TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$851,593
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$873,101

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $851,593 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 591 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x85f0…3f67backed Yes36c150,090$53,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,840.173234.4%11 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No65c65,964$42,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,304.311149.5%55 W · 56 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Yes31c54,720$16,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,963.0524846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes34c40,659$13,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,942.861,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No66c27,312$18,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,275.672,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No64c19,457$12,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,929.946261.3%38 W · 24 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No66c19,121$12,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,501.319856.1%55 W · 43 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c69…51cabacked Yes0c18,801$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.81625%4 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes35c18,671$6,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,534.811942%50 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes24c18,483$4,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,419.782,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a5b…a880backed No69c14,721$10,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,563.51475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+63.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef27…381bbacked Yes36c14,536$5,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,202.481643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No65c14,279$9,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,037.811,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked No69c14,223$9,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,409.1911349.6%56 W · 57 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1350…0841backed No68c12,800$8,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,095.962560%15 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes3c11,477$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.625225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No64c11,094$7,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,983.5939555.9%221 W · 174 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No65c10,804$7,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,738.3140655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No65c10,804$7,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,738.3127552.7%145 W · 130 L-1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No77c10,017$7,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,309.4656453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Yes34c10,000$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4004742.6%20 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed No69c9,387$6,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,910.063369.7%23 W · 10 L+6.2wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+37.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes32c8,993$2,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,877.617634.1%60 W · 116 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4e3c…64b8backed No64c8,595$5,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,094.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No64c8,390$5,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,979.232,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No64c8,000$5,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,88014652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes10c7,513$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.7127235.7%97 W · 175 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No64c7,141$4,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,570.4330057%171 W · 129 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No66c6,171$4,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,095.0948950.1%245 W · 244 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No64c6,000$3,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,16013155%72 W · 59 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b05…1553backed Yes4c5,772$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.9430%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3c7…c83bbacked No69c5,553$3,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,721.352657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes34c5,429$1,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,845.8949544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes32c4,940$1,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,580.786440.6%26 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb953…e058backed Yes10c4,730$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb317…4704backed Yes34c4,660$1,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,584.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No67c4,564$3,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,495.141,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Yes34c4,484$1,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,524.4516050.6%81 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24c2…3696backed Yes34c4,387$1,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,491.58366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+26%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d14dbacked No69c4,267$2,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,322.672157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked No64c4,061$2,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,471.186448.4%31 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No68c3,683$2,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.595939%23 W · 36 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d25…835ebacked Yes13c3,675$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.871154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No71c3,644$2,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,051.1118453.8%99 W · 85 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Yes34c3,596$1,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,222.649061.1%55 W · 35 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+18.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0a2d…6db9backed Yes1c3,572$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0415543.9%68 W · 87 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Yes34c3,500$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,190.0113151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No64c3,500$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,26015255.9%85 W · 67 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df1…0c44backed Yes37c3,347$1,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,238.56616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes33c3,346$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,111.1290751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No64c3,339$2,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,202.1410765.4%70 W · 37 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No63c3,300$2,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,220.926550.8%33 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07c…11a0backed Yes36c3,060$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,090.255536.4%20 W · 35 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbed3…2811backed No64c3,058$1,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.7683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick66cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No64c3,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08014158.2%82 W · 59 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x08f0…b809backed No68c2,944$2,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.984546.7%21 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Yes32c2,878$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.8345936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd6…c9c3backed Yes7c2,850$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.1220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked No67c2,780$1,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917.2925057.6%144 W · 106 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes14c2,596$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.4438233.2%127 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb08f…4ea1backed Yes34c2,307$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.39366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid-11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes34c2,254$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.9455751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No64c2,217$1,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.1913847.1%65 W · 73 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf747…7d29backed No65c2,176$1,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.523938.5%15 W · 24 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No78c2,156$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.7632345.2%146 W · 177 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked No68c2,000$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6405056%28 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb77f…5404backed Yes36c2,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No64c2,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7207061.4%43 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No64c1,921$1,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.486262.9%39 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x805e…a098backed Yes34c1,913$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3f8…d7d3backed No65c1,900$1,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cc7…6bf9backed Yes37c1,788$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Yes4c1,785$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.112619.2%5 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick15cpaid-18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f0f…e25fbacked Yes16c1,778$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.551442.9%6 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick26cpaid+75.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes11c1,721$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.322642.3%11 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95a4…8a24backed Yes5c1,713$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.392733.3%9 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b1e…82c9backed Yes30c1,597$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4793540%14 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f36…ba8cbacked Yes12c1,579$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.441020%2 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-63.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No64c1,550$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.5510951.4%56 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Yes35c1,525$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.794238.1%16 W · 26 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-36.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed Yes33c1,501$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.2815944.7%71 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf218…61babacked Yes32c1,499$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.6219.5%2 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick24cpaid-83.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed No66c1,480$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.962360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x422d…98b7backed Yes7c1,314$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.41520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c1…d98bbacked Yes37c1,300$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.1955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b98…5cfabacked Yes9c1,250$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.591127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-37.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf757…db38backed Yes2c1,200$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2930%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ba9…3455backed Yes13c1,190$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.58812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick33cpaid-79.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8cf1…d577backed Yes15c1,188$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.5720%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb60…03ddbacked No69c1,138$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.731957.9%11 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa52e…453fbacked No64c1,099$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.542450%12 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes35c1,098$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.41827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f0b…027fbacked Yes35c1,098$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.41729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-27.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4147…902abacked Yes27c1,094$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.786225.8%16 W · 46 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c08…04bebacked Yes37c1,092$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.12450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-24.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd4e…bf9bbacked Yes10c1,060$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.9560%0 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes23c1,043$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.8418123.2%42 W · 139 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3607444.6%33 W · 41 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62de…39fbbacked No64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Yes36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3601225%3 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.