TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Will Andrey Rublev win Wimbledon 2025?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$600,801
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$200,995

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $600,801 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Yes0c76,683$242 inLost-$242.1413934.5%48 W · 91 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac53…6133backed Yes0c62,344$75 inLost-$74.575030%15 W · 35 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-37.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c56,991$110 inLost-$110.22480%0 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Yes0c46,445$102 inLost-$102.0228828.5%82 W · 206 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x454c…bd22backed Yes0c24,328$58 inLost-$58.43933.2%3 W · 90 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid-80.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd426…334abacked Yes0c22,222$44 inLost-$44.44244.2%1 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick1cpaid-41.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x654b…c791backed Yes0c21,106$83 inLost-$832010%2 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick8cpaid-66.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Yes1c19,147$100 inLost-$10023429.9%70 W · 164 L-1.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb72…8b01backed Yes0c18,442$28 inLost-$28.441931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-52%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c16,666$22 inLost-$22.22224.5%1 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-90.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c10,109$21 inLost-$21.35170%0 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x149e…2ce3backed Yes0c10,013$40 inLost-$40.0530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Yes2c10,002$179 inLost-$179.29450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+26.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e78…e415backed Yes0c8,875$40 inLost-$40128.3%1 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick8cpaid-78.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba1f…11c3backed Yes0c7,872$16 inLost-$15.7430%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91db…9b6ebacked Yes1c5,956$41 inLost-$4170%0 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ff4…55bcbacked Yes0c5,000$20 inLost-$2010622.6%24 W · 82 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-40.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38eb…5257backed Yes0c3,667$13 inLost-$135326.4%14 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick21cpaid-38.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e35…c89abacked Yes1c3,000$15 inLost-$151729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-34.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d28…8b16backed Yes1c3,000$15 inLost-$151040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-41.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ded…9025backed Yes1c2,080$11 inLost-$10.6124837.5%93 W · 155 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7bc…0f85backed Yes1c1,771$12 inLost-$11.5150%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe24e…350cbacked Yes1c1,349$20 inLost-$2040%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x77f0…b6b1backed Yes2c508$10 inLost-$1030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.