NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-24.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x210fa419aa8ab16ec246750874ab1a1e14a8cf6dda1933cc66db7b02a539256a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,056,276
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,071,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,056,276 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Jazz | 49c | 850,000$417,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417,000 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe934…640bbacked Thunder | 50c | 464,978$232,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232,565.93 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Thunder | 52c | 418,596$217,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200,925.96 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Jazz | 50c | 40,000$20,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,199.96 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Jazz | 48c | 28,813$13,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,830.09 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Thunder | 51c | 24,603$12,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,055.44 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Thunder | 49c | 11,813$5,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,024.69 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Thunder | 51c | 11,119$5,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,448.5 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e70…f06fbacked Jazz | 49c | 10,419$5,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,075.24 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Jazz | 46c | 9,999$4,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,606.57 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Jazz | 49c | 9,654$4,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,728.96 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Thunder | 49c | 9,595$4,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,893.57 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Thunder | 54c | 9,043$4,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,159.93 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb579…d7d0backed Jazz | 49c | 6,000$2,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,910 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…3096backed Jazz | 51c | 5,613$2,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,862.69 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Jazz | 49c | 4,847$2,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,375.03 | 133 | 39.1%52 W · 81 L | -11.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x031a…50b7backed Thunder | 52c | 3,803$1,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,806.65 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Thunder | 75c | 3,527$2,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.16 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Jazz | 49c | 3,363$1,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,647.98 | 158 | 50.6%80 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Jazz | 49c | 2,714$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.02 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Thunder | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.96 | 209 | 45.5%95 W · 114 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Jazz | 15c | 2,464$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.37 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9feebacked Jazz | 51c | 2,123$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.67 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Jazz | 49c | 2,058$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.18 | 173 | 56.1%97 W · 76 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Jazz | 8c | 1,967$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.65 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Jazz | 29c | 1,531$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.91 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Jazz | 51c | 1,456$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.16 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30c6…1b67backed Jazz | 49c | 1,320$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fd…b5afbacked Jazz | 50c | 1,164$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 50c | 1,124$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.19 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Jazz | 48c | 1,101$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.25 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Jazz | 49c | 1,013$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.38 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Jazz | 51c | 1,010$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.09 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Jazz | 26c | 999.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Thunder | 52c | 971.2$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.18 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Jazz | 49c | 969.4$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.01 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…f80abacked Thunder | 71c | 934.51$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.41 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3b…0cf9backed Thunder | 52c | 933.85$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.25 | 221 | 59.7%132 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Jazz | 48c | 861.57$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.48 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Jazz | 50c | 837.54$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.6 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Thunder | 48c | 829.99$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.59 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Thunder | 49c | 791.35$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.59 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Jazz | 48c | 692.53$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.66 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Jazz | 30c | 647.65$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Jazz | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Thunder | 52c | 582.72$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.71 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Jazz | 49c | 581.64$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb628…fd2bbacked Thunder | 51c | 475.9$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.25 | 118 | 73.7%87 W · 31 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43bf…425abacked Thunder | 53c | 458.4$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.45 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…44c1backed Thunder | 52c | 388.48$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.47 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Jazz | 48c | 374.49$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.69 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4355…c5d4backed Jazz | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.24 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Jazz | 52c | 371.21$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.28 | 197 | 41.6%82 W · 115 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Jazz | 47c | 346.32$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.77 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…7ee5backed Thunder | 53c | 342.62$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.03 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Jazz | 50c | 317.47$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.24 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d6…4af7backed Thunder | 23c | 302.05$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.13 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +11.8wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf138…c953backed Jazz | 49c | 296.76$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.41 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -6.0wins | -0.35per pick | 47cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…edfdbacked Jazz | 51c | 282.92$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.64 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Thunder | 44c | 277.32$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.95 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Thunder | 53c | 275.04$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.27 | 395 | 52.2%206 W · 189 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Jazz | 46c | 215.21$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 337 | 48.1%162 W · 175 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Jazz | 47c | 209$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.23 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Jazz | 26c | 207.14$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.21 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Thunder | 49c | 201.64$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.83 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Jazz | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Thunder | 73c | 199.95$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb00f…e0e9backed Thunder | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…fd1ebacked Jazz | 50c | 192.3$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.03 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Jazz | 52c | 188.06$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.1 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd4…50bcbacked Jazz | 51c | 187.92$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.05 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe226…95a5backed Thunder | 52c | 186.76$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Thunder | 49c | 174.41$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.56 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Jazz | 46c | 169.77$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.09 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Jazz | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Jazz | 52c | 156.36$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.31 | 560 | 50.4%282 W · 278 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Jazz | 40c | 148.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.9 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -6.9wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Jazz | 45c | 148.34$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.36 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Thunder | 52c | 142.77$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.53 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Thunder | 50c | 119.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Jazz | 55c | 118.59$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.43 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6b…0aa4backed Jazz | 51c | 117.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.57 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Thunder | 52c | 112.31$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.91 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6e…a603backed Jazz | 48c | 108.81$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.23 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce06…c99dbacked Jazz | 51c | 105.57$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.84 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Thunder | 49c | 99.89$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.94 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Jazz | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda65…0f34backed Thunder | 50c | 96.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -36%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4624…ec09backed Thunder | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Jazz | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 381 | 52.8%201 W · 180 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…bdaabacked Thunder | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Thunder | 51c | 83.32$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.82 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…9805backed Jazz | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Thunder | 48c | 78.1$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c3…9792backed Thunder | 49c | 74.73$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.11 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Jazz | 49c | 71.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06ff…8d60backed Thunder | 78c | 71.2$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Thunder | 51c | 69.27$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 276 | 46.7%129 W · 147 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e24…24fbbacked Thunder | 45c | 68.8$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Jazz | 45c | 68.28$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-24.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-12.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-13.5)Thunder won
- Ace Bailey: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Cody Williams: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jazz vs. ThunderThunder won
- Jazz vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Jazz vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Thunder: O/U 238.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Thunder: O/U 239.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Thunder: O/U 242.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Thunder: O/U 244.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Thunder: O/U 245.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Thunder: O/U 247.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Thunder: O/U 249.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Thunder: O/U 252.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Thunder: O/U 254.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Thunder: O/U 255.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Thunder: O/U 256.5Over won
- Kyle Filipowski: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-20.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-21.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-22.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-23.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-31.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-32.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-33.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-34.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-41.5)Jazz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.