TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe062…61fd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
169
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: NBA, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 51 out of 100; worst Euroleague at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10649.1%52 W · 54 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 106 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miyazaki: Rio Noguchi vs Tung-Lin Wubacked Tung-Lin Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$62.02
Bucharest Open, Qualification: Billy Harris vs Alex Molcanbacked Billy Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Lehecka (+1.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$12.87
Credit One Charleston Open, Qualification: Donna Vekic vs Ekaterine Gorgodzebacked Ekaterine Gorgodze · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Credit One Charleston Open, Qualification: Aliona Bolsova vs Ekaterine Gorgodzebacked Aliona Bolsova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Naples: Hamad Medjedovic vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$27.35
Naples: Hamad Medjedovic vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$13.58
Morelia: James Duckworth vs Rodrigo Pachecobacked James Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Halys vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Mboko vs. Muchova: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dubrovnik: Tena Lukas vs Anastasia Pavlyuchenkovabacked Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Naples: Saba Purtseladze vs Michele Ribecaibacked Michele Ribecai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$52.88
Miami Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Alexander Shevchenkobacked Alexander Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$62.45
Miami Open: Katie Boulter vs Clara Tausonbacked Clara Tauson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Murcia: Sebastian Ofner vs Roberto Carballes Baenabacked Sebastian Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Miami Open: Janice Tjen vs Yulia Putintsevabacked Janice Tjen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Set Handicap: Cilic (-1.5) vs Popyrin (+1.5)backed Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Collignon vs. Dimitrov: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.59
Zadar: Daniel Michalski vs Arthur Geabacked Daniel Michalski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Miami Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Camila Osoriobacked Camila Osorio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$86.67
Asuncion: Guido Justo vs Juan Carlos Pradobacked Guido Justo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Miami Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Beatriz Haddad Maiabacked Zeynep Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$109.39
Miami Open: Magda Linette vs Varvara Grachevabacked Magda Linette · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$60.35
Miami Open, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Colton Smithbacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
Morelos: Jake Delaney vs Taro Danielbacked Jake Delaney · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Showing 25 of 106 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST3826.3%10 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid+118.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Montana State Bobcats vs. Weber State Wildcatsbacked Montana State Bobcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Idaho Vandals vs. Portland State Vikingsbacked Idaho Vandals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Vermont Catamounts vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked Vermont Catamounts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Pepperdine Waves vs. Portland Pilotsbacked Pepperdine Waves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+1,108.9%+$277.22
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Missouri Tigersbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Oklahoma State Cowboysbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$30
East Tennessee State Buccaneers vs. Furman Paladinsbacked Furman Paladins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$55
LSU Tigers vs. Texas Longhornsbacked LSU Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Rhode Island Ramsbacked Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Louisville Cardinals vs. SMU Mustangsbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+212.5%+$106.25
Ball State Cardinals vs. Ohio Bobcatsbacked Ball State Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Rider Broncs vs. Sacred Heart Pioneersbacked Rider Broncs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Troy Trojans vs. Southern Miss Golden Eaglesbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+108.3%+$54.17
Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Washington Huskiesbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Mercer Bears vs. The Citadel Bulldogsbacked Mercer Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+53.8%+$53.85
California Golden Bears vs. Boston College Eaglesbacked Boston College Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Boise State Broncosbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+4,425.3%+$885.07
George Mason Patriots vs. George Washington Revolutionariesbacked George Mason Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Long Beach State Beach (-1.5)backed Cal State Fullerton Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+100%+$65
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. Bakersfield Roadrunners: O/U 149.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$50
UIC Flames vs. Drake Bulldogs: O/U 147.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+108.3%+$59.58
Presbyterian Blue Hose vs. Charleston Southern Buccaneersbacked Presbyterian Blue Hose · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$50
UMBC Retrievers vs. Maine Black Bearsbacked Maine Black Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Iowa State Cyclones vs. TCU Horned Frogsbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+737%+$221.11
Eastern Illinois Panthers vs. Western Illinois Leathernecks: O/U 132.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Heat (-8.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Spread: Lakers (-16.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Rockets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Heat (-3.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$79.53
Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Suns vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 109.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.33
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Bulls vs. Warriorsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$124.09
Knicks vs. Clippersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$55
Grizzlies vs. Nets: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Warriors vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Spread: Rockets (-9.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+100%+$70
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Team World vs. Team USA Starsbacked Team USA Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+156.4%+$101.67
Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Spread: Warriors (-7.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+112.8%+$78.94
All 19 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+48.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.