TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2e9e…c4ef

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
859
Categories scored
34
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 60 out of 100; worst Serie A at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Sep 5, 2025, EDT1818.3%15 W · 166 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 181 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet between 540 and 569 times August 29–September 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$52
Will Elon tweet between 570 and 599 times August 29–September 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon tweet between 480 and 509 times August 29–September 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon tweet between 420 and 449 times August 29–September 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times August 22–August 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$683Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$683.38
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times August 22–August 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT+727.6%+$2,507.2
Will Elon tweet 270–284 times August 22–August 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.48
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times August 22–August 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$196.22
Will Elon tweet 300–314 times August 22–August 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Will Elon tweet 285–299 times August 22–August 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Will Elon tweet 225–239 times August 22–August 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$151.41
Will Elon tweet 255–269 times August 22–August 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.08
Will Elon tweet 240–254 times August 22–August 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$141.24
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times August 22–August 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$267.25
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times August 22–August 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$561Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$561.45
Will Elon tweet less than 150 times August 22–August 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$731Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$730.67
Will Elon tweet 525–549 times August 8–August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$266.18
Will Elon tweet 475–499 times August 8–August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$102.5
Will Elon tweet 390–404 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.97
Will Elon tweet 375–389 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$173.61
Will Elon tweet 420–434 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.44
Will Elon tweet 360–374 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+334.8%+$85.47
Will Elon tweet 345–359 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.81
Will Elon tweet 300–314 times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.64
Will Elon tweet 255 or more times August 1–August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+588.2%+$1,322.78
Showing 25 of 181 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT12830.5%39 W · 89 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 128 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.27
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$107
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.98
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$46.68
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.3
Will Russia enter Bilytske by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$330
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$453Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$453
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$289
Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$276.99
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+182.3%+$505.84
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+122.2%+$55
Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$76.5
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+74.6%+$132.31
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$37
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$106
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+81.8%+$44.99
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$55.55
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$532Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+92.3%+$490.71
Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+325.5%+$612
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$210.59
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Nord Stream pipeline turned on in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.65
Showing 25 of 128 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT8631.4%27 W · 59 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 86 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$312.59
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$223.99
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.32
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$377Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$376.92
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.48
Will Aston Villa be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.75
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.58
Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.12
Will Sunderland win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will Crystal Palace win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$183.28
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$375.34
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+212.5%+$68
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$59.5
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$51.25
Will Liam Rosenior be the next Chelsea manager?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$95
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$51.7
Will Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+194.1%+$33
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$35.94
Will Burnley FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20.25
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$30.1
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$30.8
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+104.1%+$79.05
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+354.5%+$120.9
Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+257.1%+$36
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$24.5
Showing 25 of 86 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST5639.3%22 W · 34 L+5.9wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump deport 2,000,000 or more people?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.52
Will Trump deport 1,250,000-1,500,000 people?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.5
Will Trump deport 1,000,000-1,250,000 people?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$55.72
Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.02
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$146.8
Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$85.12
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$53.28
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$606Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+92.3%+$558.82
Trump takes Panama Canal in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.85
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60.41
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+107.1%+$46.03
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$82.14
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.45
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+80.4%+$31.19
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Trump talk to Jerome Powell in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Donald Trump disparage Volodymyr Zelenskyy on Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$57
Will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$102.04
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+311%+$113.5
Will Trump announce withdrawal from Syria before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
U.S. forces in Gaza before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.72
Another US military action against Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+155.1%+$60.8
Trump x Khamenei talk before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.24
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Israel before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+365.8%+$86.5
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT4332.6%14 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.6
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$17.95
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$14
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: United States 0 - 2 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.34
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.5
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 3 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+131.5%+$21.58
Mexico vs. England: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.25
Brazil vs. Norway: Neither team to score first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 1 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.58
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Australia vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$8.5
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT4325.6%11 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-1.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.38
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.99
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.5
Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$25.2
Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$117.21
Will Union Saint-Gilloise win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12.82
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$18.75
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$111.99
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-10-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.5
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.45
Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+244.3%+$149
Real Madrid CF vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.56
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$49
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-10-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.05
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-10-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-10-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.19
Will Barcelona vs. Paris Saint Germain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$36.8
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$69
Will Villarreal win on 2025-10-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$30.1
Will Newcastle United win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$39.2
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.5
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT4223.8%10 W · 32 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-39.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$137.1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$648Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$647.99
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.7
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$234.5
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$533Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$533
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+114.3%+$160
Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+529.9%+$672.99
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 25% in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+203%+$141.37
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 20% in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$397.18
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$18
US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$18.1
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$173
US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$12.4
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13.5
Will no qualifying US-Iran meeting occur by February 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+153.2%+$241.99
Will Witkoff meet with Iranian officials by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$86
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$89
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$48.99
Israel x Turkey military clash in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+96.4%+$238.12
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$879Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$879.23
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on October 1 ET?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+37%+$37.8
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$467Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$466.92
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT3545.7%16 W · 19 L+4.6wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+15.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
World Politics — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$407Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$407
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.99
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$206.8
Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+100%+$50.5
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$245.43
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+61.3%+$19
Will Michael McDowell win the Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Mairead McGuinness win the Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.08
Will the Patriotic Electoral Bloc win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.8
Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+87%+$166.68
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+446.4%+$49.02
Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$124.25
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+26.8%+$22.51
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+488.2%+$268.52
Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.27
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$163.19
Will the next Pope be from Africa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.75
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+86.2%+$25.46
Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens form the next German Government?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.98
Georgescu banned from Romania election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$49.96
Will Trump remove tariff on Canada before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+203%+$110.55
Will the Liberal Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+82.3%+$47.4
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$212.99
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+45.7%+$31.35
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT2445.8%11 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+9.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
AI — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.5
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$7.71
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+46.2%+$63.2
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$36.02
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+265.3%+$63.91
OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$222.2
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$90.66
Will GPT-5 be released by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.32
Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+57.2%+$56.42
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.44
Will GPT-5 be released by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+34.9%+$76.2
Will OpenAI release an open source model before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+159.8%+$24.82
Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+426.3%+$89.91
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.24
Will Trump publicly disparage Elon before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+300%+$75.75
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$142.96
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+83.2%+$213.45
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Will Google have the top AI model on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$18
Magnificent 7 shrinks below 30% of S&P 500 in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.72
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.32
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.39
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$37.59
All 24 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST2420.8%5 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-56.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$299.44
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$186.15
Will Oscar Piastri finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+58.5%+$27.63
Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10.56
Will McLaren be the 2025 Constructors Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$24.75
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.42
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.33
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.3
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.82
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Miami Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$112.1
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Saudi Arabian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$20.49
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$31.24
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$141.76
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 China Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$153.8
Will another team have the highest Constructor score at the Australian GP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.92
Will Fernando Alonso win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Will Mercedes have the highest Constructor score at the Australian GP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$88.8
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.42
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.21
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.13
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$128.11
Will George Russell win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.91
Will McLaren have the highest Constructor score at the Australian GP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$10.12
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$102.21
All 24 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT2245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$114
Will Real Madrid vs. Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+101.3%+$37.75
Real Madrid vs. Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$41.25
Will Valencia vs. Villarreal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Will Villarreal win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$57
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.5
Will Espanyol win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$26.5
Will Girona win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.5
Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-10-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.5
Will Real Betis win on 2025-09-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.7
Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-09-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$19.8
Will Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-09-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$20.25
Will Getafe win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.8
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$54
Will Rayo Vallecano vs. Celta Vigo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$72
Will Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.5
Will Villarreal win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$21
Will Villarreal vs. Osasuna end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.08
Will Barcelona beat Valladolid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$25.85
All 22 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST2045%9 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+39.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sharks vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+69.5%+$20.5
Golden Knights vs. Bluesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+66.7%+$20
Devils vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$97.08
Rangers vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+92.3%+$24
Ducks vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+92.3%+$38.4
Lightning vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$57.02
Blue Jackets vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.05
Sabres vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$32.8
Ducks vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$29.25
Will the Florida Panthers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$146.81
Will the Oilers beat the Panthers 4-3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.09
Will the Panthers beat the Oilers 4-3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.73
Will the Oilers beat the Panthers 4-2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.33
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.42
NHL Playoffs: Maple Leafs vs. Panthers (To Advance)backed Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$160.35
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.49
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$109.98
NHL Playoffs: Winnipeg Jets vs. St. Louis Blues (To Advance)backed Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+46%+$50.2
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+1,266.2%+$1,418.42
Will the Calgary Flames win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.11
All 20 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST2035%7 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+156.4%+$45.75
Will Fiorentina win on 2025-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$19.25
Will AS Roma win on 2025-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.74
Verona vs. Cagliari: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.3
Will Genoa win on 2025-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+37%+$20.25
Will US Cremonese vs. Atalanta end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$34.5
Will Atalanta win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.25
Will Napoli vs. Inter end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Napoli vs. Inter: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+115.9%+$35.54
Will Udinese win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+96.3%+$51.5
Will Como win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.44
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)backed AC Milan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.5
AC Milan vs. Pisa SC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Will AC Milan win on 2025-09-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Will Bologna win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.4
Will Udinese vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Will Juventus win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.4
Will Napoli win the Serie A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+240.9%+$216.24
Will Juventus win the Serie A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.88
Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$159.68
All 20 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT1717.6%3 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick12cpaid-62.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Selena Gomez married in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.8
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.15
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.61
Will Israel win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.42
Will Poland win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.22
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Will Spain win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$73
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$9.9
Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+217.8%+$55.76
Will Israel finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+75.3%+$121.57
Will Austria finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.87
Will Austria finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.55
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.22
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.88
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.22
All 17 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.22per pick40cpaid+35.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$37.73
Will 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$23.4
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$26
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$30.8
Spread: Bayern München (-2.5)backed Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$31
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. Bayern München: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will Union Berlin vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$29.6
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$20.3
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$18.5
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$20.8
Will RB Leipzig vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will 1. FC Heidenheim win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Hamburger SV vs. 1. FC Heidenheim end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will Bayern München win on 2025-09-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will FC Augsburg vs. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Will SC Freiburg beat Eintracht Frankfurt?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$37.8
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+73.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+1,566.7%+$470
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+69.5%+$24.6
Lakers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Grizzlies vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+66.1%+$35.8
Trail Blazers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$82.26
Pacers vs. Grizzliesbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.04
Hornets vs. 76ersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.66
Bulls vs. Magicbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+152.6%+$51.35
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.06
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+229.8%+$147.03
Will the Indiana Pacers win the Eastern Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$146.19
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.9
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$49.35
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$103.61
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$361Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$360.54
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.75
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$31.5
Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobollibacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.7
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+216%+$116.17
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.16
Will Iga Swiatek win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$51.15
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.37
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Djokovic backed Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.52
Will Alex de Minaur win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.31
Will Alexander Zverev win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.1
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.42
French Open: Musetti vs. Rune backed Rune · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.32
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 Internazionali BNL d'Italia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+147.9%+$89.5
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 Internazionali BNL d'Italia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$112.09
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 Barcelona Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.5
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick31cpaid-19.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$103.64
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+58.7%+$11.1
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.7
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+114.6%+$83.31
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$108
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$29.04
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.67
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.99
Will Jerome Powell say "Trump" during the March meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.1
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-43.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.25
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Olympique Lyonnais vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$15.05
Will AJ Auxerre vs. Le Havre AC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.75
AJ Auxerre vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.4
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.43
Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.4
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$28.8
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+100%+$25
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nott'm Forest win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.45
Will Lille OSC win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$63
Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.5
Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)backed AS Roma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.5
Will Lyon win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+150%+$30
Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.5
Will AS Roma win on 2025-09-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$35.4
Will Manchester United win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$201.44
Will Manchester United win on 2025-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+98.7%+$52.08
All 9 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick7cpaid+172.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Space — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-33.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Broncos (-7.5)backed Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+100%+$50
Giants vs. Broncosbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.75
Seahawks vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.5
All 3 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+72.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$347.9
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+244.8%+$200.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Rizvan Kuniev vs. Jailton Almeida (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Kuniev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+163.2%+$62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+69.5%+$30.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2025-10-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$177.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 Masters?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$78
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.