NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Sabres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdccf390ac3babc4d9e716fea303566df38c896f89ecb845ca979baff058491f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sabresof Maple Leafs, Sabres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $615,138
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $615,138 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 466 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Maple Leafs | 33c | 200,000$66,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,999.98 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Sabres | 69c | 168,205$115,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,533.58 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Maple Leafs | 33c | 60,324$19,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,829.24 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Maple Leafs | 33c | 50,000$16,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,499.99 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Sabres | 67c | 25,700$17,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,480.89 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Sabres | 67c | 25,132$16,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,293.56 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Sabres | 66c | 23,949$15,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,257.64 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Sabres | 67c | 23,881$16,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,880.6 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Sabres | 67c | 12,740$8,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,204.13 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Maple Leafs | 33c | 12,000$3,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,959.95 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Sabres | 67c | 11,769$7,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,862.38 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Sabres | 67c | 11,111$7,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,666.63 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Sabres | 68c | 10,000$6,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Sabres | 67c | 9,999$6,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,299.66 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Maple Leafs | 34c | 9,247$3,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,185.98 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Maple Leafs | 32c | 9,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,879.99 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Maple Leafs | 33c | 7,810$2,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,577.44 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7280…65d2backed Maple Leafs | 1c | 7,704$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.04 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Sabres | 67c | 6,796$4,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,242.58 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Sabres | 66c | 6,300$4,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142.08 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked Sabres | 67c | 6,000$4,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Sabres | 68c | 6,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Maple Leafs | 32c | 5,885$1,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,911.87 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 5,852$2,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,712.85 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Sabres | 67c | 5,448$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,797.97 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Maple Leafs | 33c | 5,435$1,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,793.65 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sabres | 70c | 5,423$3,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608.68 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebbb…4214backed Sabres | 56c | 5,379$3,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,351.17 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 5,086$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,019.8 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed Maple Leafs | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Sabres | 68c | 4,412$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.76 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…53a1backed Maple Leafs | 33c | 4,253$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.36 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Sabres | 55c | 4,159$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.37 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Sabres | 67c | 4,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.99 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Sabres | 54c | 3,979$2,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830.19 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Maple Leafs | 32c | 3,857$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.63 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed Sabres | 67c | 3,731$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.34 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 3,592$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580.28 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Sabres | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Sabres | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Maple Leafs | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Maple Leafs | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe06…d5d5backed Maple Leafs | 35c | 2,874$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.06 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Maple Leafs | 32c | 2,633$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.62 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Sabres | 67c | 2,500$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Sabres | 59c | 2,421$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.27 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Maple Leafs | 33c | 2,240$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Sabres | 67c | 2,073$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.24 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Maple Leafs | 32c | 2,060$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.15 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sabres | 67c | 2,040$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.3 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Maple Leafs | 32c | 2,035$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.22 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Sabres | 66c | 1,928$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.55 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x597e…cd70backed Sabres | 62c | 1,783$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.27 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Maple Leafs | 40c | 1,720$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.45 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 1,658$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.16 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed Sabres | 69c | 1,629$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.86 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Sabres | 68c | 1,534$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.69 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Sabres | 67c | 1,507$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.4 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Sabres | 59c | 1,497$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.17 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Sabres | 68c | 1,472$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.24 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Sabres | 67c | 1,342$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.95 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Sabres | 69c | 1,320$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.06 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…9b05backed Sabres | 49c | 1,314$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.83 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Maple Leafs | 32c | 1,299$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.65 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Sabres | 67c | 1,200$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.02 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Sabres | 64c | 1,200$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.24 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked Maple Leafs | 31c | 1,163$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.69 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +6.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +35%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3eba…3feabacked Sabres | 68c | 1,137$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.76 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Sabres | 66c | 1,111$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.74 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa10e…4ea1backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Sabres | 67c | 1,045$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.84 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 1,012$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.26 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Maple Leafs | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Sabres | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Maple Leafs | 1c | 1,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Maple Leafs | 33c | 999.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Maple Leafs | 33c | 999.99$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.14 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Sabres | 63c | 999.98$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.99 | 274 | 45.6%125 W · 149 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Sabres | 65c | 958.91$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.62 | 369 | 48%177 W · 192 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Maple Leafs | 26c | 932.49$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.01 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Maple Leafs | 44c | 900$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49a5…b220backed Sabres | 68c | 900$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa52f…8897backed Maple Leafs | 38c | 889.55$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.63 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a8…5fb5backed Sabres | 67c | 822.5$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.27 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.34per pick | 48cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…737ebacked Sabres | 67c | 814.93$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.93 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Sabres | 58c | 807.9$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.74 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 795$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.25 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Sabres | 64c | 733.61$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.29 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Sabres | 46c | 715.11$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.61 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Sabres | 67c | 704.58$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.51 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Maple Leafs | 33c | 696.37$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.86 | 529 | 46.9%248 W · 281 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74c5…6cb7backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 619.84$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.2 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb3…5ceabacked Sabres | 67c | 616.46$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Maple Leafs | 33c | 606.57$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.64 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd7…d2dfbacked Maple Leafs | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Sabres | 67c | 602.08$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.69 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Sabres | 67c | 600$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69d9…9881backed Sabres | 67c | 596.78$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.78 | 306 | 57.8%177 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Sabres | 51c | 583.37$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.37 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d6…be17backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 567.99$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.03 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Maple Leafs vs. Sabresthis page
- Maple Leafs vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5Over won
- Maple Leafs vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5Under won
- Maple Leafs vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5Under won
- Maple Leafs vs. Sabres: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Maple Leafs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.