Fifa International · resolved market
Brazil to score first vs. Norway?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc712d0c71eb2aed9bb61edf939dbe0bf7f12a72a9a614a066d2adf7e2c8dd07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $159,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $159,409
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 61c | 39,722$24,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,323.89 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d7…f551backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 39c | 12,590$4,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,702.82 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked No | 38c | 9,944$3,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,165.16 | 207 | 31.4%65 W · 142 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8783…4eb2backed Yes | 62c | 8,065$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 39c | 7,774$2,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,779.85 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 39c | 7,767$2,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,776.44 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 62c | 7,034$4,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,361.3 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 38c | 6,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,719.96 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdafe…c5b5backed Yes | 59c | 5,927$3,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,467.72 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 50cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 43c | 4,591$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,623.25 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 39c | 4,410$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,690.06 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 57c | 3,502$1,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,993.03 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 39c | 2,635$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,604.39 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Yes | 62c | 2,500$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1370…2cfdbacked Yes | 55c | 2,398$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.67 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 39c | 2,228$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.98 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 39c | 1,853$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.43 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…6367backed No | 39c | 1,830$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.18 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 39c | 1,800$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.98 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed No | 38c | 1,712$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.28 | 320 | 42.2%135 W · 185 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c1…4837backed Yes | 59c | 1,681$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x152f…a549backed Yes | 60c | 1,657$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 57 | 12.3%7 W · 50 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 39c | 1,530$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.1 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed No | 38c | 1,491$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.64 | 203 | 33.5%68 W · 135 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e3…935dbacked Yes | 75c | 1,327$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2a…7b2fbacked Yes | 13c | 1,200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 112 | 16.1%18 W · 94 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +56%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b00…52eebacked Yes | 21c | 1,169$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.84 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 38c | 1,105$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.11 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…fadabacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +5.6wins | +0.22per pick | 36cpaid | +53%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…5cb0backed Yes | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 255 | 37.6%96 W · 159 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…345cbacked Yes | 53c | 961$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20f…6ccebacked Yes | 50c | 900$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 184 | 35.3%65 W · 119 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 62c | 887.1$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…1939backed Yes | 13c | 861.32$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.97 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +107.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed No | 50c | 820$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x382e…4f6bbacked Yes | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…dc28backed Yes | 59c | 784.24$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.7 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b85…fbb7backed Yes | 62c | 656.45$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f7…b542backed No | 46c | 628.56$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.42 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 40c | 627.01$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.34 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…b084backed Yes | 61c | 618.02$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.99 | 232 | 40.5%94 W · 138 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d14…e4fabacked Yes | 16c | 600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 104 | 20.2%21 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1541…a61fbacked Yes | 60c | 600$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 136 | 50.7%69 W · 67 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42f0…7eb6backed Yes | 16c | 600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d0…5450backed No | 39c | 594.87$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.87 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…9e97backed No | 54c | 580.54$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.91 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f3…3b59backed No | 42c | 569.6$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.37 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0c…3e4dbacked Yes | 55c | 546.13$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 181 | 58.6%106 W · 75 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 39c | 520$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.2 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c41…34e4backed Yes | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 52c | 460$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.74 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 50c | 427.69$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.82 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2da…2ba1backed Yes | 50c | 422.24$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3465…36b3backed No | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…1b86backed No | 47c | 410.29$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.77 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x495c…c9eabacked No | 48c | 410.02$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.01 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 39c | 405.13$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.91 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked No | 38c | 394.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.73 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a0…11e3backed Yes | 62c | 394.19$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…5f22backed Yes | 53c | 393.04$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 113 | 35.4%40 W · 73 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e80…f694backed Yes | 73c | 383.76$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.11 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27a0…cd28backed Yes | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -79%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…9665backed Yes | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 284 | 44.4%126 W · 158 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73c2…b0c4backed Yes | 64c | 308.59$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.5 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa63f…b685backed Yes | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c84…f6fcbacked Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +12.3wins | +0.20per pick | 16cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd84a…4ca0backed Yes | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 36 | 5.6%2 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 13cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91d8…9e8dbacked No | 38c | 296.46$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.41 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 25c | 269.18$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.43 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…0187backed No | 38c | 240$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.8 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d5…720fbacked Yes | 62c | 225.81$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 58c | 215$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.7 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 58c | 214.6$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.24 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 58c | 214.38$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.24 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked No | 38c | 212$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.44 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa135…68b8backed No | 39c | 191.88$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.21 | 322 | 45.3%146 W · 176 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked Yes | 17c | 182.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 92 | 21.7%20 W · 72 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95ee…e28cbacked Yes | 62c | 179.03$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e6…86b1backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f99…db70backed Yes | 58c | 173.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 39c | 168.2$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.89 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb79b…2e48backed Yes | 58c | 164.95$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.67 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f7…e600backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 56c | 159.85$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.33 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0c…fb1abacked Yes | 63c | 159.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 483 | 34.2%165 W · 318 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0415…0ae5backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f81…d38bbacked Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 38c | 150$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95c5…d5d3backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Yes | 54c | 147.3$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.03 | 235 | 58.3%137 W · 98 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a70…fd68backed Yes | 62c | 145.13$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 49c | 145.07$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.8 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked No | 55c | 137.61$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.91 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4607…7811backed Yes | 59c | 135.9$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.18 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked No | 36c | 134.61$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.82 | 669 | 32.1%215 W · 454 L | +16.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 54c | 134.4$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.82 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brazil to score first vs. Norway?this page
- Brazil vs. Norway: Neither team to score first?No won
- Norway to score first vs. Brazil?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.