TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x62de…39fb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
74
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Tennis, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 61 out of 100; worst MLB at 36.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$355
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G Global Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.92
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$18.22
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
LoL: paiN Gaming vs Fluxo W7M - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$195
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$150
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
LoL: Gen.G vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+300%+$412.5
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.24
LoL: GIANTX vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$495.89
LoL: HMBLE vs StoneHenge Esports (BO1) - LIT Regular Seasonbacked StoneHenge Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.53
All 14 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1414.3%2 W · 12 L-5.0wins-0.36per pick50cpaid-74%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
MLB — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.27
Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangersbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$570
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padresbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$453Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$453.08
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$560
Colorado Rockies vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$580
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)backed Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.87
Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$493Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$492.5
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$390
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlinsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.5
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlinsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$451Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$451
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$539Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$539
Texas Rangers vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.11
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$520
Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$489.19
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$490
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
Spread: Raptors (-20.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$99.25
Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 241.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$492Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$402.44
Bucks vs. 76ers: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.2
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT7100%7 W · 0 L+3.1wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+93.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+71.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-66.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senators vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$420
Penguins vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$335.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.4
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$74.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cagliari Calcio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$490
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$495
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$123.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monaco vs. Hapoel Tel Avivbacked Monaco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$594Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$506
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 37°C on January 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 328: Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)backed Clayton Carpenter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.