TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6e9a…d9d7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
135
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: MLB, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 54 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 10, 2025, EDT6553.8%35 W · 30 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 65 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Guardians vs. White Soxbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$57
Athletics vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$95.79
Marlins vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$22.5
Marlins vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT+100%+$50
Guardians vs. White Soxbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$43
Phillies vs. Rangersbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$54
Athletics vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$106
Astros vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$156
Cubs vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+129.1%+$137
Brewers vs. Bravesbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$108
Athletics vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$159
Astros vs. Marlinsbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$159
Giants vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$68.28
Yankees vs. Rangersbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Royals vs. Red Soxbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$66
Astros vs. Marlinsbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$98
Giants vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$84
Astros vs. Marlinsbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$156
Diamondbacks vs. Athleticsbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$107.3
Rangers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$140
Orioles vs. Cubsbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$194.99
Royals vs. Blue Jaysbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$114
Yankees vs. Marlinsbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$260
Diamondbacks vs. Athleticsbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$63.75
Astros vs. Red Soxbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 65 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 28, 2025, EDT2729.6%8 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
League of Legends: JD Gaming vs. Weibo Gamingbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$168
League of Legends: Movistar KOI vs. GIANTXbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.43
League of Legends: Anyone's Legend vs. FunPlus Phoenixbacked FunPlus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$96
League of Legends: KT Rolster vs. Hanwha Life Esportsbacked KT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$81
League of Legends: Ultra Prime vs. LNG Esportsbacked LNG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$122
League of Legends: BNK FEARX vs. Dplus KIAbacked BNK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$219
League of Legends: Hanwha Life Esports vs. Nongshim Red Forcebacked Nongshim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
League of Legends: Top Esports vs. Anyone's Legendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$320
League of Legends: DRX Challengers vs. T1 Academybacked DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$205
League of Legends: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs. ThunderTalk Gamingbacked ThunderTalk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$195
League of Legends: DN Freecs Challengers vs. Hanwha Life Esports Challengersbacked Hanwha Life · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$295
League of Legends: GIANTX vs. Team Vitalitybacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$264
League of Legends: SK Gaming vs. Fnaticbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$99
League of Legends: Team WE vs. FunPlus Phoenixbacked FunPlus Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$195
League of Legends: Bilibili Gaming vs. Top Esportsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$138
League of Legends: Team Heretics vs. Fnaticbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$185.29
League of Legends: Natus Vincere vs. Karmine Corpbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.28
League of Legends: Invictus Gaming vs. Weibo Gamingbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$189.33
League of Legends: Gen.G vs. KT Rolsterbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
League of Legends: Anyone's Legend vs. Team WEbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$110.12
League of Legends: Nongshim Red Force vs. Hanwha Life Esportsbacked Nongshim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
League of Legends: BNK FEARX vs. OKSavingsBank BRIONbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+109.7%+$261.83
League of Legends: FunPlus Phoenix vs. Invictus Gamingbacked FunPlus Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT+614.3%+$258
League of Legends: Ultra Prime vs. LGD Gamingbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$43
League of Legends: Anyone's Legend vs. Weibo Gamingbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+334.8%+$130.9
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2227.3%6 W · 16 L-4.6wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-55.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$870Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$870.19
Will MegaETH launch a token by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$314.86
Will MegaETH launch a token by September 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$827Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$826.56
USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$310.59
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$741Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$741.32
USD.AI FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.41
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,243Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,242.65
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.91
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+165.2%+$112.93
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$90.21
Over $12M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$14.83
Over $14M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$47.2
Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+50.5%+$35.02
Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.26
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,882Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$1,096.53
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$762Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$762.4
Will Paradex launch a token by March 31 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$30.54
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$37.49
Will Almanak FDV above $80M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$36.15
Will Almanak FDV above $140M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$60.57
Will Almanak FDV above $120M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$48.7
Will Almanak FDV above $160M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$95.51
All 22 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 10, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+34.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-47.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sun vs Acesbacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Sparks vs Valkyriesbacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$52
Sun vs Sparksbacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$119.21
Dream vs Skybacked Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$127.97
All 4 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Aug 10, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+59.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Broncos vs. 49ers backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$116
Chiefs vs. Cardinals backed Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$56
Titans vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT+150%+$60
All 3 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+230.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+230.3%+$114.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Elon Musk tweets 25+ times Thursday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.67
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.