Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x470651feca3fd20ba0dc57e996d0662a144a38bb54defba252257afe254735cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gentle Matesof Team Liquid, Gentle Mates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,093
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,648
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,093 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba38…e406backed Gentle Mates | 61c | 57,068$34,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,498.17 | 548 | 51.1%280 W · 268 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Team Liquid | 39c | 16,500$6,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,435 | 524 | 55.2%289 W · 235 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Team Liquid | 40c | 15,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Team Liquid | 39c | 15,000$5,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,850 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Team Liquid | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.99 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Team Liquid | 38c | 1,509$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Gentle Mates | 62c | 1,384$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.59 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Team Liquid | 39c | 1,325$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.08 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Gentle Mates | 62c | 1,129$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.03 | 235 | 63.4%149 W · 86 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Team Liquid | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Team Liquid | 38c | 999.96$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.99 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Gentle Mates | 61c | 630$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.7 | 257 | 61.1%157 W · 100 L | +22.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed Gentle Mates | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Gentle Mates | 60c | 447.88$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.8 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Gentle Mates | 60c | 377.17$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.87 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Team Liquid | 42c | 300$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.49 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…7fa7backed Gentle Mates | 62c | 291.63$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.82 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed Team Liquid | 39c | 252.49$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.47 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Team Liquid | 39c | 250$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9e…102abacked Gentle Mates | 61c | 250$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Gentle Mates | 60c | 247.93$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.92 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Gentle Mates | 60c | 230$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2b…d422backed Gentle Mates | 45c | 199.99$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.99 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +52%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed Team Liquid | 39c | 192.79$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.19 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Gentle Mates | 59c | 184$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.22 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Team Liquid | 40c | 172.5$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Team Liquid | 41c | 166.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.47 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Team Liquid | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked Team Liquid | 38c | 130$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed Gentle Mates | 61c | 128.98$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.3 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Gentle Mates | 61c | 128.97$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.3 | 230 | 55.7%128 W · 102 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Team Liquid | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 229 | 55%126 W · 103 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Gentle Mates | 62c | 121$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.98 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed Team Liquid | 37c | 115$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.55 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -26.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Gentle Mates | 62c | 104$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.52 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…52fbbacked Team Liquid | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45e2…9a52backed Team Liquid | 39c | 97.79$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Team Liquid | 69c | 94.19$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.99 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Gentle Mates | 62c | 88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Team Liquid | 40c | 83.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 117 | 47%55 W · 62 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Team Liquid | 40c | 83.47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 175 | 55.4%97 W · 78 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Gentle Mates | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Team Liquid | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Team Liquid | 39c | 67.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Gentle Mates | 60c | 66.12$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.12 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +12.2wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked Team Liquid | 40c | 58.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cc…ce77backed Gentle Mates | 59c | 53.1$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Gentle Mates | 61c | 52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Team Liquid | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…96f4backed Gentle Mates | 62c | 46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Gentle Mates | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Gentle Mates | 60c | 38.85$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 199 | 43.7%87 W · 112 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x269a…2e22backed Team Liquid | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf768…7831backed Gentle Mates | 62c | 31.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Gentle Mates | 59c | 26.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47d2…1945backed Gentle Mates | 62c | 22.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Valorant: Team Liquid vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA PlayoffsGentle Mates won
- Valorant: Team Liquid vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Valorant: Team Liquid vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 WinnerGentle Mates won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.