TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x06db…5244

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
151
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: Middle East, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 54 out of 100; worst Movies at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT3447.1%16 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+30%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.5
Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.95
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$85
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.49
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$26.5
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$55.49
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+941.7%+$180.8
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.63
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$13.5
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+102%+$75.75
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$15.9
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+71.4%+$62.5
Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$32.5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$64
US downs another Iranian drone by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$122.39
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$18.05
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$18.3
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+92.3%+$24
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.3
Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.6
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+73.3%+$20.54
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.9
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$29
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
Will Tisza win 120-129 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$24.5
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Will Nepali Congress win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$21.28
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$27.8
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+32.8%+$58.26
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.64
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+63.5%+$13.93
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.15
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.26
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.63
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.63
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$28.7
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+484.7%+$111.07
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+40.3%+$51.72
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$217.64
All 11 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+344.4%+$155
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.00 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$58.99
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.7
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on May 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$53
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.35
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14.2
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$63.86
All 11 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick29cpaid-87%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Movies — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 7m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.5
Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will "Frankenstein" win exactly 3 awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will "Tyler Perry's Joe's College Road Trip" be the top global Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$14.5
Will "Sentimental Value" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will "It Was Just an Accident" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be greater than 187m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$22.2
Will “Frankenstein” be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 11 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$21.77
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-68.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.53
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33
Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.8
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+66.7%+$80
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$25.55
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$29.31
Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday at least 20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$230.28
Will Russia capture Uspenivka by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$72
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-39.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.29per pick46cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-33.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-66.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-63.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+27.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-58.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-32.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-36.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liam Rosenior be the next Chelsea manager?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$37.2
Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$948Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+47.1%+$446.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.96
Hornets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$4,592Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$4,592.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$7,212Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST+75.4%+$5,440.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Royals vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$320
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jiangxi Open: Zhuoxuan Bai vs Hanyu Guobacked Bai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$9.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: South Africa vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.