Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: MIBR vs FURIA Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c6286c5ae495e1a956c782cf4f1075779e02998bef9aba77ed4c5c1ab14d11b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIA Esportsof MIBR, FURIA Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,643
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,029
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,643 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed MIBR | 42c | 4,163$1,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,765 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed FURIA Esports | 57c | 2,800$1,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.41 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked MIBR | 50c | 1,932$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.98 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked FURIA Esports | 64c | 1,463$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.72 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…b346backed FURIA Esports | 42c | 709.43$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.43 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed FURIA Esports | 58c | 624.01$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.5 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b82…a340backed MIBR | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9a…796cbacked MIBR | 55c | 548.99$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.48 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed FURIA Esports | 75c | 496.94$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.66 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed MIBR | 24c | 376.45$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.91 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked MIBR | 39c | 348$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.72 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed MIBR | 12c | 324$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed MIBR | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked MIBR | 9c | 279.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 308 | 28.2%87 W · 221 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed MIBR | 29c | 250$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.36 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…7adebacked FURIA Esports | 43c | 164.17$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.17 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x172c…94b0backed MIBR | 67c | 150.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9d…98ddbacked MIBR | 52c | 135.71$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.71 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5837…9a00backed FURIA Esports | 67c | 133$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.17 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf459…7a53backed FURIA Esports | 40c | 130$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked MIBR | 13c | 130$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2460…e144backed MIBR | 11c | 125.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed MIBR | 14c | 124.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…189dbacked MIBR | 67c | 120.6$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.8 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e83…7723backed MIBR | 45c | 95.62$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked FURIA Esports | 33c | 94.17$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.09 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed MIBR | 18c | 79.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MIBR | 46c | 65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed FURIA Esports | 65c | 52$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb03c…6197backed MIBR | 50c | 43.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9e…0db0backed FURIA Esports | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked MIBR | 42c | 35.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 170 | 39.4%67 W · 103 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…7350backed MIBR | 32c | 32.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f03…7551backed FURIA Esports | 41c | 24.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed MIBR | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4584…fb0dbacked MIBR | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: MIBR vs FURIA Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)FURIA Esports won
- Valorant: MIBR vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - VCT Americas Kickoff PlayoffsFURIA Esports won
- Valorant: MIBR vs FURIA Esports - Map 1 WinnerMIBR won
- Valorant: MIBR vs FURIA Esports - Map 3 WinnerFURIA Esports won
- Valorant: MIBR vs FURIA Esports - Map 4 WinnerMIBR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.