Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: MIBR vs FURIA Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97d917076c96ebb33dcc3769f9d7e21c1c88ed6d89a0eca8f04e27f4e7d29ca0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MIBRof MIBR, FURIA Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,289
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,322
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,289 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked MIBR | 62c | 4,416$2,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660.76 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed MIBR | 50c | 4,143$2,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,061.76 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed FURIA Esports | 41c | 3,938$1,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,618.67 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FURIA Esports | 39c | 1,776$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.4 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed FURIA Esports | 44c | 1,041$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.69 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked FURIA Esports | 49c | 581.77$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.47 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked MIBR | 62c | 557.44$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.52 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9a…796cbacked MIBR | 52c | 408.66$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.58 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad6…a93cbacked MIBR | 59c | 399.99$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MIBR | 66c | 397.26$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.25 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9d…98ddbacked FURIA Esports | 45c | 379.99$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.25 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2460…e144backed MIBR | 52c | 318.91$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.74 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…1f44backed MIBR | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.31 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 56cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4425…12efbacked FURIA Esports | 43c | 299.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed FURIA Esports | 40c | 280$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed FURIA Esports | 11c | 279$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.87 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked MIBR | 66c | 259.92$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.23 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed MIBR | 69c | 216.67$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…b346backed MIBR | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed FURIA Esports | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc4…306fbacked MIBR | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked MIBR | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…7adebacked FURIA Esports | 47c | 158.1$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…d27abacked MIBR | 50c | 150.96$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.48 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked MIBR | 55c | 126.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.69 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6976…3185backed FURIA Esports | 44c | 120.22$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.41 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed MIBR | 62c | 120$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x980e…c819backed FURIA Esports | 55c | 119.89$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked FURIA Esports | 39c | 109.07$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.54 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…c930backed FURIA Esports | 39c | 94.48$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.61 | 212 | 57.1%121 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed FURIA Esports | 55c | 75.45$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5837…9a00backed MIBR | 68c | 65.96$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed FURIA Esports | 31c | 65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…3538backed FURIA Esports | 41c | 61.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78b1…f58fbacked FURIA Esports | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked FURIA Esports | 34c | 56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed MIBR | 54c | 52.48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…7350backed FURIA Esports | 33c | 45.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed MIBR | 57c | 40.35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed MIBR | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked FURIA Esports | 52c | 39.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a7…a27fbacked MIBR | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked FURIA Esports | 35c | 30.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 212 | 40.1%85 W · 127 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9e…0db0backed MIBR | 62c | 29.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed FURIA Esports | 50c | 29.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 207 | 55.6%115 W · 92 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3335…f6debacked MIBR | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x063f…d10fbacked MIBR | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7730…df57backed FURIA Esports | 51c | 23.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed MIBR | 65c | 16.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…8c94backed MIBR | 71c | 16.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: MIBR vs FURIA Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)FURIA Esports won
- Valorant: MIBR vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - VCT Americas Kickoff PlayoffsFURIA Esports won
- Valorant: MIBR vs FURIA Esports - Map 2 WinnerFURIA Esports won
- Valorant: MIBR vs FURIA Esports - Map 3 WinnerFURIA Esports won
- Valorant: MIBR vs FURIA Esports - Map 4 WinnerMIBR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.