NBA · resolved market

Spread: Thunder (-22.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13a42c8f588af76a7d5909cabdddc26d9f611281eb55ec7af3f2d19061ed6de6

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Thunderof Thunder, Jazz
Resolved: Apr 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $132,089
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $157,744

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,089 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0eb7…1f17backed Thunder	63c	27,827$17,658 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,168.53	423	48%203 W · 220 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Jazz	43c	24,918$10,666 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,665.75	148	42.6%63 W · 85 L	-7.8wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x558f…1a56backed Thunder	57c	11,858$6,759 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,098.9	108	60.2%65 W · 43 L	+8.6wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+109.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Jazz	36c	11,376$4,116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,116.31	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Jazz	32c	6,625$2,138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,137.73	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Thunder	56c	6,017$3,357 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,659.68	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Jazz	40c	3,831$1,514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,514.23	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder	57c	3,812$2,170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,642.12	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder	58c	3,641$2,109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,532.19	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jazz	23c	2,923$659 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$658.84	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Jazz	38c	2,920$1,095 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,094.9	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Jazz	45c	2,352$1,058 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,058.47	277	35%97 W · 180 L	-30.7wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4285…cfb5backed Jazz	48c	2,038$978 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$978.41	46	58.7%27 W · 19 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Thunder	57c	1,948$1,111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$837.81	310	46.8%145 W · 165 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jazz	45c	1,864$838 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$838.28	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Thunder	52c	1,775$923 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$851.86	691	49.1%339 W · 352 L	-8.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Jazz	5c	1,750$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	268	39.2%105 W · 163 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Thunder	57c	1,436$818 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$617.27	2,657	49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L	+42.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Thunder	51c	1,378$703 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$675.4	155	45.8%71 W · 84 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Thunder	54c	1,221$659 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$562.46	213	50.7%108 W · 105 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Jazz	46c	1,173$537 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$537.03	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Jazz	38c	1,126$428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$427.87	1,277	47.2%603 W · 674 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Jazz	37c	1,100$407 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$407	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Jazz	43c	1,086$471 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470.81	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Jazz	14c	999.99$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142	131	28.2%37 W · 94 L	-5.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Jazz	41c	994.63$408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$407.8	1,036	47.6%493 W · 543 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Jazz	18c	971.65$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.38	218	48.2%105 W · 113 L	+11.0wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Jazz	43c	905.99$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$389.58	568	43.8%249 W · 319 L	-25.1wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Thunder	77c	761.5$588 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.26	592	50.2%297 W · 295 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Thunder	55c	721.4$397 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$324.63	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Jazz	38c	695.29$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.6	1,399	46.4%649 W · 750 L	-13.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeae2…d963backed Jazz	47c	623.67$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.12	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Thunder	72c	525.23$378 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.41	564	47.9%270 W · 294 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf36a…25abbacked Thunder	52c	485.6$253 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$233.09	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Thunder	79c	481.44$379 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.52	263	37.3%98 W · 165 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Jazz	45c	424.99$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.25	627	44.5%279 W · 348 L	-12.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x426f…e76bbacked Jazz	45c	424$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.8	176	44.9%79 W · 97 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Jazz	46c	399.99$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184	625	39.4%246 W · 379 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Thunder	56c	396.43$223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.44	355	46.5%165 W · 190 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53cd…11b3backed Jazz	26c	367.72$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.56	91	39.6%36 W · 55 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…c00abacked Thunder	60c	347.96$209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.23	188	39.9%75 W · 113 L	-10.3wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Jazz	44c	340.89$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.99	1,393	48.3%673 W · 720 L	+19.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Thunder	57c	339.79$193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.03	906	50.2%455 W · 451 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Thunder	57c	337.38$191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.25	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Thunder	57c	337.38$191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.25	298	49.3%147 W · 151 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Thunder	56c	335.9$189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.86	423	52.5%222 W · 201 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Thunder	56c	332.43$187 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.78	1,084	50%542 W · 542 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Jazz	29c	321.84$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.49	1,170	50.3%588 W · 582 L	+46.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Jazz	32c	318$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.22	361	54.8%198 W · 163 L	+17.7wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Jazz	27c	316$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.07	520	53.3%277 W · 243 L	+29.6wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xae7b…aec1backed Jazz	37c	301.7$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.65	34	55.9%19 W · 15 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Jazz	40c	264.94$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.74	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Thunder	55c	242.74$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.36	1,433	47.2%676 W · 757 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ece…068abacked Jazz	40c	241.33$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.91	40	32.5%13 W · 27 L	-6.4wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-34%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xce3e…ec47backed Jazz	27c	236.18$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.77	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-49.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Jazz	46c	220.4$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.38	813	49.4%402 W · 411 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Jazz	44c	200$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	443	45.1%200 W · 243 L	+2.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xf704…bed4backed Jazz	7c	199.97$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	169	43.8%74 W · 95 L	-5.4wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf10b…2041backed Jazz	51c	199.83$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.91	195	48.7%95 W · 100 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4980…57febacked Jazz	51c	190.03$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.91	102	45.1%46 W · 56 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Jazz	35c	178.51$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.12	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Thunder	57c	167.44$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72	256	41.4%106 W · 150 L	-13.6wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Thunder	57c	150.72$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.81	293	44.4%130 W · 163 L	-7.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Jazz	45c	150$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	533	39.6%211 W · 322 L	-39.9wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa15f…ad19backed Jazz	43c	145.99$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.78	98	54.1%53 W · 45 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Jazz	51c	145.59$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.25	736	49.9%367 W · 369 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Jazz	45c	124$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.17	890	48.8%434 W · 456 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Thunder	49c	122.97$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.72	177	40.1%71 W · 106 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-20%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8b9…46e4backed Jazz	19c	121.06$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.46	58	55.2%32 W · 26 L	+5.5wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x85b8…9d57backed Jazz	19c	113.23$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.51	47	66%31 W · 16 L	+5.2wins	+0.11per pick	55cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Thunder	57c	111.02$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.74	498	52.6%262 W · 236 L	+15.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06ff…8d60backed Jazz	39c	109.26$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.61	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Thunder	65c	105.93$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.22	516	47.5%245 W · 271 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Jazz	19c	105.38$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.02	113	46%52 W · 61 L	-8.1wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Jazz	40c	101.36$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.54	152	52.6%80 W · 72 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Jazz	45c	97.68$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.96	806	53.6%432 W · 374 L	+16.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Thunder	50c	97$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.5	1,888	37.3%704 W · 1,184 L	+9.9wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde51…b01ebacked Jazz	46c	96.76$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.51	42	40.5%17 W · 25 L	-4.0wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Jazz	43c	96.09$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.32	407	50.6%206 W · 201 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Jazz	44c	87.94$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.69	492	47.2%232 W · 260 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Jazz	25c	74.27$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.5	1,283	23.4%300 W · 983 L	-178.2wins	-0.14per pick	37cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Jazz	36c	73.02$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.28	445	51.2%228 W · 217 L	+11.6wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49d…91a8backed Jazz	30c	70.22$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.04	141	57.4%81 W · 60 L	+9.9wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xce9d…a219backed Thunder	50c	67.9$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.95	99	44.4%44 W · 55 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Jazz	36c	63.77$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.89	146	40.4%59 W · 87 L	-9.5wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0fbb…727fbacked Jazz	44c	62.24$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.38	144	48.6%70 W · 74 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfef5…4e98backed Jazz	51c	60.9$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.06	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-2.6wins	-0.14per pick	51cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Thunder	56c	56.68$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.94	690	49.4%341 W · 349 L	-30.0wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Jazz	30c	55.99$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.62	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Thunder	56c	55.51$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.24	1,634	48.1%786 W · 848 L	+5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe777…c734backed Jazz	37c	55.42$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.3	66	39.4%26 W · 40 L	-3.6wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x42f2…fdb4backed Thunder	53c	55.01$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.85	115	58.3%67 W · 48 L	+8.0wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Jazz	44c	54.13$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.79	935	43.6%408 W · 527 L	-32.6wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Thunder	75c	52.04$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.16	377	53.8%203 W · 174 L	+12.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Jazz	48c	49.99$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	686	45.5%312 W · 374 L	-22.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Thunder	57c	47.13$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.27	570	51.9%296 W · 274 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f74…4adabacked Jazz	47c	41.2$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.36	108	50.9%55 W · 53 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46dc…92c3backed Jazz	40c	41.04$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.42	96	41.7%40 W · 56 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x623a…5144backed Jazz	48c	40.37$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.38	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb58…4acebacked Thunder	50c	38.43$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.03	94	51.1%48 W · 46 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Thunder (-22.5)this page
1H Spread: Thunder (-12.5)Thunder won
1H Spread: Thunder (-13.5)Thunder won
Ace Bailey: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
Cody Williams: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Jazz vs. ThunderThunder won
Jazz vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
Jazz vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
Jazz vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
Jazz vs. Thunder: O/U 238.5Over won
Jazz vs. Thunder: O/U 239.5Over won
Jazz vs. Thunder: O/U 242.5Over won
Jazz vs. Thunder: O/U 244.5Over won
Jazz vs. Thunder: O/U 245.5Over won
Jazz vs. Thunder: O/U 247.5Over won
Jazz vs. Thunder: O/U 249.5Over won
Jazz vs. Thunder: O/U 252.5Over won
Jazz vs. Thunder: O/U 254.5Over won
Jazz vs. Thunder: O/U 255.5Over won
Jazz vs. Thunder: O/U 256.5Over won
Kyle Filipowski: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5No won
Spread: Thunder (-20.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-21.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-23.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-24.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-31.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-32.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-33.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-34.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-41.5)Jazz won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Thunder (-22.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event