MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b13d476b0fdf973837c2c6e7d07f42b54623318d43b52216b00eaaf83990931
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Diego Padresof St. Louis Cardinals, San Diego Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $312,035
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $333,992
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $312,035 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 85,292$38,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,381.48 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 22,300$12,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,035 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked San Diego Padres | 66c | 21,806$14,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,498.06 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked San Diego Padres | 56c | 17,721$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,721.36 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 16,627$7,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,315.87 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 15,229$6,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,700.9 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked San Diego Padres | 55c | 15,000$8,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,700 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 13,117$7,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,869.81 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8f…449bbacked San Diego Padres | 69c | 12,811$8,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,971.84 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75fe…0defbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 9,000$4,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,004.97 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f91…00e7backed San Diego Padres | 56c | 8,389$4,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,691.14 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.39per pick | 47cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 7,000$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,080 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed St. Louis Cardinals | 36c | 6,410$2,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,281.59 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…9a1fbacked San Diego Padres | 56c | 4,670$2,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,054.64 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 26c | 4,668$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.97 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 29c | 4,176$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.6 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Diego Padres | 77c | 3,653$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.39 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed San Diego Padres | 56c | 2,902$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.74 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed St. Louis Cardinals | 11c | 2,804$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.38 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 2,727$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked San Diego Padres | 59c | 2,650$1,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed San Diego Padres | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 2,375$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.25 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 2,130$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.27 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 2c | 2,068$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 1,600$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.73 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 25c | 1,559$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.01 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 19c | 1,521$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.22 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 1,520$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.51 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd217…b3f3backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea5…9d40backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 1,309$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…40bfbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 1,113$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked San Diego Padres | 62c | 1,094$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.72 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 12c | 1,054$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.99 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62de…39fbbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -5.0wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -74%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…56d1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed San Diego Padres | 75c | 927$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.1 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a9…e2dbbacked San Diego Padres | 59c | 826.59$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.9 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 818.18$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed San Diego Padres | 67c | 774.93$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.48 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 763.39$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.16 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked San Diego Padres | 55c | 699.25$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.28 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed St. Louis Cardinals | 11c | 685$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.21 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 669.6$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.72 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked San Diego Padres | 55c | 665.15$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.36 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 653.25$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.9 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 606.71$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.89 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Diego Padres | 62c | 594.42$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.09 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 32c | 571.01$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.34 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 570$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.8 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 2c | 555.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 543$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.49 | 406 | 45.1%183 W · 223 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7e17backed San Diego Padres | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 11c | 502.49$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.34 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 7c | 500.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed St. Louis Cardinals | 29c | 474.25$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.44 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d4…84bdbacked San Diego Padres | 57c | 438.01$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.34 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed St. Louis Cardinals | 26c | 393.72$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.95 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed San Diego Padres | 78c | 383.93$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.34 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 16c | 376.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.72 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed San Diego Padres | 77c | 366.04$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.72 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 359.99$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.99 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 246 | 46.7%115 W · 131 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked San Diego Padres | 72c | 310.01$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.43 | 332 | 74.1%246 W · 86 L | +28.8wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…051bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 304.12$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.25 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed San Diego Padres | 59c | 301$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.73 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 300.99$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.72 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 297.23$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.81 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 281.84$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.42 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 19c | 241.61$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.79 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 66c | 240$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.54 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…6c6dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 234$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.96 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 30c | 233.89$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.11 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 228$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…a84abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 220$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.6 | 415 | 49.2%204 W · 211 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 218.2$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.19 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +3.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd041…357abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 213$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.89 | 228 | 31.6%72 W · 156 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed St. Louis Cardinals | 17c | 200.87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked San Diego Padres | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee3…cab9backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 18c | 199.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.44 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…6d6bbacked San Diego Padres | 56c | 196.43$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.43 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 187.38$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.79 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8005…9148backed St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 187.14$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 186.13$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.73 | 141 | 34%48 W · 93 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec64…907bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 182.35$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padresthis page
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 5.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego PadresNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.