TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Pacers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Trail Blazersof Trail Blazers, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,766,257

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,766,257 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 286 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Pacers15c333,333$50,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,999.9443542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a57…2afabacked Pacers15c212,929$31,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,939.388944.9%40 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Pacers15c48,072$7,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,358.1841832.8%137 W · 281 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Pacers15c36,426$5,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,315.1832540.3%131 W · 194 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Pacers0c34,825$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.717211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Pacers2c22,348$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.5728241.1%116 W · 166 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Pacers14c22,134$3,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,149.3620744%91 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0206…479fbacked Pacers15c18,161$2,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,657.541323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-65.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd857…c092backed Pacers14c16,351$2,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,289.137142.3%30 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Pacers0c15,029$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.065213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03e0…1f91backed Pacers16c14,800$2,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3681735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-36.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Pacers13c14,486$1,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,883.1327424.5%67 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Pacers1c14,056$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.0164517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Pacers14c14,000$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9801,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Pacers18c13,640$2,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,455.29629.2%28 W · 68 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-35.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Pacers1c13,380$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.553179.5%30 W · 287 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Pacers0c10,731$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.311,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Pacers15c10,132$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,519.81,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pacers14c10,100$1,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4141,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Pacers15c9,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35014356.6%81 W · 62 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pacers5c8,950$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.962,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77d3…f4d6backed Pacers23c8,500$1,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,913.1929250%146 W · 146 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pacers13c8,446$1,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,117.599,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x046c…8ca3backed Pacers15c7,200$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0809330.1%28 W · 65 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Pacers14c7,143$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00024831.9%79 W · 169 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Pacers15c7,000$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,07586641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x039c…b202backed Pacers14c6,895$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.252835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Pacers0c6,369$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.254573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Pacers0c6,250$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.998783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Trail Blazers77c6,115$4,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,387.6935547.3%168 W · 187 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked Pacers15c6,023$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.43951.3%20 W · 19 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Pacers15c6,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92065939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1632…cb68backed Pacers18c5,872$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0575040%20 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8d…01debacked Pacers14c5,700$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7984332.6%14 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Pacers15c5,600$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.9943438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05dc…967ebacked Pacers8c5,483$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.683537.1%13 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick31cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Pacers0c5,197$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.748820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Pacers8c5,195$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.661,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pacers8c5,045$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.578,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8000…3a21backed Pacers18c5,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90025947.5%123 W · 136 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+7.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Pacers5c5,000$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22527917.9%50 W · 229 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3c…e044backed Pacers1c4,576$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595516.4%9 W · 46 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Pacers13c4,561$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.9328245.4%128 W · 154 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed Pacers14c4,436$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6213545.7%16 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+11.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Pacers10c3,936$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.6121649.1%106 W · 110 L+18.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Pacers10c3,550$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3412,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1acc…8fe0backed Pacers18c3,532$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.8418043.9%79 W · 101 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1bd…7235backed Pacers11c3,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.996429.7%19 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98d2…796ebacked Pacers15c2,753$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4139250%46 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3335…3656backed Pacers14c2,600$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3648759.8%52 W · 35 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+33.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Pacers3c2,404$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.6721137.9%80 W · 131 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-29.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed Pacers14c2,379$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3335543.6%24 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Pacers18c2,243$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.741,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3735…3d9dbacked Pacers9c2,167$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.0210737.4%40 W · 67 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Pacers16c2,095$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.0647436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Pacers20c2,040$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9917651.7%91 W · 85 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Pacers16c2,027$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.3161336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff5b…c583backed Pacers17c2,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.9920847.6%99 W · 109 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Trail Blazers79c1,988$1,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.9139349.1%193 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Pacers14c1,750$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.517233.7%58 W · 114 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ba9…0516backed Pacers12c1,750$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.57412.2%9 W · 65 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4059…23dabacked Pacers1c1,750$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.251234.9%6 W · 117 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick7cpaid+19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Pacers8c1,733$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.8442335.9%152 W · 271 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed Pacers15c1,710$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.57532%24 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea91…2a69backed Pacers18c1,687$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.651435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Pacers1c1,556$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9927848.9%136 W · 142 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c54…e691backed Pacers1c1,455$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6130%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa73a…656abacked Pacers12c1,450$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.3625226.6%67 W · 185 L-26.7wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-49.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb648…dc4abacked Pacers16c1,400$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2241080%8 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+28.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9a9…14ebbacked Pacers1c1,375$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-45.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked Pacers3c1,350$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.732128.6%6 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-40.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Pacers15c1,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019443.3%84 W · 110 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe461…e1f4backed Pacers22c1,296$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.12771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick43cpaid+40.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x692e…ee58backed Pacers4c1,287$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9817428.2%49 W · 125 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Pacers7c1,219$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.6117844.4%79 W · 99 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Pacers16c1,200$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18668944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Pacers17c1,199$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.5348944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda2e…8904backed Pacers18c1,178$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2129343%40 W · 53 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x48fc…d8ddbacked Pacers22c1,150$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+40.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd8d1…553ebacked Pacers17c1,100$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1873438.2%13 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Pacers2c1,074$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2067911%75 W · 604 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Pacers14c1,071$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15017532%56 W · 119 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Pacers17c1,061$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.953,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb67b…b50fbacked Pacers21c1,026$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.46475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick53cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Pacers14c1,019$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.621,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Pacers6c1,000$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.091,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7909…bfa8backed Pacers17c1,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Pacers1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104200.7%3 W · 417 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-52%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4805…d00bbacked Pacers17c1,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa3b…d6b7backed Pacers17c846.25$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.865658.9%33 W · 23 L+7.1wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+21.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Pacers16c828$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.6518440.8%75 W · 109 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Pacers16c823$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.7861939.6%245 W · 374 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bff…e588backed Pacers16c805$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.81050%5 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe189…13fbbacked Pacers18c800$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1442839.3%11 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Pacers14c797$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.330840.9%126 W · 182 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Pacers19c740$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.677549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cc9…21adbacked Pacers18c700$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1262650%13 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Pacers17c700$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11916137.9%61 W · 100 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x671d…c1c6backed Pacers11c685.83$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.92520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick27cpaid+31.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbafb…80a0backed Pacers17c684.95$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.441637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-28.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.