Tennis · resolved market
Will Alexander Zverev win Wimbledon 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x057bc9fb889c49ccbc38806d9c58ea897839d7d390e481238d818a8c01298e70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $389,732
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $191,249
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $389,732 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Yes | 2c | 90,961$1,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,813.44 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes | 2c | 24,468$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.79 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x454c…bd22backed Yes | 2c | 14,874$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.51 | 93 | 3.2%3 W · 90 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Yes | 2c | 12,613$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.05 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 2c | 12,211$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.97 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x679c…f8ddbacked Yes | 0c | 11,434$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.63 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 22cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ced…12b2backed Yes | 3c | 10,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8881…c55cbacked Yes | 3c | 9,323$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 9,157$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.42 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…ceabbacked Yes | 2c | 8,233$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.3 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Yes | 2c | 7,864$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.86 | 139 | 34.5%48 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Yes | 2c | 7,201$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.88 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 2c | 5,181$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.26 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 2c | 5,056$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.03 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed Yes | 2c | 5,000$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c09…8fffbacked Yes | 2c | 4,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…6b39backed Yes | 2c | 3,951$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 2c | 2,957$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.27 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa83…5599backed Yes | 2c | 2,739$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.83 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yes | 2c | 2,500$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80e9…5105backed Yes | 2c | 2,415$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe223…f32ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,257$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c64…db54backed Yes | 2c | 2,086$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Yes | 2c | 2,078$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…d839backed Yes | 2c | 2,068$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.36 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3753…9cb5backed Yes | 2c | 2,057$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155c…1b09backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -58%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1906…2054backed Yes | 2c | 1,861$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Yes | 2c | 1,734$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 470 | 58.5%275 W · 195 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Yes | 2c | 1,649$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7688…d12fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,585$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes | 2c | 1,555$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 2c | 1,492$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3176…b725backed Yes | 3c | 1,400$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c70…ad5abacked Yes | 4c | 1,385$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed Yes | 3c | 1,286$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 177 | 46.9%83 W · 94 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 2c | 1,280$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa06b…4a95backed Yes | 2c | 1,238$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019a…7df0backed Yes | 2c | 1,212$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46e4…5b49backed Yes | 2c | 1,042$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73b5…8763backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Yes | 2c | 999.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e66…01cbbacked Yes | 2c | 999.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcca2…e321backed Yes | 2c | 969.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…5976backed Yes | 3c | 918.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44cf…1174backed Yes | 2c | 909.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf488…b954backed Yes | 2c | 887.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes | 2c | 816$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe65f…a749backed Yes | 3c | 800$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 2c | 669$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 2c | 663.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4d…5f9fbacked Yes | 2c | 649.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec4…b0aabacked Yes | 3c | 623.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 2c | 600.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 227 | 23.8%54 W · 173 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Yes | 2c | 600$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes | 2c | 554.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa842…08e5backed Yes | 3c | 520.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93c2…29f9backed Yes | 5c | 508.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Yes | 2c | 500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed Yes | 2c | 499.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Yes | 2c | 497.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Yes | 2c | 466$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 313 | 39.9%125 W · 188 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344d…dab2backed Yes | 2c | 461.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad96…da44backed Yes | 3c | 440$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fea…69a9backed Yes | 2c | 415.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec2a…81c1backed Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d5…a491backed Yes | 3c | 392.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes | 3c | 390.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alexander Zverev win Wimbledon 2025?this page
- Will Alex de Minaur win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Alexander Bublik win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Andrey Rublev win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Ben Shelton win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Cameron Norrie win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Casper Ruud win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Daniil Medvedev win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Denis Shapovalov win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Frances Tiafoe win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Grigor Dimitrov win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Holger Rune win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Hubert Hurkacz win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Jack Draper win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?Yes won
- Will Karen Khachanov win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Lorenzo Musetti win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Matteo Berrettini win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Sebastian Korda win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Taylor Fritz win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Tommy Paul win Wimbledon 2025?No won
- Will Ugo Humbert win Wimbledon 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.