A&M Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT2142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Wings vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Blue Jackets vs. Flyersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Maple Leafs vs. Sabresbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Hurricanes vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Avalanche vs. Jetsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Ducks vs. Senatorsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Oilers vs. Bluesbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Kings vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+171%+$34.2
Predators vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+675.2%+$149.03
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Flyers vs. Wildbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+195%+$39
Oilers vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Rangers vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Ducks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Bruins (-1.5)backed Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Blue Jackets vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+96.5%+$19.29
Red Wings vs. Lightningbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Red Wings vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+78.7%+$15.74
Capitals vs. Sabresbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+195%+$39
All 21 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$320
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Heat (-3.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Hornets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+106.3%+$21.26
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Suns vs. Raptorsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+92.7%+$18.54
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.09
Spread: Heat (-6.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Spread: Hawks (-15.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+100.4%+$20.08
Spread: Pistons (-15.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Suns vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.