TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-08?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$156,829
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$161,462

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,829 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x20cc…ebc0backed No57c30,812$17,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,314.4411657.8%67 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3489…7fffbacked Yes32c15,510$5,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,017.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-57.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aec…1158backed No68c14,627$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,627.45955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes32c13,843$4,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,403.3940254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84c6…c8c8backed Yes67c11,996$8,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,037.5420%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x814a…ab7abacked No68c9,158$6,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,926.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf30f…a161backed Yes32c9,148$2,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,927.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes35c8,316$2,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,887.0829643.6%129 W · 167 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes49c5,978$2,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,916.432037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x899c…d868backed No68c5,406$3,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,729.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes33c4,806$1,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,580.2332158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked No49c4,549$2,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,318.561050%5 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+24.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cc9…fc51backed No57c4,543$2,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,952.393961.5%24 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bf6…1288backed Yes49c3,234$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6001136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3aa1…637bbacked Yes39c3,222$1,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,258.855644.6%25 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No69c3,000$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93038649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2a3…1698backed Yes31c2,879$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.122450%12 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes33c2,686$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878.6768026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes32c2,500$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80040640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa19a…2f33backed Yes34c2,239$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.311723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-62.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No50c2,064$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.0579650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked No68c2,000$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64017945.8%82 W · 97 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed No58c1,819$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.3837841.8%158 W · 220 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed No52c1,625$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.1724062.5%150 W · 90 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes33c1,538$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.5356453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked No54c1,500$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6857651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed No67c1,493$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.5439561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x06db…5244backed No68c1,394$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.04250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89e3…6396backed No52c1,250$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfef3…a321backed Yes4c1,246$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-40.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Yes34c1,019$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.487230.6%22 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.934643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes10c982.78$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.0566031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58ca…cc33backed No50c940$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.81861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+34.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8cd…3cf2backed No67c855.46$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.758362.7%52 W · 31 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4890…0968backed No68c820.6$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.595747.4%27 W · 30 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b74…a4f4backed Yes34c742.81$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.772025%5 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8aad…ef81backed Yes31c741$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.7130%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9bad…74a7backed No53c660$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.93751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No66c651.99$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.6831944.5%142 W · 177 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde6a…d9b8backed Yes21c560.2$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8769…48ecbacked No55c545.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.274252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce62…73d5backed Yes18c520$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.735032%16 W · 34 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7dc…9908backed Yes69c500$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3458937.1%33 W · 56 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e11…ae62backed Yes69c499.91$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.94425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid+38.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes48c455.86$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.6390751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec5a…b299backed Yes50c413.78$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.89450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1875…eb5ebacked Yes33c403.88$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.285429.6%16 W · 38 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b81…0683backed Yes53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+43.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0b…b8b2backed No69c368.13$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7cb…2093backed No53c340$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.3425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-53%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed No68c333$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.5617143.3%74 W · 97 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7eee…b4b2backed No68c314.99$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.8921463.1%135 W · 79 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xff9e…56a1backed Yes50c308$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf442…ccf8backed No67c294.34$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.135345.3%24 W · 29 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cf3…3d5fbacked No66c293.94$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.94785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick65cpaid+36.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ea1…5dcdbacked No69c274.38$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22d3…5e3abacked Yes20c267.49$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5825%2 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf501…d663backed Yes27c250.96$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.191414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick34cpaid-70%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc8d2…2381backed Yes31c235.48$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb94…d871backed No68c225.54$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.172055%11 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Yes30c218.13$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.4940135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6229653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6242755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a8f…1134backed Yes33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7600…49e5backed Yes49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989949.5%49 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Yes51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013336.1%48 W · 85 L-12.7wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa66b…0e7cbacked Yes47c189.41$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.292347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x85c3…269bbacked No55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.824362.8%27 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x177c…bf64backed No53c170$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.91384.6%11 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick67cpaid+21.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes28c169$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3214854.1%80 W · 68 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8140…b92fbacked Yes34c160$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.783748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd60…7524backed No80c157.95$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.59580%4 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed No75c151.47$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.787343.8%32 W · 41 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf2d…673fbacked No67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.25666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19dd…2cffbacked Yes34c143.94$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9470%0 W · 7 L-3.8wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x682a…4b62backed Yes27c130$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.21741.2%7 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bb8…7471backed Yes19c119.53$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1614062.9%88 W · 52 L+16.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+66.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked No67c119$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.177968.4%54 W · 25 L+8.4wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+24.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa40e…53ddbacked Yes34c117.65$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405337.7%20 W · 33 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4c1…301fbacked Yes31c116.13$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3680%0 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x92dd…d924backed Yes30c110$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31cf…8834backed No69c109.71$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.019037.8%34 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd1d…b57fbacked No54c109.2$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.233357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8c4…8712backed No67c104.48$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-50.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Yes32c100.27$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8718232.4%59 W · 123 L-15.9wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2528…5132backed Yes53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked No51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4916737.7%63 W · 104 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x185c…dee1backed Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x464e…7bd8backed No55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xab27…8f31backed No70c98$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bce…d116backed Yes30c98$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b35…a749backed Yes31c96.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012623%29 W · 97 L-11.6wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-35.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd983…d92dbacked No52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.154930.6%15 W · 34 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x739f…2cb9backed No69c94.23$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab6d…b458backed Yes33c93.9$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.994932.7%16 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53b9…ebecbacked Yes65c92.23$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No77c91.78$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4937652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed No69c87$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.977967.1%53 W · 26 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+25.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked No61c86$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.99858.2%57 W · 41 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.