TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8ea0…f0da

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
79
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NFL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 53 out of 100; worst CS2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT2552%13 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$26.95
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Colorado State Ramsbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$38.48
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$55.29
Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Prairie View A&M Panthersbacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.27
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.03
Grambling State Tigers vs. Prairie View A&M Panthersbacked Grambling State Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Towson Tigers vs. Monmouth Hawksbacked Towson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$222
San Francisco Dons vs. San Diego Torerosbacked San Francisco Dons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+37%+$22.19
Charleston Cougars vs. Campbell Fighting Camelsbacked Charleston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+31.6%+$31.58
Eastern Kentucky Colonels vs. North Alabama Lionsbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Green Bay Phoenix vs. Milwaukee Panthersbacked Green Bay Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$196
Tulane Green Wave vs. UAB Blazersbacked Tulane Green Wave · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+45.6%+$103.28
Holy Cross Crusaders vs. Loyola Maryland Greyhoundsbacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+42.9%+$30
Maryland Terrapins vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knightsbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+89.9%+$106.5
Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Santa Clara Broncosbacked Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$290
Wyoming Cowboys vs. Colorado State Ramsbacked Wyoming Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Georgia Bulldogs vs. Oklahoma Soonersbacked Georgia Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs. UT Arlington Mavericksbacked UT Arlington Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$111.6
Elon Phoenix vs. William & Mary Tribebacked Elon Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+75.8%+$112.1
Wagner Seahawks vs. Stonehill Skyhawksbacked Wagner Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+83.2%+$83.18
Fordham Rams vs. Rhode Island Ramsbacked Rhode Island Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$100
California Golden Bears vs. Boston College Eaglesbacked California Golden Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+56.3%+$54
Hampton Pirates vs. North Carolina A&T Aggiesbacked Hampton Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$112.2
Iona Gaels vs. Canisius Golden Griffinsbacked Iona Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+49.3%+$49.25
Manhattan Jaspers vs. Niagara Purple Eaglesbacked Manhattan Jaspers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+85.2%+$85.19
All 25 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT1921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-60.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.38
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.62
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.18
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.08
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,248Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,247.8
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$84.62
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.13
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$505Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$505
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$44.28
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$364Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+213.4%+$776.58
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$79.44
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.6
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
All 19 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-38.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$63
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10.47
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$49.97
Counter-Strike: ENCE Academy vs CSDIILIT (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Cbacked CSDIILIT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$11.8
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+104.1%+$25.5
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+33.3%+$12.5
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - CCT South America Series #8 Playoffsbacked ShindeN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+32.6%+$24.58
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$58
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+47.1%+$47.06
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick64cpaid-68.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blues vs. Flamesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Sharks vs. Senatorsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: MIBR vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+185.7%+$130
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+125.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+125.8%+$77.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Heroic (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+56.3%+$11.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+40.2%+$34.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$121.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$76.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$148
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.