TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe189…13fb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
80
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Lol, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 56 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT2839.3%11 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$126
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$74
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.71
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$380.67
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$662.26
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$76.63
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.43
Mavericks vs. Sunsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.51
Raptors vs. Celticsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.61
Kings vs. Raptorsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$599.48
Nets vs. Lakersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Bucks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Grizzlies vs. Hawksbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Trail Blazers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Thunder vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$168
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$66
Suns vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$84
Bulls vs. Sunsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+426.3%+$486
Kings vs. Rocketsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$84
Kings vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+35.1%+$65
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$237
Celtics vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$93
Kings vs. 76ersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$76
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+32.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2last resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-45%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+53.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+106.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Championships: Canada vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$213.5
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33
Kings vs. Red Wingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+112.8%+$318
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-49.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$147.5
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+448.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$186
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$685.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Braga win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$171
Will SC Braga win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$308.55
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Angers SCO vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$179.99
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+33.3%+$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jaguars vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.