Serie A · resolved market
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0565946172da52b77017907cdd684fdfd6487602c6a3bf24e09f7f0531a19dc0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,338
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,744
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,338 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 3c | 10,904$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.88 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 15c | 3,163$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.5 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 5c | 2,892$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.96 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…516dbacked Yes | 15c | 1,582$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 14c | 1,392$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.86 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed Yes | 15c | 1,265$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.8 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea7…0607backed Yes | 12c | 1,002$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x143e…375bbacked Yes | 15c | 834.8$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.22 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Yes | 15c | 683.28$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.49 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 13c | 458.52$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.78 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Yes | 27c | 407.27$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a8…a3d3backed Yes | 13c | 378.25$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x769b…2ea9backed Yes | 27c | 366.72$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.01 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fca…819abacked Yes | 27c | 318.73$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.06 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86be…4490backed Yes | 15c | 265.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecea…ac99backed Yes | 20c | 204.68$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 13c | 197.14$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Yes | 15c | 194.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 15c | 189.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 14c | 167.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 146 | 51.4%75 W · 71 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 15c | 158.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 86 | 17.4%15 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f4…6a05backed Yes | 15c | 139.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…97ebbacked Yes | 15c | 126.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c27…6a47backed Yes | 25c | 116.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +114.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 20c | 95.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x648f…fc85backed Yes | 14c | 85.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac7e…4768backed Yes | 29c | 82.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 25c | 80.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 15c | 77.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aae…d605backed Yes | 26c | 73.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b25…0869backed Yes | 27c | 70.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…f80abacked Yes | 15c | 70.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 27c | 44.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 204 | 52%106 W · 98 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda1c…197dbacked No | 74c | 32.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?this page
- Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-04-17?No won
- Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.