TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,011

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,011 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6e82…752cbacked Under53c17,517$9,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,251.891,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over46c12,100$5,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,477.469,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Under53c9,150$4,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,833.4638253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Over47c4,255$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,255.328154.3%44 W · 37 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over47c4,044$1,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,126.882,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5454…531abacked Over47c3,800$1,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0142100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+99%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e1e…bb68backed Under53c3,746$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0009556.8%54 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under55c2,896$1,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,592.7165349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over46c2,812$1,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,524.94,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over48c1,548$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.464,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Under52c999.99$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52029149.5%144 W · 147 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over38c967.86$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.416,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over48c908.89$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.624,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Over48c904.69$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.5658450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6e7…884cbacked Under52c903.89$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.0216338.7%63 W · 100 L-11.4wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over53c765.88$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.962,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b60…9c7ebacked Over48c764.14$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.3522643.8%99 W · 127 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under52c738.4$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.9780653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under19c728.39$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.912,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over47c725.53$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.531,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over47c725$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.251,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under53c589.89$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.743,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over48c583.33$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.3387453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over47c534.12$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.883,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x66c4…2852backed Under60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011358.4%66 W · 47 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Under51c499.98$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.9933150.8%168 W · 163 L+1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Under62c498.39$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30990957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Under59c451.97$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26647651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over49c411$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.441,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over43c399.58$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.51,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under33c299.99$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9938242.9%164 W · 218 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Over49c265.31$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.3123446.2%108 W · 126 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.562,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cc…3132backed Over40c221$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.611229.5%33 W · 79 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Over45c218.4$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.1237842.9%162 W · 216 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Over45c193.58$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.2516642.2%70 W · 96 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed Over42c182.35$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.6319245.3%87 W · 105 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over47c172.87$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.621,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38ef…8800backed Under58c156$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.487843.6%34 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7cd…804ebacked Over42c155$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+87.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5c2…e5d3backed Over44c155$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+38.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked Over45c149.45$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.6910144.6%45 W · 56 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Over46c147.34$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.5729344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x20eb…0321backed Over42c143$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+137.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Under62c129.35$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8023657.2%135 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60e3…8f56backed Over44c124$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.442100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x362a…8683backed Over43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2813155%72 W · 59 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Over44c108.59$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.8162541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Under53c101.1$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5367248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Over42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5833949.9%169 W · 170 L-1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under13c98.62$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.098,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88ff…78aebacked Under19c94.74$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185337.7%20 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Under44c93.44$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2442153%223 W · 198 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over47c92.53$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8864844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed Over43c89.29$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.920350.2%102 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865d…47aabacked Under58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506160.7%37 W · 24 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Over47c85.1$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.120847.1%98 W · 110 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over48c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.687049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf10e…4c13backed Over48c74$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4820949.3%103 W · 106 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Under24c71.78$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.228937.1%33 W · 56 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Over44c71$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7654246.7%253 W · 289 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x917e…eed9backed Over47c69.99$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.321049.5%104 W · 106 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Under35c69.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.535849.7%178 W · 180 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93f5…74ddbacked Under58c69$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.02333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x587c…04f2backed Under58c67$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.86366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+8.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2fa5…2c05backed Under58c66$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.28250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5ed…96e1backed Over48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.55251.9%27 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Over43c62.42$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5844747%210 W · 237 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c48…6af3backed Over42c59.51$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.527445.9%34 W · 40 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed Over53c54.69$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.783158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cd8…2113backed Under58c54$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.32475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+43.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4774…1809backed Under58c52$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Over48c52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0462049%304 W · 316 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over47c51.2$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9995047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3d4…3df1backed Under58c51$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.58450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2695548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under59c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.541052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Over42c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2969337.8%262 W · 431 L+2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd754…7857backed Over47c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.583056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8044…358ebacked Under59c49.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.554951.9%285 W · 264 L-2.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa143…c081backed Under58c48$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.84425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-49.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4378…5bb8backed Under58c47.97$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.827255.6%40 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ba4…fd40backed Over42c46.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.976628.8%19 W · 47 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-35.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c80…9564backed Under54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512159.5%72 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4100…07e8backed Under58c44$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b72…91dfbacked Under55c43.63$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244035%14 W · 26 L-6.7wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-23.8%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xe0ca…0022backed Under54c42.01$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.732166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Over48c42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8427345.1%123 W · 150 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Over48c42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8432947.4%156 W · 173 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23c1…f24abacked Under58c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.250%0 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under59c38.98$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Over47c37.87$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1591746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ea7…1be7backed Over43c37.44$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.341258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+25.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Over56c37.15$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2313950.4%70 W · 69 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb56a…a2eabacked Under58c35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf85d…5331backed Under53c33.3$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.71250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a1a…8984backed Under46c32.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.635540%22 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over39c31.69$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.331,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over41c31.54$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.696956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over54c28.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8887744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.