TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Pacers: O/U 231.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$696,540
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$699,584

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $696,540 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over52c481,855$250,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231,522.2187451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Under48c152,971$73,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73,396.526253.8%141 W · 121 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under48c100,742$48,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,356.1866248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under48c90,000$43,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,2002,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under48c56,831$27,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,294.944,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under2c51,432$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.453,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c28,569$14,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,047.89,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over51c25,044$12,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,294.451,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x221d…e800backed Under49c16,755$8,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,193.951464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+22.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Under49c15,428$7,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,521.1317144.4%76 W · 95 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Under48c15,000$7,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,2008839.8%35 W · 53 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Over52c10,711$5,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,170.6260351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Under49c10,204$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00029347.4%139 W · 154 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c75…329abacked Over50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0005750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under50c8,579$4,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,289.591,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c7,830$3,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,893.254,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Over52c5,985$3,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,852.9945850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Under49c5,102$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50016249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under49c5,098$2,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,497.9317550.9%89 W · 86 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Over52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4001,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Under49c4,182$2,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,069.819445.4%88 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over51c3,964$2,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,925.771,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4401,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44048054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under49c2,522$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,225.243,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41e0…a8e0backed Under48c1,900$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9124050%20 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Under49c1,893$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.3925049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over51c1,759$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.092,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over53c1,693$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.7134851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under50c1,574$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7872,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Under47c1,300$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.876249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under49c1,275$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.7537747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Under49c1,261$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61818749.2%92 W · 95 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Under47c1,105$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.1439842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under51c1,100$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55680737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x973b…a912backed Under49c1,036$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.645947.5%28 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50015952.8%84 W · 75 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Over52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48026149.4%129 W · 132 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over53c945.3$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.3657650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x960e…77d6backed Under49c888$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.123953.8%21 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Under49c764.85$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.6343544.6%194 W · 241 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Under48c750$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36014244.4%63 W · 79 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under48c743.77$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.353,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over51c715.45$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.671654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe393…f016backed Under47c700$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32914059.3%83 W · 57 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x69ac…03e9backed Over51c645.85$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.787948.1%38 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x61ad…915dbacked Over50c624.82$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.034850%24 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under48c618.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30066046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under47c604.35$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.051,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Under48c600$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28622746.3%105 W · 122 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Under49c594$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.0620247.5%96 W · 106 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under48c564$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.7271449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under50c552.12$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.064,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94c4…2a41backed Over53c532.4$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.422953.3%122 W · 107 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over55c501.48$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.438,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Over53c481$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.0727455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Under49c464.98$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.4322154.8%121 W · 100 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Under49c424.49$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20818241.2%75 W · 107 L-17.6wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed Under49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014152.5%74 W · 67 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under50c381.39$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.73,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Over52c380.95$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.8692058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…7be6backed Under49c343.67$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.041040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over52c331$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.886,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Under48c315.83$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15118055%99 W · 81 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2630…e941backed Under48c312.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15042845.1%193 W · 235 L-15.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14491050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Under49c293.88$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14424946.6%116 W · 133 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb628…fd2bbacked Over73c273.15$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.1511873.7%87 W · 31 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under50c270.49$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.252,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Under51c254.9$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13023446.2%108 W · 126 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66df…7ea5backed Under48c250.82$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.399555.8%53 W · 42 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Under48c235$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.816845.2%76 W · 92 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Over53c206.09$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.9241947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8398…12a3backed Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…f80dbacked Under49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc03a…d7c4backed Under49c197.66$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.856342.9%27 W · 36 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Over52c192.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.397049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdae4…f1fcbacked Over53c189.35$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.3519054.7%104 W · 86 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93f1…b99dbacked Over53c188.35$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6414466%95 W · 49 L+17.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+20.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd11a…09eebacked Under48c176$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8510656.6%60 W · 46 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over50c170$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under50c169$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.51,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf10…691bbacked Under48c160.29$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7713751.1%70 W · 67 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb74f…030abacked Under48c157$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.365540%22 W · 33 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x664b…00b3backed Under49c153.86$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.399455.3%52 W · 42 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbeef…5667backed Under48c151.96$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7315253.3%81 W · 71 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Under48c150$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7248852%254 W · 234 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Under49c150$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.553945.3%244 W · 295 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Under49c149.15$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.0621753%115 W · 102 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x383d…87eabacked Under49c148.81$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.3747852.9%253 W · 225 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5818…39e2backed Under49c148$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5213950.4%70 W · 69 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5dd8…f9e3backed Under50c144$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726258.1%36 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Under48c142.94$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.6162450%312 W · 312 L-2.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over51c138.58$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.3359250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf498…3d66backed Under47c132.75$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6311855.1%65 W · 53 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Under20c130$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2665542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0a4…65c3backed Under49c127.55$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.57256.9%41 W · 31 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed Under49c124.09$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.6883158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under48c118.79$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0291148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.