Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91fc51124bebc25212e0b11acea0387be7764476f3f6d957d114b4cbeb82e3da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $525,018
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $537,812
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $525,018 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 476 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 35c | 59,464$20,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,862.21 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 18c | 37,888$6,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,095.68 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 21c | 33,866$7,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,616.12 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 19c | 32,098$6,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,999.66 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2746…f918backed Yes | 52c | 21,572$11,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,217.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 19c | 17,025$3,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,860.18 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 19c | 12,973$2,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,509.5 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 19c | 12,082$2,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,786.17 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd814…7f65backed No | 38c | 10,938$4,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,757.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…5e12backed Yes | 74c | 10,722$7,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,929.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 65c | 10,500$6,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,795 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Yes | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 19c | 9,915$1,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,001.77 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…f06fbacked No | 19c | 9,791$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,931.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…66b9backed Yes | 76c | 8,095$6,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,152.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 45c | 7,945$3,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,605.81 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 42c | 7,882$3,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,534.85 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 1c | 6,584$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.68 | 60 | 10%6 W · 54 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…59fdbacked Yes | 3c | 6,550$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 57c | 5,999$3,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,399.47 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e25…96a6backed Yes | 80c | 5,986$4,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,771.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 19c | 5,880$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,762.76 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…762dbacked Yes | 76c | 5,500$4,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,164.9 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 43c | 5,094$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.73 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed No | 19c | 5,000$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,049.98 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 19c | 5,000$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,049.84 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +29%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 18c | 4,998$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,073.86 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 18c | 4,934$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,045.66 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 40c | 4,871$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,920.62 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4063…0c2bbacked Yes | 53c | 4,540$2,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,411.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 33c | 4,367$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,926.01 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 58c | 3,601$2,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,074.42 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Yes | 53c | 3,043$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,615.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 22c | 2,787$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,178.13 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcac4…bf62backed Yes | 63c | 2,306$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 21c | 2,050$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.5 | 71 | 11.3%8 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yes | 67c | 1,940$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf4…952ebacked Yes | 53c | 1,895$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 79c | 1,863$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.71 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 66c | 1,805$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.26 | 210 | 41.9%88 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 18c | 1,749$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.9 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…2665backed Yes | 58c | 1,736$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…ee32backed Yes | 80c | 1,700$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 35c | 1,620$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.82 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x195a…b307backed Yes | 63c | 1,581$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 73c | 1,575$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.4 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 76c | 1,500$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 20c | 1,443$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.72 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb263…6275backed Yes | 70c | 1,423$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…34dbbacked No | 21c | 1,383$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed No | 19c | 1,330$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 29c | 1,316$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.99 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 19c | 1,291$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.71 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 21c | 1,269$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.44 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 19c | 1,253$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.67 | 150 | 24%36 W · 114 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…d930backed Yes | 77c | 1,188$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.49 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +39%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed No | 18c | 1,030$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Yes | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x736f…d0c5backed Yes | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…5023backed Yes | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…b156backed No | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked No | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02dd…d213backed Yes | 67c | 992.93$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed No | 46c | 948.83$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked No | 27c | 912$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.99 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…ba32backed Yes | 7c | 897.18$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 19c | 876$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.56 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 41c | 841.46$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +37%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…f967backed Yes | 26c | 822$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.04 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…1186backed Yes | 55c | 806.58$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Yes | 52c | 777$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.04 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 17c | 767.9$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.36 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd930…2787backed Yes | 80c | 759.16$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.33 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…ab4dbacked Yes | 52c | 750.58$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.3 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d1…ad22backed Yes | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 18c | 699.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.99 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b32…8166backed Yes | 77c | 691.24$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…f261backed Yes | 43c | 674.42$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…3418backed Yes | 76c | 659.43$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54fe…5850backed Yes | 52c | 651$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.52 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Yes | 77c | 649.62$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…ee34backed Yes | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e46…6b55backed Yes | 78c | 640.55$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Yes | 80c | 600$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc7…fe1cbacked Yes | 68c | 599.89$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf430…675abacked Yes | 69c | 598.59$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.36 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 20c | 579$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.2 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe931…138bbacked Yes | 52c | 575.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 18c | 560$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.2 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7101…cf3dbacked Yes | 55c | 552.93$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc212…b061backed Yes | 77c | 549.87$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 20c | 503.96$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.74 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked Yes | 80c | 500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 25c | 500$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57f2…d036backed Yes | 75c | 458.81$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.11 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a24…4a1fbacked Yes | 79c | 456$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.42 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f6…8160backed Yes | 73c | 413.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 21c | 409.58$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.97 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 20c | 402.6$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.08 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-08?this page
- Will Union Berlin vs. Bayern München end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Union Berlin win on 2025-11-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.