Fifa International · resolved market
Brazil vs. Norway: Neither team to score first?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x333bab6ed0bb5d30a935926a0f152d30844e1fce31fb1c85d128bf42fa2c5c93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,224
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,122
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,224 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes | 5c | 19,999$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.96 | 427 | 10.3%44 W · 383 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 6c | 7,418$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.1 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Yes | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfc…4247backed Yes | 6c | 3,572$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.3 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,905$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.26 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 10c | 1,859$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.65 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…c023backed Yes | 5c | 1,794$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.71 | 275 | 43.6%120 W · 155 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a3…24eabacked Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 3.2%2 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 7c | 1,330$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.04 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 5c | 1,330$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.48 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…8dc6backed Yes | 6c | 1,113$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.78 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb00…2f38backed Yes | 18c | 1,025$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.47 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x311d…86e5backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a0…2c5abacked Yes | 18c | 1,000$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…345cbacked Yes | 17c | 959.56$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.2 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…8220backed Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 282 | 24.1%68 W · 214 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe168…e559backed Yes | 25c | 801.84$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…9e97backed No | 65c | 724.62$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.62 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 79c | 641.73$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.83 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked No | 74c | 540.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.66 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +19.7wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…26febacked Yes | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 135 | 48.1%65 W · 70 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 10c | 502.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 756 | 30.4%230 W · 526 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…9b28backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 263 | 44.1%116 W · 147 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Yes | 26c | 467.96$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.77 | 451 | 45%203 W · 248 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…0329backed Yes | 26c | 386.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba4…7a54backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718f…f25abacked Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d9…fa69backed Yes | 11c | 318.89$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…818fbacked Yes | 11c | 300.36$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x977f…0981backed Yes | 6c | 299.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 143 | 23.1%33 W · 110 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e3…c0adbacked Yes | 17c | 291.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec7…6aadbacked Yes | 7c | 266.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 16c | 253.52$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.17 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…39c8backed Yes | 7c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 85 | 18.8%16 W · 69 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes | 20c | 184.46$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 669 | 32.1%215 W · 454 L | +16.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 78c | 180.49$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.52 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 66c | 134.4$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.7 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd824…8d96backed Yes | 17c | 106.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x548a…e37abacked Yes | 23c | 88.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28a0…9884backed Yes | 45c | 71.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74cb…1688backed No | 74c | 66.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +13.1wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +83.4%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x6087…61e8backed Yes | 31c | 65.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21fe…da90backed No | 78c | 49.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…b03cbacked No | 76c | 46.67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 101 | 66.3%67 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes | 48c | 41.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d43…8156backed Yes | 52c | 38.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 56c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brazil vs. Norway: Neither team to score first?this page
- Brazil to score first vs. Norway?No won
- Norway to score first vs. Brazil?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.