TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-08?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$294,836
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$336,724

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $294,836 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 336 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd178…6703backed Yes38c56,959$21,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,201.9418948.7%92 W · 97 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed No67c50,889$33,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,996.884766%31 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…a69ebacked Yes43c38,354$16,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,851.32333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed No55c29,256$16,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,010.4911657.8%67 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed No63c20,883$13,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,218.9537841.8%158 W · 220 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff48…b0ecbacked Yes49c20,023$9,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,222.723237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked No52c15,900$8,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,265.9240254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No61c9,861$6,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,016.6179650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9055…756abacked No61c8,586$5,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,261.094560%27 W · 18 L+6.0wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+97.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x17a2…15d7backed Yes44c7,830$3,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,384.52250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8594…bdc4backed No56c7,827$4,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,383.09250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bf6…1288backed Yes47c7,480$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,980.181136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No55c6,500$3,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,554.9922744.5%101 W · 126 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No51c6,022$3,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,071.2217153.8%92 W · 79 L+10.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Yes45c4,445$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,444.754736.2%17 W · 30 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No56c4,387$2,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,440.2618950.3%95 W · 94 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x31cf…8834backed No52c4,100$2,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,134.69037.8%34 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No66c4,005$2,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,64032037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No67c3,300$2,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.1134251.8%177 W · 165 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d5e…5d34backed No40c2,911$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,175.641968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick60cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2fd…541dbacked Yes47c2,760$1,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,462.99812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick35cpaid-73.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No61c2,729$1,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,659.1656453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No55c2,656$1,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,460.7124566.1%162 W · 83 L+24.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7432…794bbacked Yes46c2,630$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,430.2511937%44 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ccb…0a10backed Yes46c2,406$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.021361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked No18c2,346$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.6219743.7%86 W · 111 L+32.4wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+142.5%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x236b…67c7backed Yes44c2,273$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.71475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+61.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f33…2233backed Yes46c2,200$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,188560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+54.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes47c2,129$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.9318740.6%76 W · 111 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No55c2,006$1,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,103.4768026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12032158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed No60c1,911$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,137.667034.3%24 W · 46 L-0.3wins0.00per pick35cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ef8…eff3backed No53c1,745$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.843946.2%18 W · 21 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+25.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No53c1,740$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.290751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8cd…3cf2backed No53c1,731$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914.268362.7%52 W · 31 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc210…434cbacked No16c1,612$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.221540%6 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+329.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93b0…69c8backed No69c1,500$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0392035%7 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-35.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No62c1,385$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.8529751.9%154 W · 143 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes47c1,372$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.7629044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb88d…291abacked Yes43c1,210$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.762138.1%8 W · 13 L-4.7wins-0.23per pick61cpaid-38.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd6c6…b9adbacked No55c1,200$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa97b…388dbacked Yes45c1,200$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.982100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+150%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcba7…93ccbacked No67c1,142$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb04c…b6ccbacked No67c1,070$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.981080%8 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+30.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d52…94c4backed No51c1,067$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.86450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44c4…09cbbacked Yes50c1,003$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.343333.3%11 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bad…74a7backed Yes46c999.99$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.993751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes43c999.98$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.997651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a8a…0acdbacked Yes41c971.43$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.434926.5%13 W · 36 L-7.8wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-44.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No55c930.99$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.740640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes46c899.99$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48625339.1%99 W · 154 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x564b…2003backed Yes50c811.84$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes44c800$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44844939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked No57c800$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4564963.3%31 W · 18 L+6.6wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+26%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe9c7…174bbacked No70c794.16$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No56c784.22$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.3746660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No62c728.06$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.737652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x68e5…c63abacked Yes44c717.55$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.831942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x58ca…cc33backed No63c710$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.61861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+34.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e97…b339backed Yes49c700.67$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.343145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a2a…9146backed Yes44c683$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.481266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+41.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b50…6c55backed No49c638.16$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.225630.4%17 W · 39 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-3.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes46c633.63$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.2466031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a0e…72ebbacked No79c627.47$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked No54c609.7$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.617968.4%54 W · 25 L+8.4wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+24.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed No51c602.5$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.47967.1%53 W · 26 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+25.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5272…f0afbacked Yes47c600.44$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.443542.9%15 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+29.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No60c586.89$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.569772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x438e…9704backed Yes53c571.36$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.854757.4%27 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7600…49e5backed Yes68c508.96$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.049949.5%49 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x308f…35cabacked No52c499.94$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.971250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked No53c459.35$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.4617945.8%82 W · 97 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc745…9499backed Yes45c446$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.4411638.8%45 W · 71 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8d2…2381backed Yes46c413.04$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.043237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Yes26c400$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2965238.5%20 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a8f…1134backed Yes29c400$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.68425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7cb…2093backed No52c387.41$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.3425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-53%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed No21c386.31$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.697343.8%32 W · 41 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10ec…3f30backed Yes44c380$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.81127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-39.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8239…ddd7backed Yes31c365.92$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.139027.8%25 W · 65 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b81…0683backed Yes28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.14742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+43.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1875…eb5ebacked Yes48c341.26$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.995429.6%16 W · 38 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61e1…adf1backed No59c340.29$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.773240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c04…8d3cbacked Yes46c326.07$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.081154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa94…001abacked No71c311.25$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes36c296.6$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.64955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+74.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd316…bca3backed No53c281.48$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-41.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x893b…188ebacked Yes46c264.87$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.031250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed No76c264.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20042862.4%267 W · 161 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7d2…f555backed No55c255$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.2518260.4%110 W · 72 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4890…0968backed Yes45c246.47$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.565747.4%27 W · 30 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f16…5bb0backed No66c241.52$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.41050%5 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2b9…6a5ebacked Yes42c238.09$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.09742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe227…55d8backed Yes44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.277256.9%41 W · 31 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1306…c689backed Yes44c225$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1266144.3%27 W · 34 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd3d7…fab0backed Yes80c224.92$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.982100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Yes50c223.75$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.59933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa40e…53ddbacked Yes44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1125337.7%20 W · 33 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x397f…c0edbacked Yes46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-45.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x620e…0775backed Yes40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.