TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5f85…7e17

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
219
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 60 out of 100; worst NFL at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT6656.1%37 W · 29 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+85.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+4,900%+$12,250
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$44.3
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$563.83
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$221.85
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H Moneylinebacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$636.36
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$240.2
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$260.2
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$260.2
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$520.41
LeBron James: Points O/U 20.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$425.93
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$1,885.96
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$394.68
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.65
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$975Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$677.82
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.18
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.18
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+88.8%+$215.64
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$481Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$854.76
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$486Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$485.87
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.88
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT5648.2%27 W · 29 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)backed Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.27
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.84
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. KT Wizbacked Hanwha Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$159.84
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$156.12
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. LG Twinsbacked LG Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$166.67
Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$235.71
Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$293.65
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+138%+$344.91
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.25
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$199.19
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.4
Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+144.9%+$279.47
KBO: LG Twins vs. Doosan Bearsbacked LG Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.09
Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$194.12
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Hanwha Eaglesbacked Hanwha Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+94.7%+$183.79
Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$486Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+86.8%+$421.86
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$9,643Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$2,719.79
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,696Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$1,739.32
Jiujiang: Xiaodi You vs En-Shuo Liangbacked En-Shuo Liang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$221.7
Set Handicap: Blockx (-1.5) vs Cina (+1.5)backed Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
Madrid Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$487Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$486.62
Madrid Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly Opelkabacked Reilly Opelka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.65
Set Handicap: Lys (-1.5) vs Zhang (+1.5)backed Lys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$339.05
Madrid Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Vit Koprivabacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$969Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+104.8%+$1,015.46
Set 1 Winner: Zhang vs Koprivabacked Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$971Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+93.2%+$905.49
Gwangju: Clement Chidekh vs Coleman Wongbacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.86
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$6,689Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$5,931.67
Monza: Rei Sakamoto vs Roberto Carballes Baenabacked Roberto Carballes Baena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$586Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$586.33
Brisbane International: Anna Bondar vs Cristina Bucsabacked Bucsa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+117.4%+$58.7
WTA Finals, Final Stage: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$200
WTA Finals, Final Stage: Aryna Sabalenka vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Open de Moselle: Cameron Norrie vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+108.3%+$135.42
Hellenic Championship: Marcos Giron vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+143.9%+$71.95
Open de Moselle: Lorenzo Sonego vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$594Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+61.3%+$363.98
Hellenic Championship: Brandon Nakashima vs Marcos Gironbacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100
WTA Finals, Serena Williams Group: Iga Swiatek vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+112.8%+$112.77
All 20 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT2035%7 W · 13 L-3.8wins-0.19per pick54cpaid-41.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NFL — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
49ers vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$506Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$505.63
Spread: Falcons (-3.5)backed Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$283.45
Spread: Ravens (-3.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$125
1H Spread: Bills (-6.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,436Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+58.9%+$845.83
Seahawks vs. 49ers: O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Bears vs. 49ers: O/U 51.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+100%+$150
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$393Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+35.1%+$138.13
Giants vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Texans vs. Chargersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+108.3%+$135.42
Lions vs. Vikings: O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$150
49ers vs. Coltsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,168Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+49.3%+$575.14
Cowboys vs. Lions: O/U 55.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$194.35
Chiefs vs. Cowboys: O/U 52.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$688Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+92.8%+$639.18
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$125
Packers vs. Lions: O/U 48.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$305
Panthers vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+28.2%+$133.93
Spread: Broncos (-9.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Colts (-3.5)backed Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$154
All 20 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 52.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+58.7%+$117.46
Michigan vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$638Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+69.4%+$442.3
O/U 43.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+105.4%+$158.16
Central Michigan vs. Northwesternbacked Northwestern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+25%+$73.21
California vs. Hawaiibacked California · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Duke vs. Virginiabacked Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$393.53
Spread: Ohio State (-9.5)backed Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+89.9%+$271.49
Arizona vs. Arizona Statebacked Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$114.75
Spread: Texas A&M (-2.5)backed Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Iowa State vs. TCUbacked Iowa State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+163.2%+$244.74
Spread: USC (-14.5)backed Northwestern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$125
Oklahoma vs. Tennesseebacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$132.8
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+34.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$127.78
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$98.21
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$583Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$497
Avalanche vs. Kings: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+87.4%+$127.46
Avalanche vs. Kings: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.6
Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$165.67
Avalanche vs. Flamesbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$425.93
Predators vs. Kings: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+77.6%+$232.85
Wild vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$189.27
Sabres vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+96.1%+$48.04
Lightning vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.34per pick44cpaid+137.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
United States vs. Belgium: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+300%+$450
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$612.07
Spread: Argentina (-3.5)backed Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+25%+$250
Australia vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$106.48
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$314.49
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$334.62
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Croatia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$173.73
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+83.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+30.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+460.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 146.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$728Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$728.4
Boise State Broncos vs. San Diego State Aztecsbacked San Diego State Aztecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+62.6%+$77
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+44.9%+$58.36
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+137.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump say "hostage" 4+ times during Israel President events on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+137.6%+$68.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-3.5)backed Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$86.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.