TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe24e…350c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
185
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst Lol at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT12529.6%37 W · 88 L+10.0wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 125 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+71.8%+$71.82
Spain vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.65
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Lamine Yamal: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+300%+$150
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+410.3%+$123.09
Exact Score: France 2 - 3 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Exact Score: France 2 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France vs. England: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+281%+$280.95
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+300%+$489.45
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$647Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$647.46
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Norway to score first vs. England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$163.16
Showing 25 of 125 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST90%0 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$220
Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will GPT-5 be released on August 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will GPT-5 be released on August 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will GPT-5 be released on August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$71
Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$411Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$411
Will GPT-5 be released on August 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Sep 15, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-53.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 28, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-45.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+43.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BLAST Bounty: fnatic vs. Legacybacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$22.73
BLAST Bounty: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs. paiNbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$20.43
BLAST Bounty: OG vs. MOUZbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.74
All 3 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+27%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eagles vs. Chiefsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$46.98
Broncos vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$97.78
Patriots vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Giantsbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$32.31
Giants vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.21
Reds vs. Nationalsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fever vs Mercurybacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.51
Dream vs Skybacked Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will XRP dip to $1.9 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will XRP dip to $1.7 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FIFA Club World Cup: Benfica vs. Chelsea (To Advance)backed Chelsea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Yemen by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$19.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will reconciliation bill be passed by June 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump x Zelenskyy talk before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Aug 16, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valencia win on 2025-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$133.87
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.