TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0fbb…727f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
229
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: UFC, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 57 out of 100; worst Champions League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT14448.6%70 W · 74 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 144 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.82
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.97
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+89.8%+$19.36
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$14.44
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.69
Spread: Magic (-3.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.01
Magic vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.41
Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.24
Hornets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$16.07
Spread: Thunder (-22.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.38
Wizards vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+63.2%+$17.23
Spread: Celtics (-10.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$11.74
Raptors vs. Celtics: 1H Moneylinebacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.38
Spurs vs. Nuggets: 1H Moneylinebacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.46
Spread: Raptors (-13.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.3
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.26
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.69
Spread: Thunder (-17.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.23
Spread: Thunder (-19.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+109.7%+$28.77
Spread: Thunder (-18.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+92.6%+$20
Thunder vs. Nets: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+106%+$25.23
Thunder vs. Nets: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+114.2%+$21.82
Trail Blazers vs. Pacers: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.56
Spread: Timberwolves (-13.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+114.3%+$26.08
Spread: Timberwolves (-12.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$16.01
Showing 25 of 144 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT4250%21 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
California-San Diego Tritons vs. CSUN Matadors: O/U 152.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+109.6%+$11.12
Providence Friars vs. St. John's Red Stormbacked Providence Friars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.29
Washington Huskies vs. Oregon Ducks: O/U 144.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$17.64
UCLA Bruins vs. USC Trojansbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.45
California-San Diego Tritons vs. UC Santa Barbara Gauchos: O/U 140.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+97.4%+$10.19
Cal State Fullerton Titans vs. CSUN Matadors: O/U 170.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+108.3%+$11.62
Wagner Seahawks vs. LIU Sharksbacked LIU Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+33.7%+$8.48
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. Florida International Golden Panthers: O/U 160.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+104.1%+$11.38
Spread: Missouri Tigers (-2.5)backed Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+118.9%+$23.05
UCF Knights vs. West Virginia Mountaineers: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+127.3%+$17.95
Columbia Lions vs. Harvard Crimsonbacked Harvard Crimson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+56.3%+$6.43
Columbia Lions vs. Harvard Crimson: O/U 134.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11.13
UIC Flames vs. Murray State Racers: O/U 148.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13.17
Spread: Kennesaw State Owls (-2.5)backed UTEP Miners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+110.8%+$12
Northern Kentucky Norse vs. Oakland Golden Grizzlies: O/U 159.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$13.68
Texas Longhorns vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+40.8%+$7.8
Colorado Buffaloes vs. Utah Utes: O/U 149.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$13.86
Army Black Knights vs. Bucknell Bisonbacked Army Black Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.97
North Texas Mean Green vs. UAB Blazersbacked North Texas Mean Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+195.9%+$23.26
Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-1.5)backed Nevada Wolf Pack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.5
Spread: SMU Mustangs (-1.5)backed SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34.23
Akron Zips vs. Kent State Golden Flashes: O/U 164.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.99
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-1.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+93.1%+$16.69
Michigan Wolverines vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 158.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+104.1%+$10.41
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5)backed Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$12.31
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Flyers (-1.5)backed Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.25
Islanders vs. Hurricanesbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.34
Stars vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.23
Sharks vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Sharks vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.28
Blue Jackets vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$12.82
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.78
Bruins vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$18.64
Predators vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+106.2%+$11.29
Canadiens vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14.47
Spread: Blackhawks (-1.5)backed Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+58.7%+$6.78
Panthers vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11.74
Islanders vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9.71
Sabres vs. Lightningbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+194.1%+$43.93
Oilers vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$17.75
Bruins vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20.54
All 16 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1384.6%11 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick66cpaid+30.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
UFC — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Movsar Evloev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$5.21
UFC Fight Night: Josh Emmett vs. Kevin Vallejos (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Kevin Vallejos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.56
UFC Fight Night: Harry Hardwick vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Marwan Rahiki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$5.38
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Charles Johnson (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Charles Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+62%+$8.87
UFC Fight Night: Brad Tavares vs. Eryk Anders (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Eryk Anders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+126%+$13.64
UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Caio Borralho · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+49.8%+$16.85
UFC 326: Gregory Rodrigues vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Gregory Rodrigues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+66.7%+$10.53
UFC Fight Night: Marlon Vera vs. David Martinez (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$11.27
UFC Fight Night: King Green vs. Daniel Zellhuber (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Zellhuber · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.09
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$17.1
UFC Fight Night: Douglas Silva de Andrade vs. Javier Reyes (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Reyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+49.3%+$7.33
UFC Fight Night: Wes Schultz vs. Damian Pinas (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Pinas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+44.9%+$7.55
UFC Fight Night: Joselyne Edwards vs. Nora Cornolle (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Edwards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+37%+$7.26
All 13 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+58.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick70cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick74cpaid+36.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.77
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$63.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.05
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,610Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,889.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11.78
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.