Serie A · resolved market
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-04-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d722cb9086e7b368b2df07b51731d3e7893e678f615b1b141e3c48bf80abde4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $146,863
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $156,896
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,863 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 7c | 18,786$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.38 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 8c | 15,347$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.53 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Yes | 7c | 9,421$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.49 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5daa…b7a9backed Yes | 6c | 4,359$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 7c | 4,306$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.32 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 7c | 3,918$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.29 | 135 | 17%23 W · 112 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 9c | 3,462$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.99 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68d…945dbacked Yes | 7c | 3,426$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce3…6011backed Yes | 6c | 2,898$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 7c | 2,630$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.07 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 7c | 2,455$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.9 | 168 | 19.6%33 W · 135 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed Yes | 7c | 2,124$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.71 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes | 9c | 2,101$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.08 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5546…e3cfbacked Yes | 9c | 2,048$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.11 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 20cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed Yes | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Yes | 7c | 1,928$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe189…13fbbacked Yes | 7c | 1,750$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 6c | 1,419$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.78 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 7c | 944.2$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.09 | 222 | 37.4%83 W · 139 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 7c | 888.67$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.06 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x143e…375bbacked Yes | 7c | 863.27$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.43 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 7c | 828.06$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 146 | 51.4%75 W · 71 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 8c | 826$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.61 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…2a61backed Yes | 7c | 509.87$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 7c | 494.58$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.83 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 7c | 424.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f4…6a05backed Yes | 7c | 367.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…148dbacked Yes | 7c | 337.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b75…922cbacked Yes | 7c | 336.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Yes | 8c | 336.59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78e5…38e7backed Yes | 7c | 323.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf829…5ee1backed Yes | 8c | 303.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d55…f50cbacked Yes | 10c | 282.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 7c | 280$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 6c | 248.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 6c | 210.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 181 | 25.4%46 W · 135 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe29f…b2f0backed Yes | 7c | 167.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +121.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…b159backed Yes | 8c | 164.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…5269backed Yes | 9c | 126.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…d45bbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-04-17?this page
- Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.