TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc8f9…fee2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
372
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NHL, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 58 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT28247.5%134 W · 148 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 282 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Valorant: SwimTrek Blue vs Shopify Rebellion Gold (BO5) - VCT Game Changers North America Playoffsbacked SwimTrek Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$71.61
Valorant: FlyQuest RED vs SwimTrek Blue (BO3) - VCT Game Changers North America Playoffsbacked FlyQuest RED · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.27
Valorant: T1 Academy vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Seasonbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.6
Valorant: QoR vs FlyQuest (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked NRG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs Team Evictix (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked Team Evictix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.31
Valorant: Dynamo Esports vs Alliance Guardians - Map 2 Winnerbacked Dynamo Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Valorant: Dynamo Esports vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked Dynamo Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.18
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD (BO5) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2backed LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.4
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2backed FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.47
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.94
Valorant: Team Heretics vs BBL Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.26
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$151
Valorant: Mandatory vs WIP Esports (BO5) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Playoffsbacked Mandatory · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.84
Valorant: YFP Gaming vs FlyQuest (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Playoffsbacked YFP Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.11
Valorant: GIANTX GC vs Twisted Minds Orchid (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagebacked GIANTX GC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.48
Valorant: LOUD vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+126.3%+$185.69
Valorant: Paper Rex vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$158.73
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$121.33
Showing 25 of 282 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT2937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$32.44
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.08
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.23
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.51
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$33.97
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$81.58
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+301.2%+$150.6
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$129.27
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.5
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.06
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.23
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs EYEBALLERS - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+97.2%+$165.07
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs EYEBALLERS - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.8
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.69
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.27
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.07
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs BIG (BO3) - HLC Belgrade Pro Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$25.91
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$194.92
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.05
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs ACROBATS (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+101.4%+$162.89
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$129.27
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.55
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT2157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Jazz vs. Thunder: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.94
Wizards vs. Nets: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$136.5
Spread: Raptors (-14.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$116.34
Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.41
Spread: Bulls (-4.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$98
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+93.7%+$56.4
Cavaliers vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+93.2%+$46.27
Jazz vs. Suns: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.5
Spread: Clippers (-9.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$47.13
Hornets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$318.18
Celtics vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$298
Spread: Pelicans (-11.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+85.3%+$156.09
Caleb Martin: Points O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$41
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$320
Hornets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Raptors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+141.2%+$353.08
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+96.1%+$288.24
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+112.8%+$260.49
All 21 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+37.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canucks vs. Ducksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$118.76
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$133.15
Oilers vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$154
Oilers vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$98.82
Blue Jackets vs. Red Wingsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$106.16
Capitals vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Devils vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+126.2%+$164.05
Blackhawks vs. Krakenbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+150%+$150
Flames vs. Ducksbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$138.88
Flyers vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$241
Penguins vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$108
Ducks vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Islanders vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$91.94
Maple Leafs vs. Ducksbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$122.37
Flyers vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.82
Devils vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$59.2
Flames vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$173
Capitals vs. Predatorsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$249.26
All 19 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.5wins-0.32per pick50cpaid-66.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.2
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.39
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.43
Weber State Wildcats vs. Montana State Bobcats: O/U 146.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Utah State Aggies vs. Colorado State Ramsbacked Colorado State Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$133.35
Spread: Cal State Fullerton Titans (-3.5)backed Long Beach State Beach · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$236
Monmouth Hawks vs. Hampton Pirates: O/U 135.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+100%+$200
Spread: Robert Morris Colonials (-5.5)backed Milwaukee Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-15.5)backed Richmond Spiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Spread: Columbia Lions (-3.5)backed Columbia Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$185
Niagara Purple Eagles vs. Manhattan Jaspersbacked Manhattan Jaspers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+63.6%+$154.62
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+125.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-41.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$448.2
Spread: Eagles (-4.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+75.7%+$300.71
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$400
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$122.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$486Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+73.2%+$355.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$429.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$474Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$473.69
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.