TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xac7e…4768

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
182
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: La Liga, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT8937.1%33 W · 56 L-10.1wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Tennis — the 89 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyukbacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$66.41
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.05
Roland Garros WTA: Iva Jovic vs Emma Navarrobacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.67
Roland Garros WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Solana Sierrabacked Jasmine Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Roland Garros WTA: Eva Lys vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Eva Lys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Roland Garros WTA: Viktorija Golubic vs Alycia Parksbacked Viktorija Golubic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
Roland Garros WTA: Tamara Korpatsch vs Xinyu Wangbacked Xinyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
ITF Kayseri: Denis Constantin Spiridon vs Hitesh Chauhanbacked Denis Constantin Spiridon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.15
Roland Garros WTA: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Jaqueline Cristian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.27
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Qinwen Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.15
Roland Garros WTA: Emma Raducanu vs Solana Sierrabacked Emma Raducanu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Victoria Mboko vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Jaqueline Cristian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Emma Navarro vs Ann Libacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Jaqueline Cristian vs Daria Kasatkinabacked Jaqueline Cristian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$69.05
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Sloane Stephensbacked Sloane Stephens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$60.24
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Marie Bouzkova vs Ann Libacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$68.31
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Ann Li vs Ekaterina Alexandrovabacked Ekaterina Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Diane Parry vs Emma Raducanubacked Emma Raducanu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$168
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Yeon-Woo Ku vs Karolina Pliskovabacked Yeon-Woo Ku · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.71
Internationaux de Strasbourg: McCartney Kessler vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Jaqueline Cristian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+85.7%+$251.91
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Daria Kasatkina vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Liudmila Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$136
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 89 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2825%7 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+172.3%+$168.54
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.33
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$48.95
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 1 Arsenal FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$113.33
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 0 Arsenal FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 2 - 1 Arsenal FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 2 FC Bayern München?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 1 FC Bayern München?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+150%+$294.6
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+257.2%+$123.05
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.87
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.46
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.66
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.56
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+164.1%+$142.19
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.8
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$67.35
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.97
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.88
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.8
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$55.14
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$113.67
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.26
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$16.6
Will Levante UD vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.86
Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.41
Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$119.96
Will Girona FC vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.66
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$135.99
Will Real Oviedo vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.36
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.14
All 12 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick31cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$46.39
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+203%+$203.03
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.76
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$44.92
Exact Score: Aston Villa FC 0 - 2 Bologna FC 1909?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.54
Aston Villa FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.74
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-44.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.56
Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$103.9
Will Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.78
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.82
Southampton FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$186.43
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.06
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.85
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-38.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+76.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick30cpaid+137.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brisbane Roar FC win on 2026-04-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-04-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.87per pick13cpaid+669.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankeesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$126.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: VARREL vs Team Secret (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 1backed VARREL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$139.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$32.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs Haunted House (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group Bbacked Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$77.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AVS Futebol win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.