Tennis · resolved market
BNP Paribas Open: Jessica Pegula vs Donna Vekic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68aac3fafbbbcbf475724b992095dd6b526ed30ee59c9c6e5b56e08fc2daa1ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jessica Pegulaof Jessica Pegula, Donna Vekic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,411
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,411 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Donna Vekic | 17c | 12,528$2,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,098.51 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Donna Vekic | 12c | 10,105$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.55 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Donna Vekic | 12c | 6,442$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.75 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Donna Vekic | 14c | 6,227$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.67 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Donna Vekic | 12c | 1,860$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.91 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Donna Vekic | 12c | 1,300$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.98 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Donna Vekic | 1c | 1,154$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Donna Vekic | 26c | 989$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.71 | 278 | 36.3%101 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Donna Vekic | 13c | 864.83$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.96 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…737ebacked Donna Vekic | 13c | 821.64$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Jessica Pegula | 73c | 820.89$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.64 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Donna Vekic | 16c | 809.38$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.41 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Donna Vekic | 21c | 778.89$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.94 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Donna Vekic | 16c | 710$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.59 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Donna Vekic | 13c | 678$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.14 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb9…6da4backed Jessica Pegula | 78c | 638.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.07 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70a2…6abebacked Donna Vekic | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Donna Vekic | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 706 | 52.7%372 W · 334 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Donna Vekic | 13c | 499.61$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.81 | 265 | 41.9%111 W · 154 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Donna Vekic | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 378 | 54%204 W · 174 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Donna Vekic | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Donna Vekic | 10c | 347.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Donna Vekic | 8c | 343.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Donna Vekic | 13c | 300$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Jessica Pegula | 78c | 290$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 640 | 65.9%422 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Donna Vekic | 14c | 279.04$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…9d85backed Donna Vekic | 8c | 254.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Donna Vekic | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 245 | 60%147 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8b…f894backed Donna Vekic | 12c | 167$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 87 | 24.1%21 W · 66 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x709a…52e5backed Donna Vekic | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Donna Vekic | 10c | 148$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Donna Vekic | 21c | 140$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Jessica Pegula | 67c | 130$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 725 | 42.6%309 W · 416 L | -20.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…61fdbacked Donna Vekic | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed Donna Vekic | 15c | 112.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Donna Vekic | 12c | 112.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 242 | 44.6%108 W · 134 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Donna Vekic | 18c | 105.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Donna Vekic | 16c | 102.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…a977backed Jessica Pegula | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Jessica Pegula | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb172…ffa1backed Donna Vekic | 11c | 96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 148 | 28.4%42 W · 106 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Donna Vekic | 26c | 92.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Jessica Pegula | 72c | 91$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Donna Vekic | 18c | 85.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Donna Vekic | 22c | 84.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…4b13backed Jessica Pegula | 70c | 72.86$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…21a1backed Jessica Pegula | 76c | 43.75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 127 | 65.4%83 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d5…2149backed Jessica Pegula | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 185 | 40%74 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Jessica Pegula | 76c | 39.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 537 | 52.3%281 W · 256 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Donna Vekic | 33c | 39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Jessica Pegula | 76c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BNP Paribas Open: Jessica Pegula vs Donna Vekicthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Pegula vs VekicVekic won
- Set Handicap: Pegula (-1.5) vs Vekic (+1.5)Vekic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.