TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9cf7…737e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
55
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 56 out of 100; worst MLB at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+35.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,516Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+45.4%+$687.94
Bucks vs. Sunsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$348.86
Mavericks vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,550Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$850
Suns vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$998Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$281.49
Trail Blazers vs. Netsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,074Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$551.32
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,808Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$509.95
Grizzlies vs. 76ersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$579Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$578.8
Suns vs. Kingsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$427Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+28.2%+$120.44
Thunder vs. Bullsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+28.2%+$133.88
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$439Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+29.9%+$131.13
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$264
Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 9.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 15.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+194.1%+$388.24
All 14 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick67cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canucks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$768Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$256
Kraken vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$101.74
Panthers vs. Flames: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$804Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$203.98
Blue Jackets vs. Flyers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,955Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$660.66
Maple Leafs vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$546Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$268.93
Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$120
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$168
Rangers vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+64%+$105.01
Blackhawks vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$398
Blackhawks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$423Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+29.9%+$126.35
Maple Leafs vs. Panthers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+75.8%+$125.8
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Morelos: Alafia Ayeni vs Keegan Smithbacked Keegan Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,192
BNP Paribas Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$97.22
BNP Paribas Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Elina Svitolinabacked Ashlyn Krueger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$152
BNP Paribas Open: Ugo Humbert vs Alex Michelsenbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$352.62
BNP Paribas Open: Jessica Pegula vs Donna Vekicbacked Donna Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$107
BNP Paribas Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Clara Tausonbacked Clara Tauson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+38.4%+$12.3
BNP Paribas Open: Peyton Stearns vs Solana Sierrabacked Peyton Stearns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$143
Set Handicap: Nakashima (-1.5) vs Tiafoe (+1.5)backed Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+36.9%+$68.67
Andrea Pellegrino vs. Luciano Darderi: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$169
ATX Open: Rebeka Masarova vs Taylor Townsendbacked Taylor Townsend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+55.3%+$47.57
Chile Open: Cristian Garin vs Sebastian Baezbacked Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$674Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+45.7%+$307.81
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT7100%7 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+49.3%+$73.88
T20 World Cup: South Africa vs New Zealandbacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$200
T20 World Cup: India vs West Indiesbacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Nathaniel Wood vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Losene Keita · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$583Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$583
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Crystal Palace FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,245Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,245
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Columbus Crew vs. Nashville SC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$565Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$565
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.