Will Tottenham vs. Chelsea end in a draw?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46c68a819f77883246547779f4c354492c5a1c9f7f9dce604ee8643d156ec16e

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 8, 2024, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $83,769
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $81,823

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,769 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x20cc…ebc0backed No	74c	20,197$15,005 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,191.32	116	57.8%67 W · 49 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…a69ebacked Yes	13c	17,021$2,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,200	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked No	75c	10,040$7,525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,515.41	402	54.7%220 W · 182 L	+14.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1802…a3afbacked Yes	0c	5,200$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed Yes	35c	5,000$1,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,750	51	31.4%16 W · 35 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	28cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Yes	4c	4,381$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.96	70	34.3%24 W · 46 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5bf6…1288backed Yes	25c	4,341$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes	25c	4,324$1,081 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,081	172	34.3%59 W · 113 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa943…a0dabacked Yes	25c	3,845$954 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$954.01	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Yes	23c	3,404$786 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$785.61	378	41.8%158 W · 220 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b81…0683backed Yes	25c	1,870$468 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$467.73	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.12per pick	31cpaid	+43.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8cd…3cf2backed No	75c	1,791$1,339 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$452.3	83	62.7%52 W · 31 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No	75c	1,135$851 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$283.73	406	40.9%166 W · 240 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce62…73d5backed Yes	5c	999$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.95	50	32%16 W · 34 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x06df…4e7abacked Yes	30c	900$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.10per pick	27cpaid	+85.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf501…d663backed Yes	2c	882.15$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.8	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-2.7wins	-0.19per pick	34cpaid	-70%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x58ca…cc33backed No	78c	771.28$598 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.88	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+1.5wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+34.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x75c8…8079backed Yes	27c	740.74$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7dc…9908backed Yes	24c	605$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.4	89	37.1%33 W · 56 L	-6.0wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Yes	27c	582.61$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.3	68	38.2%26 W · 42 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85cc…2b10backed Yes	19c	533.79$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.26per pick	46cpaid	-74.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1875…eb5ebacked Yes	25c	533.12$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.28	54	29.6%16 W · 38 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	17c	500$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.5	660	31.2%206 W · 454 L	-13.0wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a8a…0acdbacked Yes	21c	476.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	49	26.5%13 W · 36 L	-7.8wins	-0.16per pick	42cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0661…a72ebacked No	78c	475.47$371 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.6	36	66.7%24 W · 12 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	71cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdec…cf08backed Yes	10c	450$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d2…2381backed Yes	26c	419.23$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes	24c	401.45$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.35	193	36.8%71 W · 122 L	-14.9wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x420b…c128backed Yes	27c	371.17$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	49	26.5%13 W · 36 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No	58c	360.72$209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.5	796	50.8%404 W · 392 L	+28.1wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef94…d101backed Yes	26c	316.79$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.79	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-2.9wins	-0.29per pick	49cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2e44…79c9backed Yes	49c	304.53$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.72	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-2.1wins	-0.19per pick	38cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf59c…115bbacked Yes	24c	294$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.56	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.17per pick	42cpaid	-67.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x31cf…8834backed Yes	23c	253.44$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.42	90	37.8%34 W · 56 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes	19c	239.27$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.63	119	15.1%18 W · 101 L	-10.4wins	-0.09per pick	24cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc54c…7ceabacked Yes	25c	200.4$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-3.9wins	-0.18per pick	57cpaid	-46%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc745…9499backed Yes	26c	200$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	116	38.8%45 W · 71 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe438…9471backed Yes	25c	200$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-3.0wins	-0.15per pick	45cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9ca1…3378backed Yes	22c	199.95$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.99	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes	26c	185.35$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.19	150	25.3%38 W · 112 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab6d…b458backed Yes	25c	184.04$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.01	49	32.7%16 W · 33 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x38f5…0050backed Yes	27c	183.52$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	37	29.7%11 W · 26 L	+4.5wins	+0.12per pick	18cpaid	+91.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf8c8…67a5backed Yes	24c	178$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.72	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-2.3wins	-0.12per pick	60cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Yes	30c	166.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	133	36.1%48 W · 85 L	-12.7wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed No	75c	160$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	79	67.1%53 W · 26 L	+7.6wins	+0.10per pick	57cpaid	+25.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6980…a328backed Yes	25c	160$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	25	8%2 W · 23 L	-4.2wins	-0.17per pick	25cpaid	-56.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No	75c	155$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.75	401	35.2%141 W · 260 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5dd9…ce0fbacked No	77c	154.55$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.55	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.23per pick	77cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x438e…9704backed Yes	29c	153.42$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.61	47	57.4%27 W · 20 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	60cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c67…dfa8backed No	75c	142.67$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.67	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes	25c	120$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	291	46%134 W · 157 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes	25c	120$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	246	30.5%75 W · 171 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4241…b6ebbacked Yes	27c	111.11$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	52cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6757…998dbacked Yes	26c	103.85$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	42	40.5%17 W · 25 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a8f…1134backed Yes	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7600…49e5backed Yes	35c	100$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	99	49.5%49 W · 50 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05f0…46a2backed Yes	26c	100$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8387…71e0backed No	74c	99.28$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.81	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.25per pick	50cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd28e…d68fbacked Yes	20c	97.83$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.57	44	29.5%13 W · 31 L	-2.5wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa64a…21dabacked Yes	23c	94$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.92	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce86…f868backed Yes	22c	91.09$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	93	34.4%32 W · 61 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8237…a0debacked Yes	27c	88.89$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5272…f0afbacked Yes	24c	83.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	+2.9wins	+0.08per pick	35cpaid	+29.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Yes	24c	80$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.8	182	32.4%59 W · 123 L	-15.9wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes	23c	76.43$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.45	907	51.3%465 W · 442 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3aab…c911backed Yes	27c	74.07$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-15%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5c8…6415backed Yes	27c	74.07$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+1.7wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae6f…7399backed Yes	28c	71.43$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	-2.1wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked No	75c	67$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.75	79	68.4%54 W · 25 L	+8.4wins	+0.11per pick	58cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No	75c	66.23$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.75	466	60.5%282 W · 184 L	+30.3wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb737…f72ebacked No	77c	64.94$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.94	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	-1.9wins	-0.09per pick	63cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22d2…dd08backed Yes	25c	63.3$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.76	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.7wins	-0.16per pick	52cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd767…50bebacked Yes	25c	52.44$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.11	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0129…53cebacked Yes	45c	51.06$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.98	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-23%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb20…a151backed No	76c	50.92$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.22	57	42.1%24 W · 33 L	-3.5wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x06be…8a46backed Yes	28c	50$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	48	31.3%15 W · 33 L	-6.4wins	-0.13per pick	45cpaid	-42%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked No	76c	45.83$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11	179	45.8%82 W · 97 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa240…cb21backed Yes	26c	45.64$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.87	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…64a4backed Yes	52c	40.75$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.28	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.2wins	-0.27per pick	52cpaid	-48.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd9a8…6b00backed Yes	25c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-2.1wins	-0.09per pick	57cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x321d…c79cbacked Yes	25c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68e0…e782backed Yes	25c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.8wins	-0.30per pick	47cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa66b…0e7cbacked No	78c	32.05$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.05	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-2.3wins	-0.10per pick	58cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x450e…e47cbacked Yes	35c	30.17$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.56	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6981…8ac5backed No	76c	26.32$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.32	74	41.9%31 W · 43 L	-5.9wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d81…4c75backed No	77c	21.79$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.09	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.27per pick	77cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2474…4957backed No	78c	20.01$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.46	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-5.3wins	-0.27per pick	77cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Tottenham vs. Chelsea end in a draw?this page
Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-08?Yes won
Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-08?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Tottenham vs. Chelsea end in a draw?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event