TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win Wimbledon 2025?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$391,707
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$132,747

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $391,707 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Yes0c119,672$200 inLost-$200.4213934.5%48 W · 91 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Yes0c64,770$85 inLost-$84.6629028.3%82 W · 208 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c38,292$49 inLost-$48.65480%0 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb72…8b01backed Yes0c18,044$36 inLost-$36.091931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-52%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c16,759$17 inLost-$16.76224.5%1 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-90.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c15,061$15 inLost-$15.07170%0 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fd0…eb9dbacked Yes0c15,000$20 inLost-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick13cpaid-73.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x654b…c791backed Yes0c6,937$20 inLost-$202010%2 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick8cpaid-66.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7da7…1aecbacked Yes0c6,532$13 inLost-$13.0620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ff4…a683backed Yes0c3,219$10 inLost-$1070%0 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.