TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon 2025?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,071,915
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,497,445

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,071,915 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 389 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x66b8…b5f0backed Yes12c305,690$36,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,688.87119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick16cpaid-77.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5095…c97cbacked Yes14c193,486$27,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,031.824040%16 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Yes12c116,314$13,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,716.2616242%68 W · 94 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e80…490dbacked Yes17c90,296$14,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,993.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes13c33,199$4,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,315.914345.5%65 W · 78 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+0.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b9e…74aebacked Yes13c30,000$3,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,832.451711.8%2 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-62.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb438…b113backed Yes10c28,571$2,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,719.014537.8%17 W · 28 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3744…c141backed Yes12c26,536$3,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,184.3520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fdc…3ad2backed Yes15c21,744$3,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,283.333641.7%15 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes16c18,659$3,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,034.0411230.4%34 W · 78 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b20…75d3backed Yes17c17,928$2,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,965.7933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-29.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2588…1cfdbacked Yes14c17,064$2,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,417.481145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+27.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked No79c15,907$12,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,264.343458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a5f…cbbfbacked Yes10c15,600$1,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,594812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick40cpaid-83.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed No78c15,500$12,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4552725.9%7 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-47.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes15c14,935$2,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,188.962714.8%4 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-62.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes12c10,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2001464.3%9 W · 5 L+4.0wins+0.29per pick36cpaid+76.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xebdd…b527backed Yes1c9,999$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick15cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Yes15c9,544$1,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4095545.5%25 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61bf…647ebacked Yes18c8,909$1,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,644.25185.6%1 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.20per pick25cpaid-89.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Yes17c8,380$1,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,452.522360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.7wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+48.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5c09…8fffbacked Yes13c7,692$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0276…19d8backed Yes7c7,308$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x364c…b541backed Yes14c7,143$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Yes15c6,823$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.4424634.1%84 W · 162 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Yes14c6,500$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90552750.3%265 W · 262 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes7c6,410$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.161,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0356…11a8backed Yes16c6,250$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-61%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Yes13c6,106$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.7228828.5%82 W · 206 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes14c6,060$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.516946.4%32 W · 37 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8597…daeebacked Yes14c5,890$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.21442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-32.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x155c…1b09backed Yes5c5,590$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.131225%3 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-58%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3095…8e0ebacked Yes8c5,532$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+163.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x679c…f8ddbacked Yes8c5,527$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.21837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick22cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e78…e415backed Yes14c5,419$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.77128.3%1 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick8cpaid-78.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa815…a3c3backed Yes22c5,397$1,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,187.1713253.8%71 W · 61 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes12c4,987$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.979826.5%26 W · 72 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-33%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c16…df3abacked Yes13c4,719$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.37520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-67.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes16c4,599$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.711,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes17c4,288$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.658721.8%19 W · 68 L-0.2wins0.00per pick22cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed Yes18c4,232$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.812450%12 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+27.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes5c4,000$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2052920.7%6 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-37.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Yes13c4,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52022737.4%85 W · 142 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0523…e38bbacked Yes13c4,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d0d…ef5fbacked Yes7c4,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid-44.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Yes14c3,945$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.2522344.8%100 W · 123 L-13.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x76fc…e0bdbacked Yes15c3,436$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.074030%12 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1cd…d1adbacked Yes13c3,297$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xce4e…c56fbacked Yes6c3,281$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.3933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick21cpaid-14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b94…fab1backed Yes15c3,266$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe190…a627backed Yes16c3,157$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid-22.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff4…a683backed Yes13c3,113$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.9870%0 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6b9…95fabacked Yes16c3,088$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.46933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad25…7678backed Yes17c3,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5102035%7 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a3f…e333backed Yes13c2,858$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.291729.4%5 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick21cpaid-23.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb014…b3fabacked Yes14c2,856$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.84425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No77c2,740$2,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.028241.5%34 W · 48 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x323c…099bbacked Yes19c2,611$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8485…c13ebacked Yes15c2,388$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.43540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+34.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked Yes10c2,317$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.6812737%47 W · 80 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes18c2,268$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.388650%43 W · 43 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5754…e515backed Yes14c2,152$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x47ab…95dfbacked Yes17c2,152$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.862751.9%14 W · 13 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes9c2,020$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.441,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Yes16c2,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32011956.3%67 W · 52 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes16c2,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3101533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick24cpaid-6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbab5…37c4backed Yes10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick28cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0292…4211backed Yes16c2,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-45.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2360…1c1cbacked Yes15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008831.8%28 W · 60 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54a1…ec5dbacked Yes13c2,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+18.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5575…4894backed Yes5c1,919$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x454c…bd22backed Yes3c1,835$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.42933.2%3 W · 90 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid-80.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0c1…e861backed Yes16c1,771$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.9520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6494…2123backed Yes7c1,714$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+25.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd02d…efaebacked Yes14c1,680$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.631450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+24.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23b9…4267backed Yes15c1,625$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.724450%22 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bb8…4e12backed Yes22c1,537$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.8450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcca2…e321backed Yes11c1,523$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.3370%0 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d6f…482cbacked Yes12c1,500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04dc…2387backed No77c1,500$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3452100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+203%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1854…81eabacked Yes16c1,492$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e66…01cbbacked Yes12c1,453$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.3910527.6%29 W · 76 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x349f…78c9backed Yes14c1,435$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5d3…a6c6backed Yes14c1,400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.230%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x383d…a9f2backed Yes21c1,388$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.48944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bd5…81b0backed Yes15c1,331$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200140%0 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd3a…68a9backed Yes17c1,303$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.522240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbcbf…4ffabacked Yes15c1,303$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001225%3 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-45.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8549…7ec3backed Yes11c1,295$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c67…29dbbacked Yes17c1,292$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a9b…bfcabacked Yes16c1,279$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed Yes11c1,267$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.353435.3%12 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6203…d744backed Yes1c1,250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151513.3%2 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick13cpaid-72.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73f5…976bbacked Yes13c1,233$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.3520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb34…f1a5backed Yes16c1,177$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.3220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes13c1,170$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.442123.8%5 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-44%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x37c2…73dbbacked Yes11c1,150$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.51711.8%2 W · 15 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-46.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe641…8488backed Yes18c1,111$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-41.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes12c1,100$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.54628.3%13 W · 33 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed Yes3c1,100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.53441.2%14 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick31cpaid-16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.