Lol · resolved market

League of Legends: Ultra Prime vs. LNG Esports

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe55d227530db17b3af5d8182a6c4f1c2b5254e90df8076b607cdd0a2953f7a40

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Ultra Primeof Ultra Prime, LNG
Resolved: Aug 8, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $128,541
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $127,026

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,541 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb083…b3f0backed Ultra Prime	30c	21,428$6,326 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,101.4	364	33.8%123 W · 241 L	-17.5wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x178e…76f7backed LNG	78c	16,994$13,255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,255.32	73	57.5%42 W · 31 L	+5.7wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed Ultra Prime	37c	15,494$5,783 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,711.27	310	36.1%112 W · 198 L	-18.3wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed LNG	1c	9,617$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.17	2,362	32%755 W · 1,607 L	+42.0wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Ultra Prime	35c	9,525$3,376 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,148.32	3,584	40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L	+31.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Ultra Prime	32c	6,267$2,014 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,253.35	1,098	34.8%382 W · 716 L	-17.1wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked LNG	53c	6,025$3,185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,185.23	217	40.1%87 W · 130 L	-12.7wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x538e…c195backed LNG	60c	5,000$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	316	61.7%195 W · 121 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	62cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed LNG	61c	4,742$2,896 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,895.88	72	30.6%22 W · 50 L	-6.1wins	-0.08per pick	39cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed LNG	59c	4,035$2,361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,361.14	120	45.8%55 W · 65 L	+6.0wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdf1…c324backed Ultra Prime	44c	3,004$1,312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,692.3	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64ad…3050backed LNG	60c	2,686$1,610 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,609.56	123	61.8%76 W · 47 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked LNG	61c	2,600$1,586 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,586	417	52.5%219 W · 198 L	+14.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked LNG	58c	2,000$1,160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,160	1,598	42.4%677 W · 921 L	-17.9wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Ultra Prime	41c	1,576$652 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$923.66	83	60.2%50 W · 33 L	+6.4wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Ultra Prime	41c	1,345$554 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$790.95	121	43%52 W · 69 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Ultra Prime	33c	1,100$367 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$733	388	37.4%145 W · 243 L	-15.3wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-16%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed LNG	59c	1,098$648 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$647.56	192	39.1%75 W · 117 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Ultra Prime	25c	1,000$249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$751	274	52.2%143 W · 131 L	+16.2wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked Ultra Prime	22c	1,000$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$780	194	51%99 W · 95 L	+10.6wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x77fb…849ebacked LNG	55c	1,000$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	91	27.5%25 W · 66 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed LNG	57c	1,000$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570	539	54.7%295 W · 244 L	+12.0wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Ultra Prime	35c	899.99$315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$584.99	435	39.5%172 W · 263 L	-24.9wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x17b9…430dbacked LNG	58c	851.72$494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$494	137	47.4%65 W · 72 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5c3…1f5fbacked LNG	58c	850$493 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$493	796	53.1%423 W · 373 L	-17.3wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48e2…35c7backed LNG	60c	838.53$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	63	65.1%41 W · 22 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	65cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe627…ffaabacked LNG	62c	822$514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$513.64	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.13per pick	53cpaid	+23.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2200…0f2dbacked LNG	71c	800$569 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$569	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Ultra Prime	24c	797.28$193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$604.13	223	36.8%82 W · 141 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabdf…e8e4backed Ultra Prime	54c	618.21$334 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$284.54	65	66.2%43 W · 22 L	+4.7wins	+0.07per pick	59cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Ultra Prime	51c	590.2$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$290.2	155	51.6%80 W · 75 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked Ultra Prime	39c	584.51$228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$356.55	126	44.4%56 W · 70 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6082…6ce2backed Ultra Prime	6c	500$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$470	58	51.7%30 W · 28 L	+5.5wins	+0.09per pick	42cpaid	+83.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Ultra Prime	48c	500$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260	1,180	44.5%525 W · 655 L	-10.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Ultra Prime	39c	443.99$173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270.83	1,609	48.4%779 W · 830 L	+24.6wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0709…f2edbacked Ultra Prime	22c	397.03$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$308.66	58	55.2%32 W · 26 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked LNG	68c	397.01$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.86	1,356	51.1%693 W · 663 L	-21.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Ultra Prime	41c	396.3$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$233.81	323	50.8%164 W · 159 L	-9.0wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-11%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked LNG	60c	383.35$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.46	850	46%391 W · 459 L	-11.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed LNG	58c	350$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.5	217	35.9%78 W · 139 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76c0…d8bebacked LNG	26c	346.93$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	32	25%8 W · 24 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-47%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed LNG	60c	330.65$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	153	70.6%108 W · 45 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	67cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Ultra Prime	34c	307.14$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203	235	47.7%112 W · 123 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9055…756abacked Ultra Prime	42c	300$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174	70	62.9%44 W · 26 L	+7.3wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+39.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3cc9…56d0backed LNG	58c	300$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.29per pick	49cpaid	-69.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c38…1218backed LNG	61c	296$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.56	214	48.1%103 W · 111 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd93…bd6fbacked LNG	69c	288.93$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…e834backed LNG	58c	220.68$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.99	25	48%12 W · 13 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e86…7932backed Ultra Prime	43c	200$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114	611	50.6%309 W · 302 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e9a…d9d7backed LNG	61c	200$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe24e…350cbacked LNG	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.20per pick	53cpaid	-45.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x88c4…fbf0backed Ultra Prime	42c	197.73$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.68	67	23.9%16 W · 51 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-19%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61be…a916backed Ultra Prime	51c	185.27$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.15	43	67.4%29 W · 14 L	+2.6wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed LNG	57c	173.93$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	205	63.9%131 W · 74 L	-4.9wins	-0.02per pick	66cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed LNG	60c	166.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	257	52.1%134 W · 123 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfcf…a26ebacked LNG	61c	163.93$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	363	31.1%113 W · 250 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked LNG	61c	150.98$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.02	101	51.5%52 W · 49 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb90…1917backed LNG	59c	149.98$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.49	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed LNG	78c	143$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.54	105	33.3%35 W · 70 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b3…8732backed LNG	61c	109.84$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67	42	61.9%26 W · 16 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x729a…1e51backed LNG	67c	100$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67	364	65.1%237 W · 127 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	63cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed LNG	35c	100$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	538	29.4%158 W · 380 L	-13.8wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0a1…6daebacked Ultra Prime	42c	95.24$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.24	155	43.9%68 W · 87 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…2e90backed LNG	61c	81.97$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	82	57.3%47 W · 35 L	+3.9wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x476b…8a58backed LNG	58c	78.99$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.2	1,136	63.1%717 W · 419 L	+51.0wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x107a…4bc4backed Ultra Prime	41c	73.17$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.17	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-23%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3de…eea7backed LNG	78c	67$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.26	68	54.4%37 W · 31 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed Ultra Prime	51c	59.44$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.07	259	52.9%137 W · 122 L	+10.2wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7752…445dbacked LNG	70c	57.14$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	33	66.7%22 W · 11 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	62cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed LNG	58c	51.72$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	2,226	37.5%834 W · 1,392 L	-29.3wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecba…5fb4backed LNG	78c	50$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	132	60.6%80 W · 52 L	+7.3wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe216…cd12backed LNG	79c	50$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.5	70	47.1%33 W · 37 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked LNG	70c	50$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	641	46.5%298 W · 343 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e64…7308backed Ultra Prime	40c	50$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	42	50%21 W · 21 L	+5.0wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+34.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc54a…4b6fbacked Ultra Prime	41c	48.78$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.78	70	57.1%40 W · 30 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked LNG	46c	47.52$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.86	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	59cpaid	-14%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc376…a8e7backed LNG	34c	41.48$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.21	618	49.8%308 W · 310 L	+8.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2a…5ccebacked Ultra Prime	31c	35.45$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.36	94	30.9%29 W · 65 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Ultra Prime	41c	32$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.88	441	28.1%124 W · 317 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaece…c992backed LNG	75c	25.33$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.35per pick	69cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dfe…51c6backed LNG	67c	25.03$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.77	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x142c…1098backed LNG	60c	24.83$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.9	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.22per pick	44cpaid	+82.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x58ca…0672backed LNG	61c	16.78$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.24	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-15%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd263…54a7backed LNG	61c	16.78$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.24	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

League of Legends: Ultra Prime vs. LNG Esports

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market