TailMyPicks

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Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: MIBR vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FURIA Esportsof MIBR, FURIA Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$264,927
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$275,123

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $264,927 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 324 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1341…0853backed FURIA Esports56c13,682$7,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,073.811172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d91…bb2abacked MIBR75c11,779$8,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,860.957659.2%45 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed FURIA Esports34c6,303$2,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,187.023435.3%12 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e7c…0df6backed MIBR72c6,004$4,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,313.1450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed FURIA Esports25c5,581$1,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,185.7534356.9%195 W · 148 L+23.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed MIBR44c5,294$2,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,342.1293148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8115…6474backed MIBR73c5,100$3,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,722.9420%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x757f…311dbacked MIBR75c4,000$2,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.142040%8 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-31.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed MIBR56c3,894$2,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,176.651,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8f9…fee2backed MIBR55c3,331$1,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,831.9728247.5%134 W · 148 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed MIBR47c3,172$1,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,487.026647%31 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed FURIA Esports25c3,151$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,363.5324946.2%115 W · 134 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3491…5909backed MIBR75c3,000$2,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,244.721650%8 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a61…5781backed MIBR67c2,991$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6f9…bff5backed MIBR51c2,625$1,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,348.347456.8%42 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked FURIA Esports26c2,600$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,92212750.4%64 W · 63 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked FURIA Esports25c2,520$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,889.992751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+28.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked FURIA Esports80c2,400$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4801291.7%11 W · 1 L+3.9wins+0.32per pick59cpaid+59.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed FURIA Esports25c2,250$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,687.58438.1%32 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed MIBR43c2,080$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891.6412835.9%46 W · 82 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed MIBR47c2,046$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.218835.2%31 W · 57 L-9.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-32.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed FURIA Esports24c1,969$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,486.9928548.4%138 W · 147 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked MIBR55c1,676$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.821144.1%93 W · 118 L-13.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed FURIA Esports27c1,606$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,175.788751.7%45 W · 42 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed MIBR31c1,606$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.1933759.6%201 W · 136 L+18.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed FURIA Esports75c1,500$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3751838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d30…1a5ebacked FURIA Esports74c1,482$1,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.922045%9 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c17…f4f0backed FURIA Esports48c1,393$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.994562.2%28 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2733…ac38backed FURIA Esports32c1,360$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.16944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked MIBR49c1,301$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.118837.5%33 W · 55 L-7.9wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc10a…45bfbacked FURIA Esports22c1,247$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.021225%3 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked FURIA Esports31c1,186$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.785438.9%21 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked FURIA Esports61c1,127$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.6111433.3%38 W · 76 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked FURIA Esports51c1,126$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.6688844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf24e…080dbacked FURIA Esports41c1,120$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+144.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked MIBR55c1,059$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.4368458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked FURIA Esports29c1,049$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.5736138.5%139 W · 222 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed MIBR71c1,000$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71021454.2%116 W · 98 L+0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed FURIA Esports24c1,000$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7609837.8%37 W · 61 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed FURIA Esports29c999.98$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.9828541.1%117 W · 168 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93c8…adffbacked FURIA Esports31c974.74$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.742941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd8c4…bb5dbacked FURIA Esports36c971.69$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.882853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+18%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe948…a7c3backed FURIA Esports54c924.9$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked MIBR49c915$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.7810840.7%44 W · 64 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed FURIA Esports38c914.74$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.2426050%130 W · 130 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed FURIA Esports25c872$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.118551.8%44 W · 41 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2752…8ce3backed FURIA Esports73c844.56$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.122100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed MIBR56c841.68$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.8841537.1%154 W · 261 L-26.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb3ed…4ec5backed FURIA Esports21c828.67$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.75450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+113.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x811e…265cbacked FURIA Esports33c799.99$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.994100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+83.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe98e…a046backed FURIA Esports33c763.83$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc57…f5f4backed FURIA Esports67c746.27$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked FURIA Esports26c735.71$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.4526738.2%102 W · 165 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8da1…339ebacked FURIA Esports25c698.2$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.655040%20 W · 30 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8db…54e8backed MIBR72c691.33$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed FURIA Esports31c670$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.38066.3%53 W · 27 L+8.5wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+20%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed MIBR49c669.24$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.42737%10 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8479…37f8backed MIBR53c667.15$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8129…5f30backed MIBR45c665.84$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.1920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed MIBR66c653.82$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.670251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked FURIA Esports28c648.74$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.472857.1%16 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed MIBR38c635.94$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.6726634.6%92 W · 174 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb24f…c638backed MIBR63c608.07$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.31580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+31.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a56…c6e0backed MIBR76c550.86$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.7110758.9%63 W · 44 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed FURIA Esports37c540.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.544452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55f0…3cf5backed MIBR56c538.86$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+25.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed MIBR75c534.61$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.962060%12 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick63cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed FURIA Esports56c523$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.121070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac0c…739cbacked FURIA Esports25c520.06$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.09850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf740…cf50backed FURIA Esports37c505.3$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.871471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+21.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed MIBR74c500$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37062156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fbc…62a3backed MIBR55c499.99$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.51758.8%10 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked FURIA Esports45c490.85$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.699062.2%56 W · 34 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed FURIA Esports24c488.99$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.456131.1%19 W · 42 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-35.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1e29…5baebacked FURIA Esports47c485.97$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.97425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-47.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc40…490dbacked FURIA Esports42c478.68$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+139.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ab…7954backed FURIA Esports31c476.83$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.832948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed MIBR36c471.79$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.846051.7%31 W · 29 L+6.1wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+10.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed MIBR65c468.92$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.86737.3%25 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed MIBR43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002556%14 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48f2…88e1backed FURIA Esports38c462.91$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.761758.8%10 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed FURIA Esports30c453.02$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.5717537.7%66 W · 109 L-14.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-29.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7eaf…bb0cbacked FURIA Esports38c438.73$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.311040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc494…543cbacked MIBR53c423.95$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked MIBR71c421.13$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2992751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked MIBR77c414.47$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32014452.1%75 W · 69 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf878…05c1backed MIBR8c400$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick6cpaid+999.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked MIBR7c400$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2830828.2%87 W · 221 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb581…fa4ebacked MIBR63c400$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.284346.5%20 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a9d…98ddbacked FURIA Esports40c399.42$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.642657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+23.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa502…8c2bbacked MIBR51c396.9$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96f0…a122backed FURIA Esports27c382.3$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.081060%6 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+98%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x76d0…c092backed MIBR51c378.98$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.43333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked FURIA Esports16c371.68$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.684040%16 W · 24 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed FURIA Esports42c350.54$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.413537.1%13 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fbc…d6a4backed MIBR73c337.56$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.371471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+28.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x82b9…c6cebacked MIBR75c333.33$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506366.7%42 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabd6…ca90backed MIBR65c332.99$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.441566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked FURIA Esports30c330$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23110460.6%63 W · 41 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed MIBR72c306.75$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.736672.7%48 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.