TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$278,914

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $278,914 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over49c142,505$70,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72,128.4387451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under51c113,841$57,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,517.574,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over50c40,619$20,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,309.511,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Under50c40,173$20,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,086.5639842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over50c15,318$7,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,65948352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Under50c12,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00032846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43b6…9a9bbacked Under50c12,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0005030%15 W · 35 L-6.0wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-36.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under52c8,752$4,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,508.444,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over49c7,350$3,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,782.5466248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over50c4,899$2,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,451.032,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under51c4,842$2,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,461.389,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf455…fd03backed Under50c4,461$2,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,230.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x087d…d040backed Under50c4,455$2,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,227.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7298…e18bbacked Under50c4,266$2,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,13320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ceb…283fbacked Under50c4,077$2,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,038.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Under50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Under50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00018349.2%90 W · 93 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x459c…72e0backed Under50c3,810$1,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,905.69250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf09e…93b6backed Under50c3,299$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,649.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf833…bed9backed Under50c3,259$1,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,629.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x88eb…0189backed Under50c3,030$1,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,515250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under51c2,669$1,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,36170246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under50c2,636$1,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,318.12,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe939…b21cbacked Over50c2,504$1,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,252250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Under52c2,487$1,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,285.430446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c7b…d605backed Over50c2,411$1,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,205.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a73…e0b3backed Over50c2,402$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2012100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fe6…631fbacked Over50c2,332$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1662100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over50c2,258$1,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,12917249.4%85 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over50c2,193$1,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.314,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Under50c2,100$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05044252.3%231 W · 211 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under51c2,074$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.873,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc87…b568backed Over50c2,059$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.9980737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x23f7…43b3backed Over50c1,899$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f7b…cd1fbacked Over50c1,878$939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9392100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8dba…9eb2backed Over50c1,844$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa8…1684backed Over50c1,808$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9042100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fa8…e0d9backed Over50c1,806$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3314…c7e2backed Over50c1,802$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ddc…f3ffbacked Over50c1,800$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9002100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8958…3228backed Over50c1,688$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0b8…35e6backed Over50c1,688$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8442100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8eea…cb6dbacked Over50c1,525$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under50c1,448$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.035,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under49c1,347$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.5869149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…dbf3backed Over50c1,212$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Under50c1,172$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58654443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under51c1,162$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.796,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Over49c1,100$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.9860351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x973b…a912backed Under51c1,082$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.825947.5%28 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under53c1,037$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.0358450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked Under51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5108747.1%41 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Under50c851.58$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.7923850%119 W · 119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb8e…aa15backed Under50c638$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3193938.5%15 W · 24 L-5.2wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-30.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Under50c628.12$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.069845.9%45 W · 53 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Under50c586$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29323850.4%120 W · 118 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Under50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25026553.2%141 W · 124 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c477.99$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.664,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over49c415.43$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.871,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb7b…1476backed Over51c392.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.5519145.5%87 W · 104 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under51c336.88$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.813,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7e56…8243backed Under50c335$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.53228.1%9 W · 23 L-7.3wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-51.9%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over50c319.39$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.72,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15028348.8%138 W · 145 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under50c277.92$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.9655347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Under50c251$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.516845.2%76 W · 92 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x434e…a62ebacked Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0821748.4%105 W · 112 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5818…39e2backed Under50c167$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.513950.4%70 W · 69 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Under50c167$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.529352.9%155 W · 138 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Under50c165.02$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5125049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under50c157.85$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.9360945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ccf…9ea3backed Over48c150.96$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.51850%9 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over51c149$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.0167248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3218…a011backed Under50c145$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.51010%1 W · 9 L-4.0wins-0.40per pick50cpaid-80.4%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xdae4…f1fcbacked Over50c106.02$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.0119054.7%104 W · 86 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0453453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d27…676ebacked Over49c102$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0213954%75 W · 64 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5153339.6%211 W · 322 L-39.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5042153%223 W · 198 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over49c74.98$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2471654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Under50c70.4$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.237845%170 W · 208 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ac…03e9backed Over49c67.67$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.517948.1%38 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x290e…0783backed Over49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.66949.3%34 W · 35 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under51c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.325138.6%97 W · 154 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbce0…18d6backed Over50c53.02$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.512450%12 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Over51c52$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4827455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Under52c48.07$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520847.1%98 W · 110 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over49c48$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.482,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c2…cf66backed Under54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255841.4%24 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfeac…39b9backed Over50c44.16$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.16450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1551438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd815…1cdebacked Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.228456%47 W · 37 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Under46c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5688057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41c0…9d61backed Over50c31.8$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.912155.4%67 W · 54 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under50c31$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.51,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over50c30.95$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6368940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3abc…b096backed Over51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.711243.8%49 W · 63 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.