TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x68db…ee32

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
261
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: La Liga, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT8453.6%45 W · 39 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 84 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$70.59
Dean Wade: Points O/U 0.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 16.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+43.8%+$8.76
Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 8.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+82.2%+$57.53
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.93
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.95
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.04
Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$13.38
Trail Blazers vs. 76ersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Hornets vs. Sunsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Rockets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$24.74
Knicks vs. Lakersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Bucks vs. Bullsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+40.8%+$12.25
Celtics vs. Nuggetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Hornets vs. Bullsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$501Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+53.8%+$269.5
Showing 25 of 84 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT5070%35 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Stray Team vs NS Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Stray Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 4 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.79
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$42.36
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$21.78
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+61.4%+$38.66
Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$8.51
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$18.52
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$14.79
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.62
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+38.7%+$57.59
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$24.98
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+72.2%+$29.62
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 4 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+54.8%+$93.2
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 3 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+55.4%+$55.42
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+67.5%+$44.58
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$462Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$334.55
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2759.3%16 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$10.68
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
France vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$75.38
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Mexico vs. England: England O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$26.14
Brazil to score first vs. Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$124.29
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$21.73
Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$38.19
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.74
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.42
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$33.57
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST2356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+42.9%+$27
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+33.3%+$10.33
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+72.4%+$30
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,006Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+53.8%+$541.79
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$221.48
Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,347Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,346.82
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+109%+$198.42
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+29.9%+$20.91
Crystal Palace FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Leeds United FC win on 2025-12-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+53.8%+$53.85
Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+26.6%+$26.58
Will Bristol City FC vs. Leicester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+40.8%+$12.25
Aston Villa vs. Arsenal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+92.3%+$192
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+51.5%+$51.52
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$115
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+96.1%+$192.16
Manchester City vs. Liverpool: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Tottenham vs. Manchester United: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 23 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-29.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$55.04
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+36.7%+$42.63
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+25%+$25
FC Bayern München vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Páfos FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+100%+$14
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$718Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+28.2%+$202.53
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 16 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-23.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BC.Game Esports (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$38.25
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+65%+$178.14
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+40.8%+$40.85
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+48.4%+$126.39
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+183.6%+$55.08
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+78.6%+$19.64
All 14 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick63cpaid+29.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$122.58
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+81.8%+$40.91
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+51.4%+$51.43
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$546Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+53.8%+$294
Villarreal CF vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+69.5%+$17.37
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+31.6%+$31.58
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+154.6%+$46.37
Will Valencia win on 2025-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+33.3%+$49.92
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+49.3%+$45.46
All 13 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+117.4%+$17.61
Islanders vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$19.6
Penguins vs. Predatorsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Canadiens vs. Flamesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$23.18
All 4 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+38.9%+$268.15
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+37.6%+$112.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Alexander Zverev vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+33.3%+$13.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas State vs. Southern Missbacked Southern Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.