Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Union Berlin vs. Bayern München end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e28f48791e54a71b1de3724820fe99c782a5fcabdcaf22e3c051cb66cc9dc9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,325
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,325 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 12,322$3,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,662.37 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3b…4253backed No | 4c | 8,551$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed No | 57c | 8,000$4,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,569.78 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 13c | 3,463$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,012.52 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 76c | 3,115$2,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,370.02 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 58c | 2,957$1,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722.59 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 14c | 2,923$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,522.66 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 31c | 2,672$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.35 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 18c | 2,352$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.91 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf7…9189backed Yes | 48c | 2,094$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.86 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Yes | 13c | 1,074$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +669.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 13c | 999.53$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.59 | 150 | 24%36 W · 114 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d1…ad22backed Yes | 26c | 978.71$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.71 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 38c | 720$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.6 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16d5…5e0cbacked Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 51c | 476.51$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.6 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1641…495dbacked Yes | 20c | 459.79$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +146.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…3308backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a5…baddbacked No | 75c | 400$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 10c | 397$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.31 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…615cbacked Yes | 28c | 362.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ae…8bf3backed No | 75c | 350$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c9…8174backed Yes | 14c | 347.21$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +269.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 28c | 342.13$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.46 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 61c | 333.6$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.08 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked No | 66c | 329.87$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 28c | 320$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.4 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…ed14backed Yes | 39c | 312.82$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.82 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 41cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 13c | 307.69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.69 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…ad31backed Yes | 22c | 295.45$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc72b…3756backed No | 72c | 282$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.52 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 12c | 258.41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.4 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed No | 73c | 240.5$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.06 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 19c | 225$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.5 | 210 | 41.9%88 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Yes | 13c | 215.38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.38 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad9…65d7backed Yes | 13c | 207.69$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +416.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 14c | 200$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.27 | 97 | 21.6%21 W · 76 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x716d…eaf2backed Yes | 14c | 198$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 29cpaid | +117%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Yes | 25c | 197.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.02 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5242…5a2cbacked Yes | 41c | 196.42$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.42 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…9780backed Yes | 17c | 196.19$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +146.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 16c | 190.41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.86 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Yes | 55c | 184$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.96 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcece…8c50backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed No | 56c | 180$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d13…8cabbacked Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 62c | 163$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.4 | 88 | 70.5%62 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14dd…13eabacked Yes | 25c | 160.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 63c | 152.11$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.23 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 13c | 126$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.62 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…f78ebacked Yes | 15c | 120$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +321.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aef…9d05backed Yes | 14c | 113.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 22cpaid | +118.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48b5…7d0cbacked Yes | 28c | 108.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +263.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeac5…7960backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.14 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed Yes | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 67cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 13c | 105$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.35 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c90…9d02backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7e17backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9833…3f04backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…a151backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4afe…7d52backed Yes | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd2…a1fdbacked Yes | 33c | 81.15$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd9…cbffbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849a…a6a1backed Yes | 39c | 73.05$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5916…f785backed Yes | 55c | 72.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd2…f9aebacked Yes | 28c | 72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2219…a5e9backed Yes | 16c | 70$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 74c | 66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.13 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3170…a9dfbacked Yes | 28c | 64.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.65 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa149…61cbbacked Yes | 31c | 64.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +220.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…3418backed Yes | 30c | 63.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a6…8924backed Yes | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 80c | 60.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…7d37backed Yes | 30c | 55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef56…618cbacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf1…981dbacked No | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…1e94backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 147 | 26.5%39 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbae0…5cd6backed Yes | 26c | 46.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x135c…968fbacked Yes | 52c | 40.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1dd…376abacked Yes | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…09e2backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Yes | 44c | 38.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed No | 77c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59fc…38aabacked Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Union Berlin vs. Bayern München end in a draw?this page
- Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-08?No won
- Will Union Berlin win on 2025-11-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.