MLB · resolved market
Royals vs. Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ab1b28be9341a23330412155acb92c127a23c14c23fa2be65c1c8cf7edde0c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Soxof Royals, Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $887,915
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $998,353
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $887,915 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 417 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Royals | 34c | 653,903$220,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220,519.41 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Red Sox | 66c | 235,600$155,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80,104 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Red Sox | 67c | 89,255$59,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,454.25 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Red Sox | 66c | 59,990$39,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,396.6 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Red Sox | 67c | 59,715$39,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,000.07 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Red Sox | 67c | 51,478$34,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,100.31 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Red Sox | 66c | 45,000$29,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,150 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Red Sox | 67c | 42,710$28,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,243.28 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Red Sox | 66c | 35,000$23,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,750 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Red Sox | 66c | 13,000$8,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,420 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Red Sox | 66c | 12,000$7,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,080 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…9bf2backed Royals | 32c | 5,035$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.23 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Red Sox | 68c | 4,965$3,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611.38 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Red Sox | 68c | 4,558$3,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,471.66 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Red Sox | 66c | 4,457$2,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515.38 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Royals | 32c | 4,251$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.32 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x899c…d868backed Red Sox | 68c | 4,210$2,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Red Sox | 66c | 4,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Royals | 32c | 3,640$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.95 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe84…779ebacked Red Sox | 68c | 3,391$2,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.12 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Red Sox | 76c | 3,306$2,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.69 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Royals | 33c | 3,100$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Red Sox | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Royals | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…a693backed Red Sox | 68c | 2,800$1,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Royals | 33c | 2,750$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.5 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Red Sox | 68c | 2,672$1,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.58 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Red Sox | 63c | 2,575$1,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.74 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Red Sox | 66c | 2,540$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.6 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Red Sox | 66c | 2,350$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…35aebacked Royals | 32c | 2,300$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Royals | 32c | 2,255$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.46 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Red Sox | 67c | 2,059$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.76 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…3377backed Royals | 32c | 2,033$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Royals | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Royals | 32c | 2,000$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.97 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed Red Sox | 68c | 1,954$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.63 | 146 | 54.8%80 W · 66 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf56…ee5fbacked Royals | 32c | 1,860$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Red Sox | 66c | 1,857$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.46 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Red Sox | 67c | 1,801$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.9 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Royals | 31c | 1,605$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.56 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Red Sox | 69c | 1,600$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Royals | 33c | 1,543$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.28 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Red Sox | 67c | 1,413$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.44 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Red Sox | 66c | 1,411$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.36 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Royals | 32c | 1,400$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa532…cc03backed Royals | 32c | 1,327$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Royals | 31c | 1,143$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.3 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Royals | 31c | 1,051$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.81 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Royals | 33c | 1,045$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.83 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Red Sox | 68c | 1,003$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.05 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Royals | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06db…5244backed Red Sox | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Royals | 33c | 999.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Royals | 12c | 960$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…606cbacked Royals | 32c | 936.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.58 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Royals | 27c | 924$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.83 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa687…23e2backed Royals | 32c | 910$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Red Sox | 69c | 840$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.4 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Royals | 31c | 832.54$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.52 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Red Sox | 66c | 795$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.3 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x996c…d8b9backed Red Sox | 68c | 734.26$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.48 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Red Sox | 67c | 696.57$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.87 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Red Sox | 68c | 680$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.6 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Royals | 31c | 675.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.56 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Royals | 33c | 649.09$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.2 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…d8b7backed Red Sox | 67c | 648.95$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.48 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…ecfebacked Red Sox | 67c | 629.98$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.56 | 274 | 58.8%161 W · 113 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Red Sox | 67c | 629.92$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.14 | 145 | 65.5%95 W · 50 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Royals | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Red Sox | 67c | 623.83$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.01 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Red Sox | 64c | 622$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.86 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Red Sox | 65c | 612.99$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.79 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe259…b890backed Red Sox | 65c | 568.09$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.57 | 161 | 62.1%100 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Red Sox | 67c | 567$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.11 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Royals | 22c | 556.16$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Red Sox | 79c | 501$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.4 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Royals | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Red Sox | 69c | 499.98$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.99 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Royals | 32c | 499.97$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Red Sox | 66c | 480$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…9b19backed Royals | 36c | 474.16$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.15 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Royals | 32c | 406$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.92 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c92…1897backed Royals | 32c | 400$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Royals | 32c | 399.94$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.98 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Royals | 34c | 358$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.48 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Royals | 31c | 349.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.5 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Royals | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Royals | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0814…1f30backed Red Sox | 68c | 310$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6d…df6abacked Red Sox | 68c | 306$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.92 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Royals | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Red Sox | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f2…a822backed Red Sox | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Red Sox | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…a7e0backed Red Sox | 68c | 294$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.08 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Royals | 32c | 283.23$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.63 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be9…97ecbacked Red Sox | 70c | 259.76$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.83 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Royals | 31c | 250$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef69…a854backed Red Sox | 68c | 247.06$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.06 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.