TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Thunder: O/U 239.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$329,472
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$315,893

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $329,472 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over51c127,981$65,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62,488.2387451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Over52c106,829$55,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,325.3819754.3%107 W · 90 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under48c100,988$48,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,474.4566248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Under48c80,000$38,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,40026253.8%141 W · 121 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under52c19,978$10,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,388.731,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Under10c13,006$1,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,330.522913.8%4 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick11cpaid-70.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Under49c9,939$4,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,869.958839.8%35 W · 53 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over49c9,621$4,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,906.931,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under7c7,007$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.841,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Under11c6,464$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.2470147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under48c5,588$2,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6821,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,96079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under18c3,503$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.528,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa936…3b90backed Under52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,560450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under51c2,491$1,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,270.369,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff4b…d019backed Under22c2,008$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb007…21f2backed Under50c1,939$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.021346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under49c1,664$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.071,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under49c1,577$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.523,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Over48c1,563$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.6715644.9%70 W · 86 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfbad…9e4bbacked Over48c1,542$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.993455.9%19 W · 15 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+26.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under12c1,513$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.7352230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under48c1,267$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.131,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Under50c1,010$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50514940.9%61 W · 88 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d7c…51b6backed Over46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5403040%12 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf003…0a0cbacked Under48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4801346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f1…d942backed Under48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4801145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e44…1953backed Under52c999.97$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-36%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under50c989.84$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.0268645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c971.78$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.455,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under44c855.32$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.551,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under44c851.15$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.721,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under44c850.24$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.0390650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under44c846.07$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.2129849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under48c800$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3841,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Under48c773.16$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.1127241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Under13c771.95$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6318835.1%66 W · 122 L+24.5wins+0.13per pick22cpaid+116.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under51c771.88$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.0971654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under51c757.08$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.111,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked Over51c691.94$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.0512257.4%70 W · 52 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under51c684.93$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.0458953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over48c666.18$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.874,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under10c595.41$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.62,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over50c533.64$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.8221247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Under51c526.44$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.9342352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Under50c515.08$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.8322047.3%104 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under38c507.53$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.8519550.8%99 W · 96 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Under49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24522846.1%105 W · 123 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x56de…bc32backed Under49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2454940.8%20 W · 29 L-6.4wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-27.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Under50c494.7$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.3517651.7%91 W · 85 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43bf…425abacked Over50c483.55$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.011656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under10c478.35$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.571,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under51c475.78$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.6550954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Under21c451.2$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.2716147.2%76 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Under38c434.16$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.8211346%52 W · 61 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under38c419.52$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.659250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdef1…c0debacked Over52c417.62$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.466852.9%36 W · 32 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccb7…0477backed Over48c395.44$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.45455.6%30 W · 24 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under50c388$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19491050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under49c386.38$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.262,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Under51c377.55$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.612752.8%67 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Under33c360.1$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.4336852.2%192 W · 176 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under50c332.84$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.3151647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed Under50c311.87$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.437153.5%38 W · 33 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Under52c294.1$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.9549852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under38c293.65$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.592,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Under49c266$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.2947436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7335…dd65backed Over52c261.72$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.694667.4%31 W · 15 L+6.2wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+21.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under30c258.1$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.0844551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x782c…2445backed Over49c237.4$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.088342.2%35 W · 48 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under51c232.57$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.1461151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over54c232.37$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.7626839.2%105 W · 163 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacb…03b7backed Over48c232.03$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.2810457.7%60 W · 44 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe006…25a1backed Over48c222.02$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.45837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85ad…d3fbbacked Under21c217.36$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.649740.2%39 W · 58 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under51c205.33$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.721,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Under51c199.88$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.6614640.4%59 W · 87 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd523…032dbacked Under49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.941030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8f9…fee2backed Under49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.942157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe226…95a5backed Over51c196.05$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.069853.1%52 W · 46 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Under50c194.45$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.6739448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over52c194.24$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2432450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under48c188.24$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.731,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x282b…cc76backed Under49c178.05$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.251952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under48c176.65$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.7955347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf498…3d66backed Under50c175.23$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.2911855.1%65 W · 53 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under51c172.5$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.6781349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a53…074abacked Under12c169.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.375448.1%26 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Under50c164.9$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4518055%99 W · 81 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over74c151.82$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9760049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under9c143.41$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5727553.5%147 W · 128 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61af…aa01backed Under50c139.21$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.1338464.3%247 W · 137 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over52c135.97$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.2642853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Under52c123.51$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5767248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under49c123.13$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.346,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa15f…ad19backed Under52c121.4$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.139854.1%53 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Under14c119.77$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0711826.3%31 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8d6…4af7backed Over66c108.09$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.855269.2%36 W · 16 L+11.8wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+53.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xcf10…691bbacked Under49c107.89$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3313751.1%70 W · 67 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbeef…5667backed Under50c106.7$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3515253.3%81 W · 71 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.