TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

California Golden Bears vs. Boston College Eagles

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
California Golden Bearsof California Golden Bears, Boston College Eagles
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$84,955
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$91,699

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,955 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1967…0debbacked Boston College Eagles0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206826.5%18 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked California Golden Bears65c9,871$6,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,460.681,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Boston College Eagles23c4,452$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.422,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed California Golden Bears64c3,012$1,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,081.2537947.8%181 W · 198 L-26.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Boston College Eagles1c2,939$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.671,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed California Golden Bears70c1,999$1,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.013,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Boston College Eagles38c1,787$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.2960548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Boston College Eagles25c1,737$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.851,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cee…b72abacked Boston College Eagles34c1,540$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Boston College Eagles34c1,353$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.042,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb72…c3c6backed California Golden Bears64c1,307$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.52560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+165.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcf1…29ffbacked Boston College Eagles36c1,298$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.28333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Boston College Eagles35c1,288$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.2230249.3%149 W · 153 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Boston College Eagles15c1,159$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.764,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed California Golden Bears67c1,033$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.1168254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xecc2…eeefbacked California Golden Bears79c900.39$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.087272.2%52 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Boston College Eagles37c900.17$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.1212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked California Golden Bears63c793.65$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.659771.1%69 W · 28 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Boston College Eagles5c749.74$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.615,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xae8a…3a8abacked Boston College Eagles3c685.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Boston College Eagles36c598.21$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.1192246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked California Golden Bears62c537.39$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.2137142.6%158 W · 213 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe062…61fdbacked Boston College Eagles4c520.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203826.3%10 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid+118.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Boston College Eagles39c468$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.641,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd523…594bbacked California Golden Bears63c466.67$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.67475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Boston College Eagles34c461.76$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15725544.3%113 W · 142 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed California Golden Bears62c458$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.551,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Boston College Eagles36c447$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.913951.3%20 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Boston College Eagles34c417$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.7874152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Boston College Eagles38c400.49$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.191,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Boston College Eagles37c383.2$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.0737441.7%156 W · 218 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Boston College Eagles37c382.38$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.061,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30a3…1943backed Boston College Eagles37c381$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.875740.4%23 W · 34 L-7.2wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-29.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8b01…36e8backed California Golden Bears66c379.05$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Boston College Eagles37c377.8$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.6199045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba9f…083fbacked Boston College Eagles37c365.76$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13530%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Boston College Eagles31c356.35$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.984,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Boston College Eagles36c335$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.650745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Boston College Eagles35c283.89$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7531647.8%151 W · 165 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Boston College Eagles30c274.36$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.873,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9351…ef0fbacked Boston College Eagles37c270$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.913743.8%60 W · 77 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed California Golden Bears64c269.67$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9843053.3%229 W · 201 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Boston College Eagles22c227.26$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.381,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf0b…44fdbacked Boston College Eagles5c220.62$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103231.3%10 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Boston College Eagles36c206.13$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.217038.6%27 W · 43 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa341…0aeabacked Boston College Eagles37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x476a…dd44backed Boston College Eagles37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5c…b944backed Boston College Eagles37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…7be6backed Boston College Eagles38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765855.2%32 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Boston College Eagles36c199.54$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.822,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Boston College Eagles39c153.85$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked California Golden Bears66c150.64$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6414151.1%72 W · 69 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Boston College Eagles35c150$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.525946.3%120 W · 139 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ea0…f0dabacked California Golden Bears64c150$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542552%13 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf084…4b0ebacked Boston College Eagles8c140$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2230%0 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Boston College Eagles36c139.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010736.4%39 W · 68 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Boston College Eagles39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018851.6%97 W · 91 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Boston College Eagles39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017950.8%91 W · 88 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfae3…9192backed California Golden Bears79c120$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.21894.4%17 W · 1 L+3.4wins+0.19per pick76cpaid+25%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Boston College Eagles36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce0…ff19backed California Golden Bears63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+30.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c1f…039dbacked California Golden Bears63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+52.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc973…e254backed California Golden Bears63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked California Golden Bears63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3729444.6%131 W · 163 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb80d…0f4ebacked California Golden Bears63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8739…64a1backed Boston College Eagles37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x888f…d6aebacked California Golden Bears63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb29a…4cdabacked California Golden Bears63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Boston College Eagles35c99.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x752e…ecbfbacked Boston College Eagles36c97.22$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357352.1%38 W · 35 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Boston College Eagles37c95$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1550548.9%247 W · 258 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked Boston College Eagles37c94.85$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3519332.1%62 W · 131 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1452…2f32backed Boston College Eagles34c92$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed California Golden Bears52c92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1640849.8%203 W · 205 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae0e…aabcbacked California Golden Bears66c92$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ef…4783backed Boston College Eagles36c90$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b55…7aafbacked California Golden Bears64c90$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed California Golden Bears68c88.89$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1320248%97 W · 105 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b15…f827backed California Golden Bears63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.374845.8%22 W · 26 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-11.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf13a…a600backed Boston College Eagles37c78.38$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8a0…d67cbacked California Golden Bears64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.131258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed California Golden Bears64c77.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.771,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Boston College Eagles36c73.89$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.640755.8%227 W · 180 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x119f…c7adbacked Boston College Eagles38c69.59$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc14d…f8b4backed Boston College Eagles37c67.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255933.9%20 W · 39 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed California Golden Bears63c63.65$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6522954.1%124 W · 105 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Boston College Eagles32c53.8$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.481,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Boston College Eagles36c53.43$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3242339.2%166 W · 257 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Boston College Eagles38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1989146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed California Golden Bears80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103666.7%24 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed California Golden Bears62c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1921449.5%106 W · 108 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf48e…1e01backed Boston College Eagles36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184450%22 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked Boston College Eagles33c46.15$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2322730.4%69 W · 158 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f85…87d5backed California Golden Bears79c45.07$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.393237.5%12 W · 20 L-5.2wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-28.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x42aa…62c7backed California Golden Bears65c45$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Boston College Eagles39c42.43$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5481453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x62a1…6d59backed Boston College Eagles35c41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.551145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+28.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa97a…08e9backed California Golden Bears64c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.41770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+26.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6f7…1f33backed Boston College Eagles39c38.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153928.2%11 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-29.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3ebb…daeabacked California Golden Bears79c37.97$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.