NBA · resolved market
Spread: Trail Blazers (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x471e8817f78b89c4272deb992abf8059ef50066a4818e9486b6eaae6b99b044e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Trail Blazers, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $680,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $680,330 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 185,937$92,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92,966.16 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 153,811$73,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,802.06 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Pacers | 49c | 118,076$57,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,223.18 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Pacers | 52c | 87,532$45,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,673.74 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 80,000$40,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,799.96 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb915…8da5backed Pacers | 49c | 65,347$32,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,327.08 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Pacers | 52c | 58,500$30,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,080 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Pacers | 52c | 57,216$29,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,463.69 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Pacers | 50c | 56,189$28,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,094.69 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Pacers | 52c | 45,744$23,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,908.96 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 41,054$19,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,705.42 | 160 | 39.4%63 W · 97 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…b46ebacked Pacers | 52c | 40,000$20,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,199.99 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Pacers | 49c | 34,054$16,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,367.62 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 28,865$13,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,855.15 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 27,083$13,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,795.84 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 18,888$9,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,255.12 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pacers | 49c | 16,077$7,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,219.52 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Trail Blazers | 46c | 10,339$4,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,783.92 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 10,193$4,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,906.76 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 8,683$4,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,301.15 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Pacers | 49c | 8,440$4,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,326.58 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 6,900$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,450 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 5,882$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.99 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 5,081$2,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,378.83 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Pacers | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 3,490$1,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640.53 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 3,415$1,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,751.58 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 2,300$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Pacers | 52c | 2,107$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.19 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Pacers | 51c | 2,100$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pacers | 43c | 2,080$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.48 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Pacers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Pacers | 49c | 1,964$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.13 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 1,838$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7e…1cc7backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 1,777$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.96 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 1,690$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.9 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pacers | 49c | 1,542$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.04 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Pacers | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Pacers | 49c | 1,226$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.2 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 1,138$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.12 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Pacers | 49c | 1,075$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.01 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Pacers | 34c | 1,036$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.35 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Trail Blazers | 60c | 1,033$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.26 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 1,013$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.5 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Pacers | 48c | 1,013$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.27 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Pacers | 48c | 999.86$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.93 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 962.34$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.15 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 959.99$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Trail Blazers | 59c | 959.39$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.94 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 702.31$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.8 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 659.11$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.22 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 630$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.4 | 304 | 52.6%160 W · 144 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Pacers | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 277 | 46.6%129 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Pacers | 49c | 612$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.12 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 509.8$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 325$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.25 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pacers | 48c | 312.28$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.58 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Pacers | 47c | 307.31$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.87 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0d…82c9backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 304$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 298.61$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.96 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 291.67$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa028…0031backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 284.37$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.19 | 306 | 54.6%167 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9094…dcabbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 284.36$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.96 | 236 | 55.5%131 W · 105 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4a…7045backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 276$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.2 | 227 | 48.9%111 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce0…18d6backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 274.55$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.2 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Pacers | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Pacers | 53c | 244.05$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.77 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 228.05$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.31 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 228$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f43…c0c2backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 197.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.58 | 251 | 53.8%135 W · 116 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a9…642dbacked Pacers | 54c | 192.59$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.59 | 181 | 43.1%78 W · 103 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 191.28$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f1…b99dbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 190.77$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 144 | 66%95 W · 49 L | +17.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Pacers | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Trail Blazers | 46c | 173.5$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.81 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…62cbbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 170.33$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.57 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +17.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 163.88$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.94 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4c…0398backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Trail Blazers | 56c | 151.71$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.69 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…978fbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 149.29$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.03 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Pacers | 44c | 141.2$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.49 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 137$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.76 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…9baebacked Pacers | 49c | 131.71$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.17 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Trail Blazers | 44c | 127.57$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.13 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…6ecbbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 121.5$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.75 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72f0…e92bbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 119.6$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.24 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Trail Blazers | 56c | 115.08$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.87 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeac9…4092backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 114.49$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e5…bad7backed Pacers | 52c | 114$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.72 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-12.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)Trail Blazers won
- Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Donovan Clingan: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Ivica Zubac: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-11.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-13.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-14.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-15.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-16.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-17.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-18.5)Pacers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)Trail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. PacersTrail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pacers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pacers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pacers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pacers: O/U 246.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pacers: O/U 250.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pacers: O/U 252.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pacers: O/U 253.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.